加密和比特幣公牛跑了嗎？

自今年年初以來，加密市場一直面臨著巨大的下降趨勢。這使投資者質疑加密貨幣或比特幣牛的狀況。

Since the beginning of the year, the crypto market has been facing massive downtrends. This left investors questioning the status of the crypto or Bitcoin bull run. Some anticipated it is over amid recent corrections, while others barely remained optimistic.

自今年年初以來，加密市場一直面臨著巨大的下降趨勢。這使投資者質疑加密貨幣或比特幣牛的狀況。有些人預計這是在最近的更正之內，而另一些則幾乎保持樂觀。

Even after the market began to recover in the last few days, the concerns remain the same. Let’s discuss the recent trends and where BTC stands on the bull cycle.

即使在最近幾天市場開始恢復之後，問題仍然相同。讓我們討論最近的趨勢以及BTC在公牛週期中的位置。

Is the Crypto & Bitcoin Bull Run Over?

加密和比特幣公牛跑了嗎？

Crypto bull run is the term that describes massive gains in the price of digital assets over a long period. At the beginning of the year, the BTC’s price hit a high of $109.1k but currently stands at just $84.1k, leaving many devastated over its continuous consolidation.

Crypto Bull Run是一個長期以來描述數字資產價格的巨大收益的術語。在今年年初，BTC的價格達到了109.1萬美元，但目前僅為84.1萬美元，而許多人的持續合併造成了毀滅性。

However, the key takeaways from the latest data reveal that the crypto/ Bitcoin bull run is far from over, and many new major breakouts are aligned in the future trajectory.

但是，最新數據的關鍵要點表明，加密貨幣/比特幣牛的運行還遠遠沒有結束，並且在未來的軌跡中，許多新的重大突破都保持一致。

According to the Colin Talks Crypto, BTC is in the midst of a short-term rally, the peak of which will likely form in mid to late March. This reveals that the rally is still in development and the current consolidation is temporary.

根據Colin Talks Crypto的說法，BTC正處於短期集會中，其高峰可能會在3月中旬至下半年形成。這表明集會仍在發展中，並且當前的合併是暫時的。

According to the latest data from TradingView, BTC's price is still bullish.

根據TradingView的最新數據，BTC的價格仍然是看好的。

Moreover, the Global M2 Money supply correlation is the best method to analyse the trajectory of this rally as Bitcoin price moves with the M2 data, which is a measure of liquidity.

此外，隨著比特幣價格使用M2數據移動，全球M2貨幣供應相關性是分析該集會軌蹟的最佳方法，這是衡量流動性的量度。

Based on the stats, there are two possible timelines, both bullish. Scenario 1 (70-day offset) predicts a strong move up around March 2,5, and Scenario 2 (107-day offset) suggests a significant blow-off around April 30 to early May.

根據統計數據，有兩個可能的時間表，都是看好的。方案1（70天偏移）預測3月2日左右的強勁增長，場景2（107天偏移）表明4月30日至5月初左右發生了重大吹捧。

What Does This Mean for the Bitcoin Bull Run?

這對比特幣牛的跑步意味著什麼？

Colin has concluded there are 2-3 more days until the top of this mini rally happens. More importantly, the 107-day offense fits the current situation, so the rally would form around April 30.

科林得出結論，還有2-3天，直到這次迷你集會的頂部發生。更重要的是，107天的進攻適合當前情況，因此集會將在4月30日左右。

It looks to me like BTC has at least three more days until the end of that mini rally. He added that M2 Global supply with a 107-day offset seems to fit best currently. Blast off date estimated around April 30.

在我看來，BTC至少還有三天，直到那個迷你集會結束。他補充說，目前有107天偏移的M2全球供應似乎最適合。爆炸日期估計在4月30日左右。

Overall, this means that the continuity of the historical pattern may bring short-term volatility, especially once this mini-rally peaks. However, the real acceleration of the crypto & Bitcoin bull run may not occur until April or early May, the same time when global liquidity is expected to rise.

總體而言，這意味著歷史模式的連續性可能會帶來短期波動，尤其是一旦這個小型峰值達到了峰值。但是，直到4月或5月初（預計全球流動性上升的同時），加密和比特幣公牛運行的真正加速可能才會發生。

How’s the Crypto Market Performing Today?

加密市場今天的表現如何？

After a rough two-month stretch that saw the crypto market lose over $1 trillion, Bitcoin's price recovery has set a more optimistic tone. With a nearly 9% surge from its month low, BTC currently trades at $84.1k. The rest of the market followed the same, reaching a global market cap of $2.76 trillion.

經過兩個月的艱難，加密貨幣市場損失了超過1萬億美元，比特幣的價格恢復卻設定了更加樂觀的基調。 BTC目前以84.1k美元的價格交易，距其月份低9％。其餘的市場遵循相同的情況，達到了2.7.6萬億美元的全球市值。

This bounce happened as the broader financial market, including and stock, rebounded. More importantly, the regulatory clarity from the SEC, as they proposed to classify XRP as a payment asset rather than security, influenced investor sentiments.

這種反彈發生了，包括更廣泛的金融市場（包括股票）反彈。更重要的是，SEC的監管清晰度，因為他們提議將XRP歸類為付款資產而不是安全性，影響了投資者的情緒。

Interestingly, the famous crypto analyst Josh Mandel predicted that the BTC price would hit $440k, increasing investor confidence in the asset and the market.

有趣的是，這位著名的加密分析師喬什·曼德爾（Josh Mandel）預測，BTC價格將達到44萬美元，從而增加了投資者對資產和市場的信心。

Conclusion: Bull Run Far From Over

結論：公牛遠離結束

Although Bitcoin's short-term uncertainty remains unchanged, the broader outlook is optimistically bullish. More importantly, analysts believe that BTC is in the mini rally, and the peak is 2-3 days away. However, the biggest breakout or Bitcoin bull run peak is due on April 30 to early May, making the current crypto market ideal for holding.

儘管比特幣的短期不確定性保持不變，但更廣泛的前景是樂觀的看法。更重要的是，分析師認為BTC處於迷你集會中，峰值為2-3天。但是，最大的突破或比特幣公牛峰值將於4月30日至5月初到期，這使得當前的加密貨幣市場是持有的理想之選。

Amid this bullish Bitcoin price prediction, one claims it could hit $440k soon. Investors must check liquidity trends, market sentiment, and macroeconomic development for better results.

在這個看漲的比特幣價格預測中，有人聲稱它很快可能會達到44萬美元。投資者必須檢查流動性趨勢，市場情緒和宏觀經濟發展，以獲得更好的結果。

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

常見問題（常見問題解答）