Cardano（ADA）價格預測：技術分析指向40％的崩潰，但對新ATH的激增可能會隨之而來

Cardano的價格從11月的高峰降低了50％，每週圖表下降了40％。該圖表還表明，在硬幣達到這一低時，最終的激增。

The Cardano (ADA) price has dropped 50% from its peak in November, and the weekly chart indicates a 40% decline. The chart also suggests an eventual surge after the coin reaches this low.

Cardano（ADA）的價格從11月的頂峰下降了50％，每週圖表下降了40％。該圖表還表明，在硬幣達到這一低時，最終的激增。

Cardano Price Technical Analysis

卡爾達諾價格技術分析

The coin was trading at $0.65, giving it a market cap of over $24 billion.

硬幣的交易價格為0.65美元，使其市值超過240億美元。

The weekly chart shows that the ADA price crashed in the past few months. This decline coincided with the price action of other cryptocurrencies like Solana, XRP, and Ethereum.

每週圖表顯示，ADA價格在過去幾個月中崩潰了。這種下降與Solana，XRP和以太坊等其他加密貨幣的價格行動相吻合。

The chart reveals a giant megaphone pattern, characterized by two ascending and diverging trendlines. It’s called a megaphone because it resembles this shape.

該圖揭示了一種巨大的擴音器模式，其特徵是兩個上升和不同的趨勢線。它稱為擴音器，因為它類似於這種形狀。

Inside this megaphone, the Cardano price forms two falling wedge patterns, each leading to a bullish breakout. The first wedge happened between January and September 2023, while the second one occurred between December 2023 and October 2024.

在這個擴音器內部，Cardano價格形成了兩個下落的楔形圖案，每種楔形圖案都導致了Bullish的突破。第一個楔子發生在2023年1月至9月之間，而第二個則發生在2023年12月至2024年10月之間。

The current wedge started last November and will continue until it retests the megaphone’s lower line. In most cases, assets typically go through at least three cycles before experiencing a rebound.

當前的楔形開始於去年11月開始，直到重新測試擴音器的下行。在大多數情況下，資產通常在經歷反彈之前至少經過三個週期。

Therefore, the most likely scenario is where the ADA price drops to $0.40 and then stages a strong comeback afterward. Such a move would likely see it retest its all-time high of $3.150, which is about 340% above the current level.

因此，最有可能的情況是ADA價格下跌至0.40美元，然後進行了強烈的捲土重來。這樣的舉動可能會看到它重新測試了3.150美元的歷史高處，該高度比當前水平高約340％。

ADA Price Technical Analysis Chart by Tradingview

ADA價格技術分析圖表通過TradingView

What Next For Cardano?

Cardano的下一步是什麼？

The eventual Cardano price recovery to its all-time high is driven by several catalysts. First, there is the upcoming zero-knowledge-based Bitcoin staking solution that will come through its BitcoinOS integration.

最終的Cardano價格恢復到其歷史最高高，是由幾種催化劑驅動的。首先，即將進行的基於零知識的比特幣樁解決方案將通過其比特幣集成。

Just this week, BitcoinOS executed the first bridgeless BTC transfer between Bitcoin and Cardano. If this is successful on a large scale, Cardano believes that it will add billions of dollars in assets to the Cardano network.

就在本週，比特賽諾斯執行了比特幣和卡迪諾之間的第一個無用的BTC轉移。如果大規模成功，卡爾達諾（Cardano）認為，它將增加數十億美元的資產。

First, the BOS team locked 1 BTC on Bitcoin L1 using our BitSNARK protocol. We then wrapped it into a new unchained token called “xBTC.”xBTC is an industry first: non-custodial, cryptographic, programmable, and lives directly on Bitcoin – much like wETH on Ethereum.pic.twitter.com/D5n8aEuGKU

首先，BOS團隊使用我們的BITSNARK協議將1 BTC鎖定在比特幣L1上。然後，我們將其包裹成一個名為“ XBTC”的新的不鏈接的代幣。 XBTC是一個行業：非監測，加密，可編程，並直接居住在比特幣上 - 就像weth on ethereum.pic.pic.twitter.twitter.twitter.com/d5n88aeaeugku上

The other catalyst will be the potential approval of a spot ADA ETF by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). While ADA ETFs may not attract a lot of inflows over time, its approval may generate more hype.

另一個催化劑將是證券交易委員會（SEC）的現貨ADA ETF的潛在批准。儘管隨著時間的流逝，ADA ETF可能不會吸引大量流入，但其批准可能會產生更多的炒作。

Additionally, data shows a significant movement of ADA tokens to staking pools, with 242 million coins, valued at $160 million in the last 30 days, an encouraging indicator.

此外，數據顯示，ADA令牌轉向堆積池，有2.42億個硬幣，在過去30天中價值1.6億美元，這是令人鼓舞的指標。

Cardano will also benefit from the upcoming Bitcoin price surge. Bitcoin is expected to rise due to robust technical indicators and heightened demand for spot ETFs.

Cardano還將受益於即將到來的比特幣價格上漲。預計比特幣會因強大的技術指標和對現場ETF的需求增強而增加。