在十年之内，比特币将取代美元的统治地位，并成为国际经济的标准货币

在十年之内，比特币将取代美元的统治地位，并成为国际经济的标准货币

Billionaire venture capitalist Tim Draper predicts that bitcoin will become the standard currency underpinning the international economy within a decade, in an interview with CoinDesk’s MkRtich Melkonian at Draper's New York office.

亿万富翁风险资本家蒂姆·德雷珀（Tim Draper）预测，比特币将在十年内成为基于国际经济的标准货币，并在Draper纽约办事处的Coindesk的Mkrtich Melkonian采访中。

"We'll be able to buy our food, our clothing, our shelter, pay our taxes, all in Bitcoin and it's a better way to collect taxes. For sure, there won't be any reason to hold onto any [dollars] and bitcoin will be the primary source of owning wealth," said Draper.

Draper说：“我们将能够购买我们的食物，服装，庇护所，缴纳税款，所有这些都是比特币的，这是一种更好的方法来征税。当然，没有任何理由保留任何[美元]，比特币将成为拥有财富的主要来源。”

"The good news here is that banks can now hold your bitcoin and your fiat currency ... but you don't want to be in line at the banks trying to get your dollars out to put them into bitcoin when there is a transformation."

“这里的好消息是，银行现在可以持有您的比特币和法定货币……但是您不想在银行排队，试图在发生转换时将其拿出来将它们放入比特币中。”

Draper warned there will be a run on fiat banks and a global shift to the Bitcoin standard as trust in governments wane and decentralized technology replaces the traditional banking system. This was especially evident when Silicon Valley Bank ("SVB") collapsed in March 2023.

Draper警告说，随着政府对政府的信任和分散技术的信任，将在菲亚特银行上进行奔跑，并向比特币标准进行全球转变，取代了传统的银行系统。当硅谷银行（“ SVB”）在2023年3月倒塌时，这一点尤其明显。

"I got calls from 15 companies, portfolio companies, and they were all saying, I can't make payroll,'" said Draper.

Draper说：“我接到了15家公司，投资组合公司的电话，他们都说，我无法赚钱。”

"So every treasury of every company that I fund, I recommend that they have bitcoin along with fiat in banks, so that when there are bank failures, or if people stop taking fiat, then they'll be able to make payroll anyway."

“因此，我资助的每家公司的每一个财政部，我都建议他们在银行里有比特币以及菲亚特，以便在有银行失败或人们停止服用菲亚特时，他们无论如何都可以赚钱。”

SVB's shuttering was followed by the collapse of Signature Bank and preceded by the liquidation of Silvergate Bank. All three financial institutions had ties to the digital assets industry and were impacted by "contagion effects" in the aftermath of failed crypto exchange FTX, according to the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. But crypto companies have found evidence their demise was accelerated by a covert government debanking campaign, known as Operation Chokepoint 2.0, after a previous government effort to sever controversial but legal businesses from banking.

SVB的关闭之后是签名银行倒塌，然后在银盖特银行清算之前。据联邦存款保险公司称，这三个金融机构都与数字资产行业有联系，并在加密货币交易所FTX失败后受到“传染效应”的影响。但是加密公司已经发现，在政府以前的政府努力将有争议的但法律业务从银行业中切断出来后，秘密政府撤销运动（称为Copepoint 2.0行动2.0）加速了证据。

Draper views bitcoin as a better technology and software that will replace banks and government-issued currency. At an early age, he learned there is precedent in the U.S. for currency crisis when his father gave him a million dollar confederate bill that was essentially worthless.

Draper将比特币视为一种更好的技术和软件，可以取代银行和政府发行的货币。在很小的时候，他得知，当他的父亲给他一百万美元的同盟账单时，在美国有先例，这基本上一文不值。

"Confederates lost the war to the Union and so there was huge inflation in Confederate money and people were paying a million dollars for just $1 of Union money," said Draper. "In effect, we're going through a similar time now."

德雷珀说：“同盟国对工会失去了战争，因此同盟资金的通货膨胀率很高，人们只用1美元的工会资金支付了一百万美元。” “实际上，我们现在正在经历类似的时间。”

Bitcoin vs. Stablecoins

比特币与Stablecoins

Draper is a bitcoin maximalist who believes stablecoins are a bridge to bitcoin that will onboard people to utilize digital currencies, but ultimately they are as flawed as the governments that sanction them.

德雷珀（Draper）是一个比特币的最大主义者，他认为稳定者是比特币的桥梁，它将登上人们利用数字货币，但最终它们和批准他们的政府一样有缺陷。

"Stablecoins are subject to inflation. They will inflate if the government prints too much money. They will be worth less and less and less over time, whereas bitcoin is not subject to that," said Draper.

Draper说：“稳定币可能会发生通货膨胀。如果政府打印太多钱，它们将膨胀。随着时间的流逝，它们的价值将越来越少，而比特币则不受此限制。”

Even though U.S. President Donald Trump's global tariff policies go against Draper's belief in free trade, they hasten his prediction that the U.S. dollar will weaken. The dollar index has dropped almost 8% year to date to 99.96, its lowest level since April 2022. The Trump administration is widely speculated to be analysing ways to devalue the dollar further to make U.S. exports more globally competitive. Nevertheless, Draper is hopeful the U.S. government will negotiate levies down so that trade partners buy more U.S. goods and resume an open market.

尽管美国总统唐纳德·特朗普的全球关税政策违背了德雷珀对自由贸易的信念，但他们也加剧了他的预测美元会减弱。迄今为止，美元指数已经下降了近8％，至99.96，这是自2022年4月以来的最低水平。特朗普政府被广泛猜测是分析的方式，以进一步贬值美元，以使我们在全球竞争激烈。尽管如此，德雷珀还是希望美国政府将征收税款，以便贸易伙伴购买更多的美国商品并恢复开放市场。

Within the U.S., Draper is more confident about domestic tech innovation now that the Securities and Exchange Commission and other federal regulators are "more open to creativity" and have stepped away from the practice of regulation by enforcement.

既然美国在美国，德雷珀对国内技术创新更有信心，因为证券交易委员会和其他联邦监管机构“对创造力更开放”，并且已经摆脱了执法的监管实践。

‘Let's start communicating with animals’

“让我们开始与动物交流”

Other technologies he is invested in include genetics. His early investment in Colossal Biosciences made headlines when the genetics lab created a new species of dire wolf and gene-edited 'woolly mice' into existence using a mix of mutations modelled on woolly mammoths. These efforts to 'de-extinct' species aim to restore earth's biological diversity, but Draper believes they will eventually help humans communicate with animals.

他投资的其他技术包括遗传学。当遗传学实验室创造了一种新的可怕狼和基因编辑的“羊毛小鼠”的新物种时，他对巨大生物科学的早期投资成为头条新闻，并使用羊毛猛mm象建立的突变混合在一起。这些“去灭绝”物种的努力旨在恢复地球的生物多样性，但德雷珀认为他们最终将帮助人类与动物进行交流。

"Dogs can smell 10,000 times as well as we can," said Draper. "My theory is that it's usually when they're really happy and they like you, they sneeze on you. What they're doing is telling you a story, they sneeze on you and then, '[Here] are all the things that I've done. These are all the things I've smelled.'" Draper believes advances in genetics and artificial intelligence will eventually decode the language of birds that 'must have 500 different words for wind' and a better understanding of the weather. Humans could also learn from talking to ants about their population management.

德雷珀说：“狗可以闻起来有10,000次。” "My theory is that it's usually when they're really happy and they like you, they sneeze on you. What they're doing is telling you a story, they sneeze on you and then, '[Here] are all the things that I've done. These are all the things I've smelled.'" Draper believes advances in genetics and artificial intelligence will eventually decode the language of birds that 'must have 500 different words for wind' and a better understanding of the weather.人类还可以从与蚂蚁谈论其人口管理中学习。

"Let's start communicating with animals. I think it'll be great and we are getting

“让我们开始与动物交流。我认为这会很棒，我们正在变得