分析師預測加密貨幣用戶將在 2025 年突破十億

加密貨幣分析師 Willy Woo 根據獨立研究和幣安的估計推斷，到 2025 年，該行業的用戶數量將達到 10 億，65% 的加密用戶持有比特幣。此圖表將加密貨幣用戶定義為透過了解您的客戶（KYC）驗證並進行區塊鏈交易的獨特實體，標誌著主流採用的里程碑。

Cryptocurrency Poised to Cross Monumental Billion-User Threshold by 2025, Analyst Predicts

分析師預測，加密貨幣將在 2025 年突破十億用戶大關

In a groundbreaking forecast, cryptocurrency analyst Willy Woo boldly predicts that the burgeoning industry will reach its inaugural billion-user milestone by the end of 2025. This projection, meticulously crafted from an extrapolation of independent studies, represents a remarkable advancement in delineating the trajectory of crypto adoption.

在一項開創性的預測中，加密貨幣分析師Willy Woo 大膽預測，這個新興產業將在2025 年底前達到其首個十億用戶里程碑。加密貨幣發展軌跡方面取得了顯著進展。

Woo's comprehensive chart, captivatingly presented in an April 29 X post, offers a first-of-its-kind model that not only quantifies the existing user base but also charts the path towards the coveted billion adopters. Notably, the user definition employed in the chart meticulously considers unique entities that have completed Know Your Customer (KYC) verification and actively engaged in blockchain transactions.

Woo 的綜合圖表在 4 月 29 日的一篇貼文中引人入勝地展示，提供了一個史無前例的模型，不僅量化了現有的用戶群，還繪製了通往令人垂涎的十億用戶的道路。值得注意的是，圖表中使用的使用者定義仔細考慮了已完成了解您的客戶（KYC）驗證並積極參與區塊鏈交易的獨特實體。

Daniel Batten, a respected investor and author of the Bitcoin ESG Forecast, was among the first to commend the significance of Woo's chart. In an X reply, he expressed, "Incredible chart. The first view we've had of when we'll cross the 1B threshold, with a full backtrace."

Daniel Batten 是一位受人尊敬的投資者，也是《比特幣 ESG 預測》一書的作者，他是最早讚揚 Woo 圖表重要性的人之一。在 X 回覆中，他表示：“令人難以置信的圖表。當我們跨越 1B 閾值時，我們看到的第一個視圖，帶有完整的回溯。”

The achievement of the first billion crypto users has long been heralded as a pivotal moment for mainstream adoption, unlocking the potential for substantial capital injection into the ecosystem. This influx of fresh liquidity is widely regarded as a crucial catalyst for the appreciation of digital assets.

長期以來，第一個十億加密貨幣用戶的實現一直被認為是主流採用的關鍵時刻，釋放了向生態系統注入大量資本的潛力。這種新流動性的湧入被廣泛認為是數位資產升值的關鍵催化劑。

The trajectory towards this milestone is bolstered by the impressive growth in ownership witnessed in recent years. According to a January 2024 report by Crypto.com, the number of cryptocurrency owners surged by 34% to reach 580 million in 2023. Notably, Bitcoin holders, constituting 51% of global crypto holders, experienced a 33% increase, rising from 222 million in January to 296 million by December 2023. The report attributes this growth primarily to the development and adoption of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

近年來所有權數量的驚人增長推動了這一里程碑的發展。根據Crypto.com 2024 年1 月的報告，加密貨幣持有者數量激增34%，到2023 年達到5.8 億。 ，成長了33%，從2.22 億增加到 2023 年 12 月，這一數字將增至 2.96 億。

However, achieving the coveted billion-user mark by 2025 presents a formidable challenge, requiring a significant 72% increase from the current 580 million users, based on 2023's growth trajectory. Despite this, a joint 2022 report by Boston Consulting Group, Bitget, and Foresight Ventures offers a more conservative estimate, forecasting the attainment of the billion-user milestone by 2030.

然而，到 2025 年實現令人垂涎的 10 億用戶大關是一項艱鉅的挑戰，根據 2023 年的成長軌跡，需要在目前 5.8 億用戶的基礎上大幅增加 72%。儘管如此，波士頓顧問集團、Bitget 和 Foresight Ventures 聯合發布的 2022 年報告提供了更保守的估計，預測到 2030 年將實現十億用戶里程碑。

Drawing parallels with the internet's adoption curve, the report suggests that the sustained adoption of cryptocurrencies could follow a similar trajectory. Currently, crypto adoption remains relatively low, with ample room for expansion. As of now, only 0.3% of individual wealth is invested in crypto compared to 25% in global equities, as estimated by BCG.

該報告與互聯網的採用曲線進行了比較，表明加密貨幣的持續採用可能會遵循類似的軌跡。目前，加密貨幣的採用率仍然相對較低，但仍有充足的擴展空間。根據 BCG 估計，截至目前，只有 0.3% 的個人財富投資於加密貨幣，而全球股票的投資比例為 25%。

While the road to a billion crypto users may be fraught with challenges, the industry's sustained growth and the unwavering enthusiasm of its proponents provide a solid foundation for optimism. As the ecosystem continues to mature and new use cases emerge, the potential for wider adoption and mainstream acceptance remains immense. The achievement of the billion-user milestone would undoubtedly propel cryptocurrencies into a new era of prominence, marking a transformative chapter in the evolution of finance.

儘管通往十億加密貨幣用戶的道路可能充滿挑戰，但該行業的持續成長及其支持者堅定不移的熱情為樂觀情緒提供了堅實的基礎。隨著生態系統的不斷成熟和新用例的出現，更廣泛採用和主流接受的潛力仍然巨大。十億用戶里程碑的實現無疑將推動加密貨幣進入一個突出的新時代，並標誌著金融發展的變革性篇章。