狗狗币 (DOGE) 看起来已准备好突破，预计第四季度涨幅较去年高至 0.48 美元

随着 DOGE ETF 引发“抛售新闻”热潮，其在美国政治中的影响力日益增强，该代币距离大选后的飙升仅差 16%。

Dogecoin [DOGE] has surged over 6% on the day, eyeing its Q4 rally high of $0.48 from last year. But why?

狗狗币 [DOGE] 当日飙升逾 6%，第四季度涨幅较去年高至 0.48 美元。但为什么？

With a DOGE ETF creating ‘sell-the-news’ buzz and its growing influence in U.S. politics, the coin is just 16% shy of its post-election surge. So, could HODLers finally see their patience rewarded?

随着 DOGE ETF 引发“抛售新闻”热潮，其在美国政治中的影响力日益增强，该代币距离大选后的飙升仅差 16%。那么，HODLers 的耐心最终能得到回报吗？

Don’t get swayed

不要动摇

With all the “hype” around Dogecoin, including its symbol showing up in important places, that 16% spike doesn’t seem too far off.

鉴于狗狗币的所有“炒作”，包括其符号出现在重要位置，16% 的飙升似乎并不太遥远。

Add in the growing interest in a DOGE ETF, and we might just be seeing the memecoin’s transition into a legitimate asset class.

再加上人们对 DOGE ETF 的兴趣日益浓厚，我们可能会看到 memecoin 转变为合法的资产类别。

Traders are clearly taking note: Open Interest (OI) has surged 7%, now back above $5 billion, and the neutral RSI points to more potential ahead.

交易员显然注意到了：未平仓合约 (OI) 已飙升 7%，目前已回到 50 亿美元以上，而中性 RSI 表明未来潜力更大。

But that’s not all. In just 24 hours, wallets holding 10 million to 1 billion DOGE tokens scooped up an additional 590 million coins, fueling Dogecoin’s 6% surge.

但这还不是全部。在短短 24 小时内，持有 1000 万至 10 亿 DOGE 代币的钱包又买入了 5.9 亿枚 DOGE 代币，推动狗狗币飙升 6%。

Clearly, FOMO is back and the “sell-the-news” moves have been bought up fast.

显然，“错失恐惧症”又回来了，“抛售新闻”的举动很快就被买进了。

But here’s the catch. The same wallets that scooped up 590 million DOGE have also been unloading billions, dropping their holdings from 50 billion to under 47 billion in just a week.

但这是问题所在。那些买入了 5.9 亿枚 DOGE 的钱包也在抛售数十亿枚 DOGE，在短短一周内将其持有量从 500 亿枚降至不到 470 亿枚。

What does this mean for DOGE? It sparked a sharp 10% jump, breaking the crucial $0.40 resistance, a level last reached during the Trump rally in mid-November.

这对 DOGE 意味着什么？它引发了 10% 的大幅上涨，突破了 0.40 美元的关键阻力位，该水平上次在 11 月中旬特朗普集会期间达到。

But in a classic fashion, it quickly retraced, falling back to $0.35 in just three days.

但以经典的方式，它迅速回调，在短短三天内回落至 0.35 美元。

Still, with the hype still alive, whales buying the dip, and the broader market showing signs of strength, could Dogecoin be ready for its next 16% surge, or is it just another flash in the pan?

尽管如此，由于炒作依然存在，鲸鱼逢低买入，而且更广泛的市场显示出走强的迹象，狗狗币是否已经准备好迎接下一次 16% 的飙升，或者这只是又一次昙花一现？

Is Dogecoin worth the risk?

狗狗币值得冒险吗？

HODLers are on the edge, waiting for Dogecoin to break out and finally reward their six-week wait since it last hit $0.48.

HODLers 正处于边缘，等待狗狗币突破并最终奖励自上次触及 0.48 美元以来他们六周的等待。

But the ride isn’t smooth. The 10% jump in DOGE also aligned with the launch of the TRUMP memecoin, injecting fresh capital into the market.

但旅程并不顺利。 DOGE 上涨 10% 也与 TRUMP memecoin 的推出相一致，为市场注入了新的资本。

But within days, both big and small traders pulled out, cashing in on their gains.

但几天之内，大大小小的交易商都纷纷撤资，获利了结。

This sharp exit highlights the growing skepticism about Dogecoin’s long-term “value”, turning it into a riskier play. As attention shifted to new memecoins, DOGE saw a significant drop in liquidity, with $5 billion in sell-offs.

这种急剧退出凸显了人们对狗狗币长期“价值”日益增长的怀疑，使其成为一种风险更大的投资。随着注意力转向新的模因币，DOGE 的流动性大幅下降，抛售金额达 50 亿美元。

So, despite the hype, a 16% jump for Dogecoin still feels far off unless the market breaks out.

因此，尽管大肆宣传，但除非市场出现突破，狗狗币 16% 的涨幅仍然让人感觉遥远。

Right now, that 6% spike looks like a temporary blip, especially with $8.91 million in long positions getting squeezed.

目前，6% 的上涨看起来只是暂时现象，尤其是在 891 万美元的多头头寸受到挤压的情况下。

Stay cautious – don’t let the noise sway you. The facts are telling a different story.

保持谨慎——不要让噪音影响你。事实却讲述了一个不同的故事。