Cardano（ADA）价格预测：技术分析指向40％的崩溃，但对新ATH的激增可能会随之而来

Cardano的价格从11月的高峰降低了50％，每周图表下降了40％。该图表还表明，在硬币达到这一低时，最终的激增。

The Cardano (ADA) price has dropped 50% from its peak in November, and the weekly chart indicates a 40% decline. The chart also suggests an eventual surge after the coin reaches this low.

Cardano（ADA）的价格从11月的顶峰下降了50％，每周图表下降了40％。该图表还表明，在硬币达到这一低时，最终的激增。

Cardano Price Technical Analysis

卡尔达诺价格技术分析

The coin was trading at $0.65, giving it a market cap of over $24 billion.

硬币的交易价格为0.65美元，使其市值超过240亿美元。

The weekly chart shows that the ADA price crashed in the past few months. This decline coincided with the price action of other cryptocurrencies like Solana, XRP, and Ethereum.

每周图表显示，ADA价格在过去几个月中崩溃了。这种下降与Solana，XRP和以太坊等其他加密货币的价格行动相吻合。

The chart reveals a giant megaphone pattern, characterized by two ascending and diverging trendlines. It’s called a megaphone because it resembles this shape.

该图揭示了一种巨大的扩音器模式，其特征是两个上升和不同的趋势线。它称为扩音器，因为它类似于这种形状。

Inside this megaphone, the Cardano price forms two falling wedge patterns, each leading to a bullish breakout. The first wedge happened between January and September 2023, while the second one occurred between December 2023 and October 2024.

在这个扩音器内部，Cardano价格形成了两个下落的楔形图案，每种楔形图案都导致了Bullish的突破。第一个楔子发生在2023年1月至9月之间，而第二个则发生在2023年12月至2024年10月之间。

The current wedge started last November and will continue until it retests the megaphone’s lower line. In most cases, assets typically go through at least three cycles before experiencing a rebound.

当前的楔形开始于去年11月开始，直到重新测试扩音器的下行。在大多数情况下，资产通常在经历反弹之前至少经过三个周期。

Therefore, the most likely scenario is where the ADA price drops to $0.40 and then stages a strong comeback afterward. Such a move would likely see it retest its all-time high of $3.150, which is about 340% above the current level.

因此，最有可能的情况是ADA价格下跌至0.40美元，然后进行了强烈的卷土重来。这样的举动可能会看到它重新测试了3.150美元的历史高处，该高度比当前水平高约340％。

ADA Price Technical Analysis Chart by Tradingview

ADA价格技术分析图表通过TradingView

What Next For Cardano?

Cardano的下一步是什么？

The eventual Cardano price recovery to its all-time high is driven by several catalysts. First, there is the upcoming zero-knowledge-based Bitcoin staking solution that will come through its BitcoinOS integration.

最终的Cardano价格恢复到其历史最高高，是由几种催化剂驱动的。首先，即将进行的基于零知识的比特币桩解决方案将通过其比特币集成。

Just this week, BitcoinOS executed the first bridgeless BTC transfer between Bitcoin and Cardano. If this is successful on a large scale, Cardano believes that it will add billions of dollars in assets to the Cardano network.

就在本周，比特赛诺斯执行了比特币和卡迪诺之间的第一个无用的BTC转移。如果大规模成功，卡尔达诺（Cardano）认为，它将增加数十亿美元的资产。

First, the BOS team locked 1 BTC on Bitcoin L1 using our BitSNARK protocol. We then wrapped it into a new unchained token called “xBTC.”xBTC is an industry first: non-custodial, cryptographic, programmable, and lives directly on Bitcoin – much like wETH on Ethereum.pic.twitter.com/D5n8aEuGKU

首先，BOS团队使用我们的BITSNARK协议将1 BTC锁定在比特币L1上。然后，我们将其包裹成一个名为“ XBTC”的新的不链接的代币。XBTC是一个行业：非监测，加密，可编程，并直接居住在比特币上 - 就像weth on ethereum.pic.pic.twitter.twitter.twitter.com/d5n88aeaeugku上

The other catalyst will be the potential approval of a spot ADA ETF by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). While ADA ETFs may not attract a lot of inflows over time, its approval may generate more hype.

另一个催化剂将是证券交易委员会（SEC）的现货ADA ETF的潜在批准。尽管随着时间的流逝，ADA ETF可能不会吸引大量流入，但其批准可能会产生更多的炒作。

Additionally, data shows a significant movement of ADA tokens to staking pools, with 242 million coins, valued at $160 million in the last 30 days, an encouraging indicator.

此外，数据显示，ADA令牌转向堆积池，有2.42亿个硬币，在过去30天中价值1.6亿美元，这是令人鼓舞的指标。

Cardano will also benefit from the upcoming Bitcoin price surge. Bitcoin is expected to rise due to robust technical indicators and heightened demand for spot ETFs.

Cardano还将受益于即将到来的比特币价格上涨。预计比特币会因强大的技术指标和对现场ETF的需求增强而增加。