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在十年之內,比特幣將取代美元的統治地位,並成為國際經濟的標準貨幣
Billionaire venture capitalist Tim Draper predicts that bitcoin will become the standard currency underpinning the international economy within a decade, in an interview with CoinDesk’s MkRtich Melkonian at Draper's New York office.
億萬富翁風險資本家蒂姆·德雷珀(Tim Draper)預測,比特幣將在十年內成為基於國際經濟的標準貨幣,並在Draper紐約辦事處的Coindesk的Mkrtich Melkonian採訪中。
"We'll be able to buy our food, our clothing, our shelter, pay our taxes, all in Bitcoin and it's a better way to collect taxes. For sure, there won't be any reason to hold onto any [dollars] and bitcoin will be the primary source of owning wealth," said Draper.
Draper說:“我們將能夠購買我們的食物,服裝,庇護所,繳納稅款,所有這些都是比特幣的,這是一種更好的方法來徵稅。當然,沒有任何理由保留任何[美元],比特幣將成為擁有財富的主要來源。”
"The good news here is that banks can now hold your bitcoin and your fiat currency ... but you don't want to be in line at the banks trying to get your dollars out to put them into bitcoin when there is a transformation."
“這裡的好消息是,銀行現在可以持有您的比特幣和法定貨幣……但是您不想在銀行排隊,試圖在發生轉換時將其拿出來將它們放入比特幣中。”
Draper warned there will be a run on fiat banks and a global shift to the Bitcoin standard as trust in governments wane and decentralized technology replaces the traditional banking system. This was especially evident when Silicon Valley Bank ("SVB") collapsed in March 2023.
Draper警告說,隨著政府對政府的信任和分散技術的信任,將在菲亞特銀行上進行奔跑,並向比特幣標准進行全球轉變,取代了傳統的銀行系統。當矽谷銀行(“ SVB”)在2023年3月倒塌時,這一點尤其明顯。
"I got calls from 15 companies, portfolio companies, and they were all saying, I can't make payroll,'" said Draper.
Draper說:“我接到了15家公司,投資組合公司的電話,他們都說,我無法賺錢。”
"So every treasury of every company that I fund, I recommend that they have bitcoin along with fiat in banks, so that when there are bank failures, or if people stop taking fiat, then they'll be able to make payroll anyway."
“因此,我資助的每家公司的每一個財政部,我都建議他們在銀行里有比特幣以及菲亞特,以便在有銀行失敗或人們停止服用菲亞特時,他們無論如何都可以賺錢。”
SVB's shuttering was followed by the collapse of Signature Bank and preceded by the liquidation of Silvergate Bank. All three financial institutions had ties to the digital assets industry and were impacted by "contagion effects" in the aftermath of failed crypto exchange FTX, according to the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. But crypto companies have found evidence their demise was accelerated by a covert government debanking campaign, known as Operation Chokepoint 2.0, after a previous government effort to sever controversial but legal businesses from banking.
SVB的關閉之後是簽名銀行倒塌,然後在銀蓋特銀行清算之前。據聯邦存款保險公司稱,這三個金融機構都與數字資產行業有聯繫,並在加密貨幣交易所FTX失敗後受到“傳染效應”的影響。但是加密公司已經發現,在政府以前的政府努力將有爭議的但法律業務從銀行業中切斷出來後,秘密政府撤銷運動(稱為Copepoint 2.0行動2.0)加速了證據。
Draper views bitcoin as a better technology and software that will replace banks and government-issued currency. At an early age, he learned there is precedent in the U.S. for currency crisis when his father gave him a million dollar confederate bill that was essentially worthless.
Draper將比特幣視為一種更好的技術和軟件,可以取代銀行和政府發行的貨幣。在很小的時候,他得知,當他的父親給他一百萬美元的同盟賬單時,在美國有先例,這基本上一文不值。
"Confederates lost the war to the Union and so there was huge inflation in Confederate money and people were paying a million dollars for just $1 of Union money," said Draper. "In effect, we're going through a similar time now."
德雷珀說:“同盟國對工會失去了戰爭,因此同盟資金的通貨膨脹率很高,人們只用1美元的工會資金支付了一百萬美元。” “實際上,我們現在正在經歷類似的時間。”
Bitcoin vs. Stablecoins
比特幣與Stablecoins
Draper is a bitcoin maximalist who believes stablecoins are a bridge to bitcoin that will onboard people to utilize digital currencies, but ultimately they are as flawed as the governments that sanction them.
德雷珀(Draper)是一個比特幣的最大主義者,他認為穩定者是比特幣的橋樑,它將登上人們利用數字貨幣,但最終它們和批准他們的政府一樣有缺陷。
"Stablecoins are subject to inflation. They will inflate if the government prints too much money. They will be worth less and less and less over time, whereas bitcoin is not subject to that," said Draper.
Draper說:“穩定幣可能會發生通貨膨脹。如果政府打印太多錢,它們將膨脹。隨著時間的流逝,它們的價值將越來越少,而比特幣則不受此限制。”
Even though U.S. President Donald Trump's global tariff policies go against Draper's belief in free trade, they hasten his prediction that the U.S. dollar will weaken. The dollar index has dropped almost 8% year to date to 99.96, its lowest level since April 2022. The Trump administration is widely speculated to be analysing ways to devalue the dollar further to make U.S. exports more globally competitive. Nevertheless, Draper is hopeful the U.S. government will negotiate levies down so that trade partners buy more U.S. goods and resume an open market.
儘管美國總統唐納德·特朗普的全球關稅政策違背了德雷珀對自由貿易的信念,但他們也加劇了他的預測美元會減弱。迄今為止,美元指數已經下降了近8%,至99.96,這是自2022年4月以來的最低水平。特朗普政府被廣泛猜測是分析的方式,以進一步貶值美元,以使我們在全球競爭激烈。儘管如此,德雷珀還是希望美國政府將徵收稅款,以便貿易夥伴購買更多的美國商品並恢復開放市場。
Within the U.S., Draper is more confident about domestic tech innovation now that the Securities and Exchange Commission and other federal regulators are "more open to creativity" and have stepped away from the practice of regulation by enforcement.
既然美國在美國,德雷珀對國內技術創新更有信心,因為證券交易委員會和其他聯邦監管機構“對創造力更開放”,並且已經擺脫了執法的監管實踐。
‘Let's start communicating with animals’
“讓我們開始與動物交流”
Other technologies he is invested in include genetics. His early investment in Colossal Biosciences made headlines when the genetics lab created a new species of dire wolf and gene-edited 'woolly mice' into existence using a mix of mutations modelled on woolly mammoths. These efforts to 'de-extinct' species aim to restore earth's biological diversity, but Draper believes they will eventually help humans communicate with animals.
他投資的其他技術包括遺傳學。當遺傳學實驗室創造了一種新的可怕狼和基因編輯的“羊毛小鼠”的新物種時,他對巨大生物科學的早期投資成為頭條新聞,並使用羊毛猛mm象建立的突變混合在一起。這些“去滅絕”物種的努力旨在恢復地球的生物多樣性,但德雷珀認為他們最終將幫助人類與動物進行交流。
"Dogs can smell 10,000 times as well as we can," said Draper. "My theory is that it's usually when they're really happy and they like you, they sneeze on you. What they're doing is telling you a story, they sneeze on you and then, '[Here] are all the things that I've done. These are all the things I've smelled.'" Draper believes advances in genetics and artificial intelligence will eventually decode the language of birds that 'must have 500 different words for wind' and a better understanding of the weather. Humans could also learn from talking to ants about their population management.
德雷珀說:“狗可以聞起來有10,000次。” "My theory is that it's usually when they're really happy and they like you, they sneeze on you. What they're doing is telling you a story, they sneeze on you and then, '[Here] are all the things that I've done. These are all the things I've smelled.'" Draper believes advances in genetics and artificial intelligence will eventually decode the language of birds that 'must have 500 different words for wind' and a better understanding of the weather.人類還可以從與螞蟻談論其人口管理中學習。
"Let's start communicating with animals. I think it'll be great and we are getting
“讓我們開始與動物交流。我認為這會很棒,我們正在變得
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