分析师预测加密货币用户将在 2025 年突破十亿

加密货币分析师 Willy Woo 根据独立研究和币安的估计推断，到 2025 年，该行业的用户数量将达到 10 亿，65% 的加密用户持有比特币。该图表将加密货币用户定义为通过了解您的客户（KYC）验证并进行区块链交易的独特实体，标志着主流采用的里程碑。

Cryptocurrency Poised to Cross Monumental Billion-User Threshold by 2025, Analyst Predicts

分析师预测，加密货币将在 2025 年突破十亿用户大关

In a groundbreaking forecast, cryptocurrency analyst Willy Woo boldly predicts that the burgeoning industry will reach its inaugural billion-user milestone by the end of 2025. This projection, meticulously crafted from an extrapolation of independent studies, represents a remarkable advancement in delineating the trajectory of crypto adoption.

在一项开创性的预测中，加密货币分析师 Willy Woo 大胆预测，这个新兴行业将在 2025 年底前达到其首个十亿用户里程碑。这一预测是根据独立研究精心推断的，代表着在描绘加密货币发展轨迹方面取得了显着进步。加密货币的采用。

Woo's comprehensive chart, captivatingly presented in an April 29 X post, offers a first-of-its-kind model that not only quantifies the existing user base but also charts the path towards the coveted billion adopters. Notably, the user definition employed in the chart meticulously considers unique entities that have completed Know Your Customer (KYC) verification and actively engaged in blockchain transactions.

Woo 的综合图表在 4 月 29 日的一篇帖子中引人入胜地展示，提供了一个史无前例的模型，不仅量化了现有的用户群，还绘制了通往令人垂涎的十亿用户的道路。值得注意的是，图表中使用的用户定义仔细考虑了已完成了解您的客户（KYC）验证并积极参与区块链交易的独特实体。

Daniel Batten, a respected investor and author of the Bitcoin ESG Forecast, was among the first to commend the significance of Woo's chart. In an X reply, he expressed, "Incredible chart. The first view we've had of when we'll cross the 1B threshold, with a full backtrace."

Daniel Batten 是一位受人尊敬的投资者，也是《比特币 ESG 预测》一书的作者，他是最早赞扬 Woo 图表重要性的人之一。在 X 回复中，他表示：“令人难以置信的图表。当我们跨越 1B 阈值时，我们看到的第一个视图，带有完整的回溯。”

The achievement of the first billion crypto users has long been heralded as a pivotal moment for mainstream adoption, unlocking the potential for substantial capital injection into the ecosystem. This influx of fresh liquidity is widely regarded as a crucial catalyst for the appreciation of digital assets.

长期以来，第一个十亿加密货币用户的实现一直被认为是主流采用的关键时刻，释放了向生态系统注入大量资本的潜力。这种新流动性的涌入被广泛认为是数字资产升值的关键催化剂。

The trajectory towards this milestone is bolstered by the impressive growth in ownership witnessed in recent years. According to a January 2024 report by Crypto.com, the number of cryptocurrency owners surged by 34% to reach 580 million in 2023. Notably, Bitcoin holders, constituting 51% of global crypto holders, experienced a 33% increase, rising from 222 million in January to 296 million by December 2023. The report attributes this growth primarily to the development and adoption of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

近年来所有权数量的惊人增长推动了这一里程碑的发展。根据 Crypto.com 2024 年 1 月的一份报告，加密货币持有者数量激增 34%，到 2023 年达到 5.8 亿。值得注意的是，比特币持有者占全球加密货币持有者的 51%，增长了 33%，从 2.22 亿增加到到 2023 年 12 月，这一数字将增至 2.96 亿。该报告将这一增长主要归因于比特币交易所交易基金 (ETF) 的开发和采用。

However, achieving the coveted billion-user mark by 2025 presents a formidable challenge, requiring a significant 72% increase from the current 580 million users, based on 2023's growth trajectory. Despite this, a joint 2022 report by Boston Consulting Group, Bitget, and Foresight Ventures offers a more conservative estimate, forecasting the attainment of the billion-user milestone by 2030.

然而，到 2025 年实现令人垂涎的 10 亿用户大关是一项艰巨的挑战，根据 2023 年的增长轨迹，需要在当前 5.8 亿用户的基础上大幅增加 72%。尽管如此，波士顿咨询集团、Bitget 和 Foresight Ventures 联合发布的 2022 年报告提供了更为保守的估计，预测到 2030 年将实现十亿用户里程碑。

Drawing parallels with the internet's adoption curve, the report suggests that the sustained adoption of cryptocurrencies could follow a similar trajectory. Currently, crypto adoption remains relatively low, with ample room for expansion. As of now, only 0.3% of individual wealth is invested in crypto compared to 25% in global equities, as estimated by BCG.

该报告与互联网的采用曲线进行了比较，表明加密货币的持续采用可能会遵循类似的轨迹。目前，加密货币的采用率仍然相对较低，但仍有充足的扩展空间。据 BCG 估计，截至目前，只有 0.3% 的个人财富投资于加密货币，而全球股票的投资比例为 25%。

While the road to a billion crypto users may be fraught with challenges, the industry's sustained growth and the unwavering enthusiasm of its proponents provide a solid foundation for optimism. As the ecosystem continues to mature and new use cases emerge, the potential for wider adoption and mainstream acceptance remains immense. The achievement of the billion-user milestone would undoubtedly propel cryptocurrencies into a new era of prominence, marking a transformative chapter in the evolution of finance.

尽管通往十亿加密货币用户的道路可能充满挑战，但该行业的持续增长及其支持者坚定不移的热情为乐观情绪提供了坚实的基础。随着生态系统的不断成熟和新用例的出现，更广泛采用和主流接受的潜力仍然巨大。十亿用户里程碑的实现无疑将推动加密货币进入一个突出的新时代，标志着金融发展的变革性篇章。