CryptoQuant 執行長 Ki Young Ju 預測，到 2024 年底，比特幣價格可能達到 58,897 美元

隨著比特幣最終觸及 77,252.75 美元的歷史新高，市場預計將進一步上漲。然而，Ki Young Ju 表示該資產可能會令人失望

CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju has made a bold prediction for the price of Bitcoin at the end of 2024.

CryptoQuant執行長Ki Young Ju對2024年底比特幣的價格做出了大膽預測。

Despite Bitcoin hitting a new all-time high of $77,252.75, Ki Young Ju suggests that the asset could disappoint the market.

儘管比特幣創下了 77,252.75 美元的歷史新高，但 Ki Young Ju 表示，該資產可能會讓市場失望。

According to Ki Young Ju's post on X, Bitcoin might make a reverse fortune to close at $58,897 by the end of the year. However, he added a disclaimer to show that he might be wrong about the prediction.

根據 Ki Young Ju 在 X 上的帖子，比特幣可能會在年底實現逆轉，收於 58,897 美元。然而，他添加了免責聲明，以表明他的預測可能是錯誤的。

His recent comment comes after Bitcoin made an impressive leap to hit a new all-time high of $77,252.75, per Coinmarketcap.

在他最近發表評論之前，比特幣取得了令人印象深刻的飛躍，創下了 Coinmarketcap 的歷史新高 77,252.75 美元。

CryptoQuant CEO predicts a 24% drop in Bitcoin's price

CryptoQuant執行長預測比特幣價格將下跌24%

The CryptoQuant CEO's prediction signals a 24% drop in the price of the asset before the end of the year.

CryptoQuant 執行長的預測顯示該資產的價格將在年底前下跌 24%。

Before his prediction, Ki Young Ju had initially asked his X followers to guess the asset’s price at the end of the year. He promised whoever got the closest figure (CryptoQuant paid users only) a giveaway of 0.1 BTC, about $7,600 in today’s market.

在做出預測之前，Ki Young Ju 最初要求他的 X 粉絲猜測該資產在年底的價格。他承諾，無論誰得到最接近的數字（僅限 CryptoQuant 付費用戶），都將獲得 0.1 BTC 的贈品，在當今市場上約為 7,600 美元。

Comment 2024 close #Bitcoin price. I'll give you 0.1 BTC for the closest guess. CryptoQuant paid users only.

評論 2024 年收盤#Bitcoin 價格。對於最接近的猜測，我會給您 0.1 BTC。僅限 CryptoQuant 付費用戶。

— Ki Young Ju (@ki_young_ju) November 4, 2024

— Ki Young Ju (@ki_young_ju) 2024 年 11 月 4 日

While some of his followers have been making six-digit predictions due to the asset’s recent run, others were modest about their answers.

儘管他的一些追隨者由於該資產最近的運行而做出了六位數的預測，但其他人的答案卻很謙虛。

However, predicting Bitcoin's price in December has always been a tough call. According to data from CoinGlass, Bitcoin has registered greens in five months and reds in the other five months over the last ten years.

然而，預測 12 月比特幣的價格一直是一個艱難的決定。根據CoinGlass的數據，過去十年中，比特幣有五個月呈現綠色，其餘五個月則呈現紅色。

Bitcoin’s volatility around the end of the year is always driven by an expected rally called ‘the Santa Claus Rally’, which might produce bullish or bearish outcomes. This way, investors need to be careful how they approach the market at this time of the year.

比特幣在年底左右的波動總是受到稱為“聖誕老人集會”的預期反彈的推動，這可能會產生看漲或看跌的結果。因此，投資者需要在每年的這個時候謹慎對待市場。

Nevertheless, Bitcoin could make a surge this time of the year going by the recent price surge as a result of the United States election results.

儘管如此，由於最近美國大選結果導致的價格飆升，比特幣可能會在每年的這個時候飆升。

Weight of macroeconomic events and market trend

宏觀經濟事件和市場趨勢的權重

While Ki Young Ju's comments may have caused debates in the market, it is no news that market trends are affected by macroeconomic events. The build-up to the United States presidential elections and the Fed rate cut were seen as factors that propelled Bitcoin to a new high.

雖然奇英柱的言論可能引起市場爭論，但市場趨勢受到宏觀經濟事件影響並不是新聞。美國總統大選和聯準會降息被視為推動比特幣創下新高的因素。

Despite that, investors are keeping an eye out and are looking for opportunities in the market. While some believe that a correction will present an opportunity to buy, others have faith in Bitcoin’s fundamentals.

儘管如此，投資者仍在密切關注並尋找市場機會。雖然有些人認為調整將提供買入機會，但其他人對比特幣的基本面充滿信心。

Similarly, the bearish outlook from the CryptoQuant CEO may be one of the many directions for the asset, which may also react to other events like institutional adoption or the announcement of a new regulation.

同樣，CryptoQuant 執行長的看跌前景可能是該資產的眾多方向之一，該資產也可能對其他事件（例如機構採用或新法規的宣布）做出反應。

Ki Young Ju's position on BTC shows the uncertainty surrounding it and the volatility in the crypto space.

Ki Young Ju 對 BTC 的立場表明了其周圍的不確定性以及加密貨幣領域的波動性。

Even if Bitcoin remains strong in the face of external fluctuations and shows positive signs of market developments, the remaining days of 2024 are still filled with doubts. The prediction also takes into consideration the long-term dynamics of Bitcoin and the conditions that could affect its future.

即使比特幣面對外部波動依然堅挺，並呈現出市場發展的正面跡象，2024年剩下的日子仍充滿疑慮。該預測還考慮了比特幣的長期動態以及可能影響其未來的條件。