狗狗幣 (DOGE) 看起來已準備好突破，預計第四季漲幅較去年高至 0.48 美元

隨著 DOGE ETF 引發「拋售新聞」熱潮，其在美國政治中的影響力日益增強，該代幣距離大選後的飆升僅差 16%。

Dogecoin [DOGE] has surged over 6% on the day, eyeing its Q4 rally high of $0.48 from last year. But why?

狗狗幣 [DOGE] 當日飆漲逾 6%，第四季漲幅較去年高至 0.48 美元。但為什麼？

With a DOGE ETF creating ‘sell-the-news’ buzz and its growing influence in U.S. politics, the coin is just 16% shy of its post-election surge. So, could HODLers finally see their patience rewarded?

隨著 DOGE ETF 引發「拋售新聞」熱潮，其在美國政治中的影響力日益增強，該代幣距離大選後的飆升僅差 16%。那麼，HODLers 的耐心最終能得到回報嗎？

Don’t get swayed

不要動搖

With all the “hype” around Dogecoin, including its symbol showing up in important places, that 16% spike doesn’t seem too far off.

鑑於狗狗幣的所有“炒作”，包括其符號出現在重要位置，16% 的飆升似乎並不太遙遠。

Add in the growing interest in a DOGE ETF, and we might just be seeing the memecoin’s transition into a legitimate asset class.

再加上人們對 DOGE ETF 的興趣日益濃厚，我們可能會看到 memecoin 轉變為合法的資產類別。

Traders are clearly taking note: Open Interest (OI) has surged 7%, now back above $5 billion, and the neutral RSI points to more potential ahead.

交易員顯然注意到了：未平倉合約 (OI) 已飆升 7%，目前已回到 50 億美元以上，而中性 RSI 表明未來潛力更大。

But that’s not all. In just 24 hours, wallets holding 10 million to 1 billion DOGE tokens scooped up an additional 590 million coins, fueling Dogecoin’s 6% surge.

但這還不是全部。在短短 24 小時內，持有 1,000 萬至 10 億 DOGE 代幣的錢包又買進了 5.9 億枚 DOGE 代幣，推動狗狗幣飆升 6%。

Clearly, FOMO is back and the “sell-the-news” moves have been bought up fast.

顯然，「錯失恐懼症」又回來了，「拋售新聞」的舉動很快就被買進了。

But here’s the catch. The same wallets that scooped up 590 million DOGE have also been unloading billions, dropping their holdings from 50 billion to under 47 billion in just a week.

但這就是問題所在。那些買了 5.9 億枚 DOGE 的錢包也在拋售數十億枚 DOGE，在短短一周內將其持有量從 500 億枚降至不到 470 億枚。

What does this mean for DOGE? It sparked a sharp 10% jump, breaking the crucial $0.40 resistance, a level last reached during the Trump rally in mid-November.

這對 DOGE 意味著什麼？它引發了 10% 的大幅上漲，突破了 0.40 美元的關鍵阻力位，該水平上次在 11 月中旬川普集會期間達到。

But in a classic fashion, it quickly retraced, falling back to $0.35 in just three days.

但以經典的方式，它迅速回調，在短短三天內回落至 0.35 美元。

Still, with the hype still alive, whales buying the dip, and the broader market showing signs of strength, could Dogecoin be ready for its next 16% surge, or is it just another flash in the pan?

儘管如此，由於炒作依然存在，鯨魚逢低買入，而且更廣泛的市場顯示出走強的跡象，狗狗幣是否已經準備好迎接下一次 16% 的飆升，或者這只是又一次曇花一現？

Is Dogecoin worth the risk?

狗狗幣值得冒險嗎？

HODLers are on the edge, waiting for Dogecoin to break out and finally reward their six-week wait since it last hit $0.48.

HODLers 正處於邊緣，等待狗狗幣突破並最終獎勵自上次觸及 0.48 美元以來他們六週的等待。

But the ride isn’t smooth. The 10% jump in DOGE also aligned with the launch of the TRUMP memecoin, injecting fresh capital into the market.

但旅程並不順利。 DOGE 上漲 10% 也與 TRUMP memecoin 的推出相一致，為市場注入了新的資本。

But within days, both big and small traders pulled out, cashing in on their gains.

但幾天之內，大大小小的交易商都紛紛撤資，獲利了結。

This sharp exit highlights the growing skepticism about Dogecoin’s long-term “value”, turning it into a riskier play. As attention shifted to new memecoins, DOGE saw a significant drop in liquidity, with $5 billion in sell-offs.

這種急劇退出凸顯了人們對狗狗幣長期「價值」日益增長的懷疑，使其成為一種風險更大的投資。隨著注意力轉向新的迷因幣，DOGE 的流動性大幅下降，拋售金額達 50 億美元。

So, despite the hype, a 16% jump for Dogecoin still feels far off unless the market breaks out.

因此，儘管大肆宣傳，但除非市場出現突破，狗狗幣 16% 的漲幅仍然讓人感覺遙遠。

Right now, that 6% spike looks like a temporary blip, especially with $8.91 million in long positions getting squeezed.

目前，6% 的上漲看起來只是暫時現象，尤其是在 891 萬美元的多頭頭寸受到擠壓的情況下。

Stay cautious – don’t let the noise sway you. The facts are telling a different story.

保持謹慎－不要讓噪音影響你。事實卻講述了一個不同的故事。