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美国经济冷却的迹象正在改变货币政策的期望,而加密市场开始反应。
output: Bitcoin price is surging on signs of a cooling U.S. economy, which is shifting expectations around monetary policy—and crypto markets are starting to react.
产出:比特币的价格正在飙升美国经济冷却的迹象,这正在改变货币政策的期望,而加密货币市场开始做出反应。
Recent data showing a contraction in GDP and a continued slowdown in inflation has fueled speculation that the Federal Reserve may soon adopt a more accommodative stance. And analysts say that if rate cuts arrive, Bitcoin (BTC) will be one of the biggest beneficiaries.
最近的数据表明,GDP收缩和通货膨胀率持续放缓引发了人们的猜测,即美联储可能很快采取了更具适应性的立场。分析人士说,如果降低税率到来,比特币(BTC)将是最大的受益人之一。
The latest inflation figures, particularly the Fed’s preferred metric—the Core PCE index—showed no growth month-over-month and decreased to 2.6% in December, reaching its lowest level in over a year.
最新的通货膨胀数据,尤其是美联储的首选度量标准(核心PCE指数),没有月度增长,并且在12月份没有下降至2.6%,达到了一年多以上的最低水平。
The reading came below economists’ estimates of a 0.1% uptick and a 2.7% annual core PCE.
阅读量低于经济学家的估计值为0.1%,年度核心PCE占2.7%。
The data, which was released on Wednesday, suggests progress toward the Fed’s 2% inflation goal despite a surprise GDP pullback.
该数据于周三发布,表明,尽管GDP令人惊讶,尽管GDP令人惊讶。
The U.S. economy contracted at an annual rate of 1.5% in the fourth quarter, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Economists had anticipated a modest expansion of 0.1%.
根据经济分析局的数据,美国经济在第四季度的年率为1.5%。经济学家预计将占0.1%。
The GDP figures also showed a downward revision to the third quarter, with a 0.9% contraction reported.
GDP数字还显示了第三季度的下降修订,报告了0.9%的收缩。
Bitcoin reacted with strength,パス $97,000 and rallying over 13% since the start of its recent rebound—dubbed “Independence Day” by some crypto traders.
比特币以强度的反应,自最近的反弹开始以来,比特币的反应率为97,000美元,涨幅超过13%,这是一些加密货币交易者召集的“独立日”。
Meanwhile, the S&P 500 has remained mostly flat over the same period, highlighting the asset class divergence.
同时,标准普尔500指数在同一时期仍保持平坦,突出了资产类别的分歧。
But with the odds of multiple rate cuts increasing, analysts say capital will increasingly shift into alternative assets. Bitcoin, often viewed as a hedge against fiat devaluation and tightening monetary cycles, may benefit from liquidity returning into crypto markets.
但是,由于削减税率的几率增加,分析师表示,资本将越来越多地转移到替代资产中。比特币经常被视为避免法定贬值和收紧货币周期的对冲,可能会受益于流动性返回加密货币市场。
As the macroeconomic outlook deteriorates, equities could come under pressure, impacting the S&P 500's performance.
随着宏观经济前景的恶化,股票可能会受到压力,从而影响标准普尔500指数的表现。
However, crypto traders are already placing their bets on a bullish case for Bitcoin if the macroeconomic outlook improves.
但是,如果宏观经济前景改善,加密货币交易者已经将他们的赌注放在对比特币的看涨案例上。
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