Dogecoin（Doge）每月圖表已經開始回應節奏，富有勢頭的結構，這些結構置於模仿的每一個歷史突破

在2025年5月1日的新出版物中，凱文（Kevin）指出，杜格（Doge）的凱文（Kevin）以0.1795美元的價格上漲了4.2％，同時捍衛了兩個結構支柱，他稱其為“沙子中的線”

The Dogecoin monthly chart has begun to echo the rhythmic, momentum-laden structures that prefaced each of the meme-coin's historical breakouts, according to independent market technician Kevin, better known on X as @Kev_Capital_TA.

獨立市場技術員凱文（Kevin）表示，Dogecoin月表開始回應節奏，富有勢頭的結構，這些結構佔據了模仿的每個歷史突破。

In a fresh publication dated 1 May 2025, Kevin notes that DOGE closed the April candle at $0.179, up 4.2%, while defending two structural pillars he calls "the line in the sand": the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of the entire 2019-2021 advance at $0.1383 and the upper boundary of a 34-month falling wedge that originates at the May-2021 peak.

在2025年5月1日的新出版物中，凱文（Kevin）指出，凱文（Kevin）指出的是，四月蠟燭以0.179美元的價格上漲了4.2％，同時捍衛了兩個結構支柱，他稱其為“沙子中的線”：0.382 fibonacci回撤。整個2019-2021的0.1383和0.1383 $ 0.1383的上限和34米的上限為34％的山峰時期，這是一定的2019年至2021年。

"DOGE held the macro .382 and the macro down-trending support that I labelled as the line in the sand and also stated was a phenomenal risk-reward opportunity," Kevin wrote to his followers. "Monthly SuperTrend has not yet gone vertical in this cycle and the monthly RSI is at the same level it was at when DOGE was at 11 cents, with a ton of room to run to the upside. Ignore the short-term noise-the pathway is laid and it is time to start going down it."

凱文（Kevin）寫信給他的追隨者說：“多吉（Doge）擁有宏觀的.382，而我將其標記為沙子的宏觀下降趨勢支持也是如此。 “在這個週期中，每月的超級趨勢尚未垂直，每月的RSI處於同一水平，當時Doge的價格為11美分，有很多空間可以延伸到上空。忽略短期噪音 - 鋪設了途徑，現在是時候開始降低它了。 ”

How High Can Dogecoin Price Go?

Dogecoin的價格高多少？

His chart reveals three wedge-shaped consolidations, each resolved by a vertical expansion that topped exactly at a 1.618 Fibonacci extension. The current wedge-drawn with parallel yellow trend-lines from the 2021 high-broke to the upside in November 2024, tagged $0.48, and is now being retested from above. Kevin stresses that "macro down-trending support" has so far responded as textbook support and therefore keeps the price structure constructive.

他的圖表顯示了三個楔形的合併，每個合併都通過垂直擴展來解決，該垂直膨脹恰好以1.618的斐波那契擴展為止。目前的楔形楔形帶有平行的黃色趨勢線，從2021年的高速公路到2024年11月上升，標記為0.48美元，現在已從上方重新測試。凱文（Kevin）強調，迄今為止，“宏觀下降趨勢支持”作為教科書支持做出了反應，因此保持了價格結構的建設性。

Horizontal liquidity bands, shaded in violet, cluster at $1.25-$1.35 and $2.40-$2.60, marking the first potential distribution zones of the new cycle. Directly above the highest of those bands sits Kevin's ultimate Fibonacci projection, a 1.618 extension at $3.94. When a follower asked whether his targets still stand, Kevin replied: "Looks like I said $3.90 is unlikely and $1.80 is a stretch also but possible depending on how high BTC goes. Not really target-setting-just looks like I said if BTC goes really high then DOGE will too."

水平流動性帶被紫羅蘭色陰影，集群為$ 1.25- $ 1.35和$ 2.40- $ 2.60，標誌著新周期的第一個潛在分銷區。直接在這些樂隊中的最高上方是凱文（Kevin）的終極斐波那契投影，1.618延伸為$ 3.94。當追隨者問他的目標是否仍然存在時，凱文回答說：“看起來我說3.90美元不太可能，而1.80美元也是一種伸展，但可能會取決於BTC的高度。沒有真正的目標設定 - 只是我說BTC的確說明，如果BTC確實很高，那麼Doge也會很高。”

Momentum gauges lend weight to his bullish narrative. The 14-period monthly Relative Strength Index, smoothed by a moving average, rests at 51.3-virtually identical to the reading seen in December 2020 when DOGE was trading at eleven cents. Previous cycle peaks, highlighted with orange circles on Kevin's chart, all pierced the 90-point zone, implying what he calls "a ton of room to run." The SuperTrend indicator has flipped positive but has "not yet gone vertical," a condition Kevin interprets as latent rather than exhausted trend energy.

勢頭衡量了他看漲的敘述。 14週期的每月相對強度指數以移動平均值平滑，其平均值與2020年12月Doge交易為11美分的讀數的51.3次相同。先前的周期峰在凱文（Kevin）的圖表上以橙色圈子的突出顯示，所有這些都刺穿了90分區域，這意味著他所說的“一噸跑步空間”。 SuperTrend指標的正向趨勢，但“尚未垂直”，凱文（Kevin）將其解釋為潛在而不是耗盡的趨勢能量。

Supporting studies paint a similar picture: the long-term MACD printed its first positive histogram bar since 2021 in February and continues to climb, while Stochastic RSI sits at 6.4 / 14.5, near oversold territory-a configuration that preceded every prior parabolic burst once the gauge crossed north of 20.

支持研究描繪了類似的圖片：長期MACD在2月份自2021年以來印刷了其第一個正直方圖桿，並繼續攀登，而隨機RSI則位於6.4 / 14.5，接近超售出區域的配置，該配置是在越過20號北部的每一個先前的拋物線爆發之前的每種先前的拋物線爆發。

Kevin embeds his technical view in a macro framework. "All the evidence I have-through charts and macro fundamentals-tells me we will likely find a durable top in BTC dominance in the May-July months," he wrote in a separate thread. "First time in years I have been willing to say that, but the monetary policy is likely going to align with the charts soon and that is what I have been waiting for." Pointing to the latest inflation data, he added:

凱文將他的技術觀點嵌入到宏觀框架中。他在單獨的話題中寫道：“我已經獲得圖表和宏觀基礎的所有證據都使我在5月至7月的幾個月中可能會在BTC的統治地位中找到持久的頂級。” “多年來我願意這樣說，但是貨幣政策很可能很快就會與圖表保持一致，這就是我一直在等待的。”他指出了最新的通貨膨脹數據，他補充說：

Another leg back down for inflation, down to 1.35% on Truflation. Four rate cuts are projected for the rest of the year and quantitative tightening will be ending... The pathway is laid for the second half of the year for BTC and altcoins.

另一隻腿向下往下通貨膨脹，下降到1.35％。預計今年剩餘的時間將進行四項降低，並且定量收緊將結束……BTC和AltCoins下半年的途徑是鋪設的。

At press time, DOGE traded at $0.179.

發稿時，Doge的交易價格為0.179美元。