Dogecoin（Doge）向其长达一个月范围的下端倾斜

Dogecoin在周二为期一个月的范围的下端滑行，因为独立的Chartist Quantum Ascent发出了颗粒状的崩溃，以表明他认为Meme-Coin是Meme Coin是

Dogecoin slipped toward the lower end of its month-long range on Tuesday as independent chartist Quantum Ascent delivered a granular breakdown of why he believes the meme-coin is part-way through a corrective cascade that could end in the high-teen-cent zone. At mid-afternoon in Europe the token hovered at $0.228, nearly 12% below its May 11 peak and nursing modest intraday losses.

Dogecoin在周二为期一个月的范围的下端滑行，因为独立的Chartist Quantum Ascent发出了颗粒状的崩溃，原因是他认为Meme-Coin在一个纠正级别的级联反应中的一部分可能会在高年级的区域结束。在欧洲下午中旬，令牌的盘旋为0.228美元，比5月11日的峰值和护理中适度的盘中损失低近12％。

Dogecoin Enters Danger Zone

Dogecoin进入危险区域

Reviewing the daily chart, the analyst rewound to the explosive move that began on May 8 and produced a 50% three-session surge: “Last time we checked in over here on May 8, when we got this big green candle, we said, guys, looks like we’re kicking off our fifth microwave here,” he reminded viewers. His initial upside projection had been a modest 2.36 Fibonacci extension, yet Dogecoin “actually went up much higher,” a sign, he added, of strong retail momentum but also of a pattern that now looks finished.

在审查《每日图表》时，分析师逐渐回到了5月8日开始的爆炸性举动，并产生了50％的三经潮：“上次我们在5月8日在这里签到的时候，当我们得到这个大型绿色蜡烛时，我们说，伙计们，我们似乎在这里踢出了我们的第五次微波炉，”他想起了观众。”他补充说，他最初的上升投影是一个适度的2.36斐波那契扩展，但Dogecoin“实际上上升得更高”，这是一个强大的零售势头的标志，但现在看起来已经完成了。

Quantum Ascent has since migrated his wave counts to show that the thrust was merely the fifth sub-wave inside a larger first-wave advance. “We’re in the middle of an ABC as we speak… these blue waves are going to move over to here,” he said, redrawing the labels to mark the ongoing retracement. In Elliott-wave parlance the C-leg must at least equal the A-leg, and the presenter converted that rule into arithmetic: “Eighteen-point-eight per cent from there… that’s one of our targets, right around 20.5 cents.”

此后，量子上升迁移了他的波数，以表明该推力仅仅是较大的第一波前进中的第五个子波。他说：“我们在说话时正处于ABC的中间……这些蓝色的波浪将移至这里。”在Elliott-Wave的说法中，C-Leg必须至少等于A-Leg，主持人将该规则转变为算术：“从那里占18％的百分之八点……这是我们的目标之一，约为20.5美分。”

Deeper penetration is not only possible but statistically common, he argued, because “oftentimes it makes it down into this third or fourth wave.” Measuring from the early-May low to the mid-May top, he plotted the 0.500, 0.618 and 0.702 retracements — a band stretching roughly from 19.5 cents to 17 cents — and called it “the logical zone for a first-and-second-wave reset.” A shallower halt at the 0.382, around 21.8 cents, would in his view be “a pretty shallow correction.”

他认为，更深的渗透不仅是可能的，而且在统计上是普遍的，因为“通常会将其降至第三或第四波。”他绘制了从早期的低点到五月中期，他绘制了0.500、0.618和0.702回波的曲目，这是一条从19.5美分延伸到17美分的乐队，称其为“第一和第二波重置的逻辑区域”。在他看来，较浅的0.382停止，大约21.8美分，这是“非常浅的校正”。

One attempt to break higher has already stalled in what he labelled the “danger zone” between the 0.618 and 0.786 retracements: “We took a stab to break through, but we didn't close… we wicked above it, ended up right there at the 702, the rejection, and now it’s kind of rolling over again.” That failure leaves a nearby trigger level: “We break this low here at 21 cents, then we’re for sure seeing 20.5 cents.”

一次试图打破更高的尝试已经停滞了他标记为0.618和0.786回波之间的“危险区域”的尝试：“我们刺伤了刺伤，但我们没有陷入困境，但是我们没有关闭……我们在它上方邪恶，最终在702，拒绝了，现在又一次滚滚了。”这种故障留下了附近的触发水平：“我们在21美分的情况下将这一低点打破，然后我们肯定会看到20.5美分。”

The tape action, he added, resembles a Wyckoff re-accumulation structure: “Looks like honestly a form of Wyckoff and we’re building the sign of strength right here before we take off.” Yet the bullish pay-off, if it comes, likely lies several weeks ahead. The correction underway marks “a macro two that we’re working on right now,” he said, emphasising that the subsequent third wave would be decisive: “Macro wave threes — those are the daddies. Those are the big ones. That’s where we’re really going to get some juice.”

他补充说，磁带的动作类似于Wyckoff的重新蓄能结构：“老实说，这是Wyckoff的一种形式，我们在这里起飞之前就在这里建立了力量的迹象。”然而，看涨的回报，如果有的话，可能会提前几周。他说，进行的更正标志着“我们现在正在努力的宏观两者”，他说，随后的第三波浪潮将是决定性的：“宏波三分 - 那是父亲。这些都是大的。这就是我们真的要喝果汁的地方。”

Macro context tempers any near-term enthusiasm. Bitcoin — whose own fifth-wave top arrived sooner and overshot its prior cycle high — has already rolled into an ABC of its own, and Quantum Ascent expects altcoins to “settle down” alongside the bellwether. “Whether it goes quickly in a C-wave or we just kind of keep meandering, we’re going to have to wait and see,” he concluded, urging followers to watch volume profiles and closing levels rather than intraday wicks.

宏观上下文扭曲任何近期的热情。比特币（比特币自己的第五波台上的顶部更快到达，超过了先前的周期高点）已经陷入了自己的ABC，Quantum Ascent希望Altcoins与领头者一起“安定下来”。他总结说：“无论是在C波中迅速进行，还是我们一直在蜿蜒曲折，我们将不得不拭目以待。”

As always, Elliott-wave counts remain interpretative rather than predictive, and traders should align any positioning with their personal risk limits. Dogecoin retains the eighth-largest market capitalisation in crypto, but elevated volatility means even minor price gaps can translate into double-digit percentage swings.

与往常一样，Elliott-Wave计数仍然是解释性的，而不是预测性，交易者应与其个人风险限制保持一致。 Dogecoin保留了加密货币的第八大市值，但升高的波动性意味着即使是次要价格差距也可以转化为两位数的波动。

At press time, DOGE was changing hands at $0.228.

发稿时，Doge以0.228美元的价格易手。