加密和比特币公牛跑了吗？

自今年年初以来，加密市场一直面临着巨大的下降趋势。这使投资者质疑加密货币或比特币牛的状况。

Since the beginning of the year, the crypto market has been facing massive downtrends. This left investors questioning the status of the crypto or Bitcoin bull run. Some anticipated it is over amid recent corrections, while others barely remained optimistic.

自今年年初以来，加密市场一直面临着巨大的下降趋势。这使投资者质疑加密货币或比特币牛的状况。有些人预计这是在最近的更正之内，而另一些则几乎保持乐观。

Even after the market began to recover in the last few days, the concerns remain the same. Let’s discuss the recent trends and where BTC stands on the bull cycle.

即使在最近几天市场开始恢复之后，问题仍然相同。让我们讨论最近的趋势以及BTC在公牛周期中的位置。

Is the Crypto & Bitcoin Bull Run Over?

加密和比特币公牛跑了吗？

Crypto bull run is the term that describes massive gains in the price of digital assets over a long period. At the beginning of the year, the BTC’s price hit a high of $109.1k but currently stands at just $84.1k, leaving many devastated over its continuous consolidation.

Crypto Bull Run是一个长期以来描述数字资产价格的巨大收益的术语。在今年年初，BTC的价格达到了109.1万美元，但目前仅为84.1万美元，而许多人的持续合并造成了毁灭性。

However, the key takeaways from the latest data reveal that the crypto/ Bitcoin bull run is far from over, and many new major breakouts are aligned in the future trajectory.

但是，最新数据的关键要点表明，加密货币/比特币牛的运行还远远没有结束，并且在未来的轨迹中，许多新的重大突破都保持一致。

According to the Colin Talks Crypto, BTC is in the midst of a short-term rally, the peak of which will likely form in mid to late March. This reveals that the rally is still in development and the current consolidation is temporary.

根据Colin Talks Crypto的说法，BTC正处于短期集会中，其高峰可能会在3月中旬至下半年形成。这表明集会仍在发展中，并且当前的合并是暂时的。

According to the latest data from TradingView, BTC's price is still bullish.

根据TradingView的最新数据，BTC的价格仍然是看好的。

Moreover, the Global M2 Money supply correlation is the best method to analyse the trajectory of this rally as Bitcoin price moves with the M2 data, which is a measure of liquidity.

此外，随着比特币价格使用M2数据移动，全球M2货币供应相关性是分析该集会轨迹的最佳方法，这是衡量流动性的量度。

Based on the stats, there are two possible timelines, both bullish. Scenario 1 (70-day offset) predicts a strong move up around March 2,5, and Scenario 2 (107-day offset) suggests a significant blow-off around April 30 to early May.

根据统计数据，有两个可能的时间表，都是看好的。方案1（70天偏移）预测3月2日左右的强劲增长，场景2（107天偏移）表明4月30日至5月初左右发生了重大吹捧。

What Does This Mean for the Bitcoin Bull Run?

这对比特币牛的跑步意味着什么？

Colin has concluded there are 2-3 more days until the top of this mini rally happens. More importantly, the 107-day offense fits the current situation, so the rally would form around April 30.

科林得出结论，还有2-3天，直到这次迷你集会的顶部发生。更重要的是，107天的进攻适合当前情况，因此集会将在4月30日左右。

It looks to me like BTC has at least three more days until the end of that mini rally. He added that M2 Global supply with a 107-day offset seems to fit best currently. Blast off date estimated around April 30.

在我看来，BTC至少还有三天，直到那个迷你集会结束。他补充说，目前有107天偏移的M2全球供应似乎最适合。爆炸日期估计在4月30日左右。

Overall, this means that the continuity of the historical pattern may bring short-term volatility, especially once this mini-rally peaks. However, the real acceleration of the crypto & Bitcoin bull run may not occur until April or early May, the same time when global liquidity is expected to rise.

总体而言，这意味着历史模式的连续性可能会带来短期波动，尤其是一旦这个小型峰值达到了峰值。但是，直到4月或5月初（预计全球流动性上升的同时），加密和比特币公牛运行的真正加速可能才会发生。

How’s the Crypto Market Performing Today?

加密市场今天的表现如何？

After a rough two-month stretch that saw the crypto market lose over $1 trillion, Bitcoin's price recovery has set a more optimistic tone. With a nearly 9% surge from its month low, BTC currently trades at $84.1k. The rest of the market followed the same, reaching a global market cap of $2.76 trillion.

经过两个月的艰难，加密货币市场损失了超过1万亿美元，比特币的价格恢复却设定了更加乐观的基调。 BTC目前以84.1k美元的价格交易，距其月份低9％。其余的市场遵循相同的情况，达到了2.7.6万亿美元的全球市值。

This bounce happened as the broader financial market, including and stock, rebounded. More importantly, the regulatory clarity from the SEC, as they proposed to classify XRP as a payment asset rather than security, influenced investor sentiments.

这种反弹发生了，包括更广泛的金融市场（包括股票）反弹。更重要的是，SEC的监管清晰度，因为他们提议将XRP归类为付款资产而不是安全性，影响了投资者的情绪。

Interestingly, the famous crypto analyst Josh Mandel predicted that the BTC price would hit $440k, increasing investor confidence in the asset and the market.

有趣的是，这位著名的加密分析师乔什·曼德尔（Josh Mandel）预测，BTC价格将达到44万美元，从而增加了投资者对资产和市场的信心。

Conclusion: Bull Run Far From Over

结论：公牛远离结束

Although Bitcoin's short-term uncertainty remains unchanged, the broader outlook is optimistically bullish. More importantly, analysts believe that BTC is in the mini rally, and the peak is 2-3 days away. However, the biggest breakout or Bitcoin bull run peak is due on April 30 to early May, making the current crypto market ideal for holding.

尽管比特币的短期不确定性保持不变，但更广泛的前景是乐观的看法。更重要的是，分析师认为BTC处于迷你集会中，峰值为2-3天。但是，最大的突破或比特币公牛峰值将于4月30日至5月初到期，这使得当前的加密货币市场是持有的理想之选。

Amid this bullish Bitcoin price prediction, one claims it could hit $440k soon. Investors must check liquidity trends, market sentiment, and macroeconomic development for better results.

在这个看涨的比特币价格预测中，有人声称它很快可能会达到44万美元。投资者必须检查流动性趋势，市场情绪和宏观经济发展，以获得更好的结果。

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

常见问题（常见问题解答）