Dogecoin（Doge）向其長達一個月範圍的下端傾斜

Dogecoin在周二為期一個月的範圍的下端滑行，因為獨立的Chartist Quantum Ascent發出了顆粒狀的崩潰，以表明他認為Meme-Coin是Meme Coin是

Dogecoin slipped toward the lower end of its month-long range on Tuesday as independent chartist Quantum Ascent delivered a granular breakdown of why he believes the meme-coin is part-way through a corrective cascade that could end in the high-teen-cent zone. At mid-afternoon in Europe the token hovered at $0.228, nearly 12% below its May 11 peak and nursing modest intraday losses.

Dogecoin在周二為期一個月的範圍的下端滑行，因為獨立的Chartist Quantum Ascent發出了顆粒狀的崩潰，原因是他認為Meme-Coin在一個糾正級別的級聯反應中的一部分可能會在高年級的區域結束。在歐洲下午中旬，令牌的盤旋為0.228美元，比5月11日的峰值和護理中適度的盤中損失低近12％。

Dogecoin Enters Danger Zone

Dogecoin進入危險區域

Reviewing the daily chart, the analyst rewound to the explosive move that began on May 8 and produced a 50% three-session surge: “Last time we checked in over here on May 8, when we got this big green candle, we said, guys, looks like we’re kicking off our fifth microwave here,” he reminded viewers. His initial upside projection had been a modest 2.36 Fibonacci extension, yet Dogecoin “actually went up much higher,” a sign, he added, of strong retail momentum but also of a pattern that now looks finished.

在審查《每日圖表》時，分析師逐漸回到了5月8日開始的爆炸性舉動，並產生了50％的三經潮：“上次我們在5月8日在這裡簽到的時候，當我們得到這個大型綠色蠟燭時，我們說，伙計們，我們似乎在這裡踢出了我們的第五次微波爐，”他想起了觀眾。 ”他補充說，他最初的上升投影是一個適度的2.36斐波那契擴展，但Dogecoin“實際上上升得更高”，這是一個強大的零售勢頭的標誌，但現在看起來已經完成了。

Quantum Ascent has since migrated his wave counts to show that the thrust was merely the fifth sub-wave inside a larger first-wave advance. “We’re in the middle of an ABC as we speak… these blue waves are going to move over to here,” he said, redrawing the labels to mark the ongoing retracement. In Elliott-wave parlance the C-leg must at least equal the A-leg, and the presenter converted that rule into arithmetic: “Eighteen-point-eight per cent from there… that’s one of our targets, right around 20.5 cents.”

此後，量子上升遷移了他的波數，以表明該推力僅僅是較大的第一波前進中的第五個子波。他說：“我們在說話時正處於ABC的中間……這些藍色的波浪將移至這裡。”在Elliott-Wave的說法中，C-Leg必須至少等於A-Leg，主持人將該規則轉變為算術：“從那裡佔18％的百分之八點……這是我們的目標之一，約為20.5美分。”

Deeper penetration is not only possible but statistically common, he argued, because “oftentimes it makes it down into this third or fourth wave.” Measuring from the early-May low to the mid-May top, he plotted the 0.500, 0.618 and 0.702 retracements — a band stretching roughly from 19.5 cents to 17 cents — and called it “the logical zone for a first-and-second-wave reset.” A shallower halt at the 0.382, around 21.8 cents, would in his view be “a pretty shallow correction.”

他認為，更深的滲透不僅是可能的，而且在統計上是普遍的，因為“通常會將其降至第三或第四波。”他繪製了從早期的低點到五月中期，他繪製了0.500、0.618和0.702回波的曲目，這是一條從19.5美分延伸到17美分的樂隊，稱其為“第一和第二波重置的邏輯區域”。在他看來，較淺的0.382停止，大約21.8美分，這是“非常淺的校正”。

One attempt to break higher has already stalled in what he labelled the “danger zone” between the 0.618 and 0.786 retracements: “We took a stab to break through, but we didn't close… we wicked above it, ended up right there at the 702, the rejection, and now it’s kind of rolling over again.” That failure leaves a nearby trigger level: “We break this low here at 21 cents, then we’re for sure seeing 20.5 cents.”

一次試圖打破更高的嘗試已經停滯了他標記為0.618和0.786回波之間的“危險區域”的嘗試：“我們刺傷了刺傷，但我們沒有陷入困境，但是我們沒有關閉……我們在它上方邪惡，最終在702，拒絕了，現在又一次滾滾了。”這種故障留下了附近的觸發水平：“我們在21美分的情況下將這一低點打破，然後我們肯定會看到20.5美分。”

The tape action, he added, resembles a Wyckoff re-accumulation structure: “Looks like honestly a form of Wyckoff and we’re building the sign of strength right here before we take off.” Yet the bullish pay-off, if it comes, likely lies several weeks ahead. The correction underway marks “a macro two that we’re working on right now,” he said, emphasising that the subsequent third wave would be decisive: “Macro wave threes — those are the daddies. Those are the big ones. That’s where we’re really going to get some juice.”

他補充說，磁帶的動作類似於Wyckoff的重新蓄能結構：“老實說，這是Wyckoff的一種形式，我們在這裡起飛之前就在這裡建立了力量的跡象。”然而，看漲的回報，如果有的話，可能會提前幾週。他說，進行的更正標誌著“我們現在正在努力的宏觀兩者”，他說，隨後的第三波浪潮將是決定性的：“宏波三分 - 那是父親。這些都是大的。這就是我們真的要喝果汁的地方。”

Macro context tempers any near-term enthusiasm. Bitcoin — whose own fifth-wave top arrived sooner and overshot its prior cycle high — has already rolled into an ABC of its own, and Quantum Ascent expects altcoins to “settle down” alongside the bellwether. “Whether it goes quickly in a C-wave or we just kind of keep meandering, we’re going to have to wait and see,” he concluded, urging followers to watch volume profiles and closing levels rather than intraday wicks.

宏觀上下文扭曲任何近期的熱情。比特幣（比特幣自己的第五波台上的頂部更快到達，超過了先前的周期高點）已經陷入了自己的ABC，Quantum Ascent希望Altcoins與領頭者一起“安定下來”。他總結說：“無論是在C波中迅速進行，還是我們一直在蜿蜒曲折，我們將不得不拭目以待。”

As always, Elliott-wave counts remain interpretative rather than predictive, and traders should align any positioning with their personal risk limits. Dogecoin retains the eighth-largest market capitalisation in crypto, but elevated volatility means even minor price gaps can translate into double-digit percentage swings.

與往常一樣，Elliott-Wave計數仍然是解釋性的，而不是預測性，交易者應與其個人風險限制保持一致。 Dogecoin保留了加密貨幣的第八大市值，但升高的波動性意味著即使是次要價格差距也可以轉化為兩位數的波動。

At press time, DOGE was changing hands at $0.228.

發稿時，Doge以0.228美元的價格易手。