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美國經濟冷卻的跡象正在改變貨幣政策的期望,而加密市場開始反應。
output: Bitcoin price is surging on signs of a cooling U.S. economy, which is shifting expectations around monetary policy—and crypto markets are starting to react.
產出:比特幣的價格正在飆升美國經濟冷卻的跡象,這正在改變貨幣政策的期望,而加密貨幣市場開始做出反應。
Recent data showing a contraction in GDP and a continued slowdown in inflation has fueled speculation that the Federal Reserve may soon adopt a more accommodative stance. And analysts say that if rate cuts arrive, Bitcoin (BTC) will be one of the biggest beneficiaries.
最近的數據表明,GDP收縮和通貨膨脹率持續放緩引發了人們的猜測,即美聯儲可能很快採取了更具適應性的立場。分析人士說,如果降低稅率到來,比特幣(BTC)將是最大的受益人之一。
The latest inflation figures, particularly the Fed’s preferred metric—the Core PCE index—showed no growth month-over-month and decreased to 2.6% in December, reaching its lowest level in over a year.
最新的通貨膨脹數據,尤其是美聯儲的首選度量標準(核心PCE指數),沒有月度增長,並且在12月份沒有下降至2.6%,達到了一年多以上的最低水平。
The reading came below economists’ estimates of a 0.1% uptick and a 2.7% annual core PCE.
閱讀量低於經濟學家的估計值為0.1%,年度核心PCE佔2.7%。
The data, which was released on Wednesday, suggests progress toward the Fed’s 2% inflation goal despite a surprise GDP pullback.
該數據於週三發布,表明,儘管GDP令人驚訝,儘管GDP令人驚訝。
The U.S. economy contracted at an annual rate of 1.5% in the fourth quarter, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Economists had anticipated a modest expansion of 0.1%.
根據經濟分析局的數據,美國經濟在第四季度的年率為1.5%。經濟學家預計將佔0.1%。
The GDP figures also showed a downward revision to the third quarter, with a 0.9% contraction reported.
GDP數字還顯示了第三季度的下降修訂,報告了0.9%的收縮。
Bitcoin reacted with strength,パス $97,000 and rallying over 13% since the start of its recent rebound—dubbed “Independence Day” by some crypto traders.
比特幣以強度的反應,自最近的反彈開始以來,比特幣的反應率為97,000美元,漲幅超過13%,這是一些加密貨幣交易者召集的“獨立日”。
Meanwhile, the S&P 500 has remained mostly flat over the same period, highlighting the asset class divergence.
同時,標準普爾500指數在同一時期仍保持平坦,突出了資產類別的分歧。
But with the odds of multiple rate cuts increasing, analysts say capital will increasingly shift into alternative assets. Bitcoin, often viewed as a hedge against fiat devaluation and tightening monetary cycles, may benefit from liquidity returning into crypto markets.
但是,由於削減稅率的機率增加,分析師表示,資本將越來越多地轉移到替代資產中。比特幣經常被視為避免法定貶值和收緊貨幣週期的對沖,可能會受益於流動性返回加密貨幣市場。
As the macroeconomic outlook deteriorates, equities could come under pressure, impacting the S&P 500's performance.
隨著宏觀經濟前景的惡化,股票可能會受到壓力,從而影響標準普爾500指數的表現。
However, crypto traders are already placing their bets on a bullish case for Bitcoin if the macroeconomic outlook improves.
但是,如果宏觀經濟前景改善,加密貨幣交易者已經將他們的賭注放在對比特幣的看漲案例上。
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