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在X上的新帖子中,Capriole Investments創始人Charles Edwards談到了比特幣SLRV絲帶的最新趨勢。
On-chain data shows the Bitcoin “SLRV Ribbons” have recently once again been giving a green signal. Here’s what this could mean for the asset.
鏈上數據顯示,比特幣“ SLRV緞帶”最近再次發出了綠色信號。這是資產的意義。
Short-Term MA Of Bitcoin SLRV Has Crossed Above The Long-Term
比特幣SLRV的短期MA超過了長期
比特幣SLRV的短期MA超過了長期
In a new post for Capriole, crypto analyst Charles Edwards has covered the latest trend in the SLRV Ribbons for Bitcoin.
加密分析師查爾斯·愛德華茲(Charles Edwards)在新的Capriole帖子中介紹了比特幣SLRV緞帶的最新趨勢。
The SLRV Ribbons are based on an on-chain indicator known as the “Short-Term to Long-Term Realized Value (SLRV) Ratio.” This indicator measures the ratio between the Bitcoin supply that was moved within the past 24 hours and that dormant since at least six and at most twelve months ago.
SLRV緞帶基於一個被稱為“短期到長期實現的值(SLRV)比”的鏈指標。該指標衡量了過去24小時內移動的比特幣供應的比率,並且至少六個月前和十二個月前,該比特幣供應量。
The supply younger than 24 hours corresponds to the part of the cryptocurrency that’s becoming actively involved in trading. That is, the part of the supply that’s constantly in motion.
24小時以下的供應對應於正在積極參與交易的加密貨幣的一部分。也就是說,供應的一部分一直在運動。
On the other hand, the 6 to 12 months old supply represents the coins that have just matured into the domain of the HODLers.
另一方面,6到12個月大的供應代表了剛剛成熟到霍德勒人域的硬幣。
As such, a high value for the SLRV Ratio can be interpreted as high interest in the asset from those involved in short-term trading compared to those focused on long-term holding. Contrarily, a low reading for the indicator can be seen as an indication that long-term holder behavior is dominant in the sector.
因此,與專注於長期持有的人相比,SLRV比率的高價值可以解釋為短期交易的資產的高額興趣。相反,對指標的低讀數可以看作是長期持有人行為在該部門中占主導地位的跡象。
The SLRV Ribbons, the actual indicator of focus here, make it easier to identify when a shift is occurring from one behavior to the other. It does so by tracking the 30-day and 150-day moving averages (MAs) of the SLRV Ratio.
SLRV絲帶是此處重點的實際指標,它使何時從一種行為轉移到另一種行為。通過跟踪SLRV比率的30天和150天移動平均(MAS)來做到這一點。
Now, here is the chart for the indicator shared by Edwards that shows the trend in these MAs over the last few years:
現在,這是愛德華茲共享的指標的圖表,該圖表顯示了過去幾年這些MAS的趨勢:
(Chart Credit: Charles Edwards, Capriole)
(圖表來源:Charles Edwards,Capriole)
As displayed in the above graph, the 30-day MA of the Bitcoin SLRV Ratio has crossed above the 150-day MA recently. This type of crossover is generally a sign that the market is moving away from HODLing to short-term trading and fresh adoption.
如上圖所示,比特幣SLRV比率的30天MA最近超過了150天的MA。這種類型的交叉通常表明市場正在從霍德林轉向短期交易和新鮮採用。
From the chart, it’s apparent that such a crossover (highlighted in green) usually leads into some degree of bullish action for the cryptocurrency’s price. The bull rally from the last couple of months of 2024, for example, followed this signal.
從圖表來看,很明顯,這樣的交叉(以綠色突出顯示)通常會以某種程度的看漲加密貨幣的價格行動。例如,公牛從2024年的最後幾個月開始遵循此信號。
The reverse type of crossover, where the 30-day MA falls under the 150-day one, is likewise a bearish signal. When this cross takes place, it means interest in the asset is waning from new investors, leaving only the most resolute hands to continue quietly accumulating.
30天MA屬於150天的跨界車的相反類型同樣是看跌信號。當這個十字架發生時,這意味著對資產的興趣正在從新的投資者中減弱,只剩下最堅決的手來繼續悄悄地積累。
With the SLRV Ribbons once again forming a bullish crossover, it now remains to be seen whether the pattern would hold for the asset this time as well.
隨著SLRV絲帶再次形成看漲的跨界,現在這次模式是否也可以保留該模式。
Bitcoin Price Technical Analysis
比特幣價格技術分析
比特幣價格技術分析
The price of Bitcoin hovered around the $107,000 mark as of Sunday morning. The cryptocurrency had a turbulent week, largely driven by macroeconomic cues.
截至週日早上,比特幣的價格徘徊在107,000美元的左右。加密貨幣有一個動蕩的一周,主要是由宏觀經濟提示驅動的。
After a brief touch of the $100,000 level earlier in the week, Bitcoin attempted a recovery towards the $110,000 mark but faced resistance. This brought the coin back down to around $104,000 by Wednesday.
經過本週早些時候的100,000美元水平的短暫觸摸,比特幣試圖恢復110,000美元,但面臨阻力。到週三,這將硬幣降至約104,000美元。
However, a strong recovery followed, pushing the price past $108,000 and aiming for another test of the $110,000 level. This rally was fueled by an increase in BTC futures trading volume on Deribner, a sign of renewed interest from institutional traders.
但是,隨後進行了強勁的恢復,將價格推到了108,000美元以上,並旨在對110,000美元的一項測試進行另一項測試。 BTC期貨交易量增加了Deribner的增加,這一集會引起了Deribner的增加,這是機構交易者重新利息的跡象。
As Bitcoin breached the $110,000 mark, it encountered selling pressure, leading to a minor pullback. Nonetheless, the coin remained in the green on a weekly basis, with gains of over 7%.
由於比特幣違反了110,000美元的折扣,它遇到了銷售壓力,導致了輕微的回調。儘管如此,硬幣每週仍處於綠色狀態,增長超過7%。
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