CryptoQuant 首席执行官 Ki Young Ju 预测，到 2024 年底，比特币价格可能会达到 58,897 美元

随着比特币最终触及 77,252.75 美元的历史新高，市场预计将进一步上涨。然而，Ki Young Ju 表示该资产可能会令人失望

CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju has made a bold prediction for the price of Bitcoin at the end of 2024.

CryptoQuant首席执行官Ki Young Ju对2024年底比特币的价格做出了大胆预测。

Despite Bitcoin hitting a new all-time high of $77,252.75, Ki Young Ju suggests that the asset could disappoint the market.

尽管比特币创下了 77,252.75 美元的历史新高，但 Ki Young Ju 表示，该资产可能会让市场失望。

According to Ki Young Ju's post on X, Bitcoin might make a reverse fortune to close at $58,897 by the end of the year. However, he added a disclaimer to show that he might be wrong about the prediction.

根据 Ki Young Ju 在 X 上的帖子，比特币可能会在年底实现逆转，收于 58,897 美元。然而，他添加了免责声明，以表明他的预测可能是错误的。

His recent comment comes after Bitcoin made an impressive leap to hit a new all-time high of $77,252.75, per Coinmarketcap.

他最近发表评论之前，比特币取得了令人印象深刻的飞跃，创下了根据 Coinmarketcap 计算的 77,252.75 美元的历史新高。

CryptoQuant CEO predicts a 24% drop in Bitcoin's price

CryptoQuant首席执行官预测比特币价格将下跌24%

The CryptoQuant CEO's prediction signals a 24% drop in the price of the asset before the end of the year.

CryptoQuant 首席执行官的预测表明该资产的价格将在年底前下跌 24%。

Before his prediction, Ki Young Ju had initially asked his X followers to guess the asset’s price at the end of the year. He promised whoever got the closest figure (CryptoQuant paid users only) a giveaway of 0.1 BTC, about $7,600 in today’s market.

在做出预测之前，Ki Young Ju 最初要求他的 X 粉丝猜测该资产在年底的价格。他承诺，无论谁得到最接近的数字（仅限 CryptoQuant 付费用户），都将赠送 0.1 BTC，在当今市场上约为 7,600 美元。

Comment 2024 close #Bitcoin price. I'll give you 0.1 BTC for the closest guess. CryptoQuant paid users only.

评论 2024 年收盘#Bitcoin 价格。对于最接近的猜测，我会给您 0.1 BTC。仅限 CryptoQuant 付费用户。

— Ki Young Ju (@ki_young_ju) November 4, 2024

— Ki Young Ju (@ki_young_ju) 2024 年 11 月 4 日

While some of his followers have been making six-digit predictions due to the asset’s recent run, others were modest about their answers.

尽管他的一些追随者由于该资产最近的运行而做出了六位数的预测，但其他人的答案却很谦虚。

However, predicting Bitcoin's price in December has always been a tough call. According to data from CoinGlass, Bitcoin has registered greens in five months and reds in the other five months over the last ten years.

然而，预测 12 月份比特币的价格一直是一个艰难的决定。根据CoinGlass的数据，过去十年中，比特币有五个月呈绿色，其余五个月呈红色。

Bitcoin’s volatility around the end of the year is always driven by an expected rally called ‘the Santa Claus Rally’, which might produce bullish or bearish outcomes. This way, investors need to be careful how they approach the market at this time of the year.

比特币在年底左右的波动总是受到称为“圣诞老人集会”的预期反弹的推动，这可能会产生看涨或看跌的结果。因此，投资者需要在每年的这个时候谨慎对待市场。

Nevertheless, Bitcoin could make a surge this time of the year going by the recent price surge as a result of the United States election results.

尽管如此，由于最近美国大选结果导致的价格飙升，比特币可能会在每年的这个时候飙升。

Weight of macroeconomic events and market trend

宏观经济事件和市场走势的权重

While Ki Young Ju's comments may have caused debates in the market, it is no news that market trends are affected by macroeconomic events. The build-up to the United States presidential elections and the Fed rate cut were seen as factors that propelled Bitcoin to a new high.

虽然奇英柱的言论可能引起市场争论，但市场趋势受到宏观经济事件影响并不是什么新闻。美国总统大选和美联储降息被视为推动比特币创下新高的因素。

Despite that, investors are keeping an eye out and are looking for opportunities in the market. While some believe that a correction will present an opportunity to buy, others have faith in Bitcoin’s fundamentals.

尽管如此，投资者仍在密切关注并寻找市场机会。虽然一些人认为调整将提供买入机会，但其他人对比特币的基本面充满信心。

Similarly, the bearish outlook from the CryptoQuant CEO may be one of the many directions for the asset, which may also react to other events like institutional adoption or the announcement of a new regulation.

同样，CryptoQuant 首席执行官的看跌前景可能是该资产的众多方向之一，该资产也可能对其他事件（例如机构采用或新法规的宣布）做出反应。

Ki Young Ju's position on BTC shows the uncertainty surrounding it and the volatility in the crypto space.

Ki Young Ju 对 BTC 的立场表明了其周围的不确定性以及加密货币领域的波动性。

Even if Bitcoin remains strong in the face of external fluctuations and shows positive signs of market developments, the remaining days of 2024 are still filled with doubts. The prediction also takes into consideration the long-term dynamics of Bitcoin and the conditions that could affect its future.

即使比特币面对外部波动依然坚挺，并呈现出市场发展的积极迹象，2024年剩下的日子仍然充满疑虑。该预测还考虑了比特币的长期动态以及可能影响其未来的条件。