卡爾達諾（ADA）可能還沒死，原因如下

儘管最近面臨相當大的挑戰，卡爾達諾（ADA）仍然是市值排名前十的加密貨幣之一，這表明了它的韌性。

Cardano (CRYPTO: ADA) encountered further turbulence in the past two weeks, with its price sliding 14.6%. Despite the downturn, ADA remained among the top 10 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization.

卡爾達諾（CRYPTO：ADA）在過去兩週遭遇進一步動盪，價格下跌 14.6%。儘管經濟低迷，ADA 仍躋身市值前 10 名的加密貨幣之列。

The prevailing bearish sentiment led some in the crypto community to label Cardano a “dead coin.” However, a new perspective emerged, suggesting that the ADA narrative might not be over.

普遍的看跌情緒導致加密貨幣社群中的一些人將卡爾達諾稱為「死幣」。然而，出現了一個新的觀點，表明 ADA 的敘述可能還沒有結束。

In a recent development, an analysis by Nick Black from the “Discover Crypto” YouTube channel projected a promising future for Cardano, speculating that the coin could reach $5, supported by ongoing developmental activities and promising technical patterns.

在最近的一項進展中，YouTube 頻道「Discover Crypto」的尼克·布萊克(Nick Black) 的一項分析預測了卡爾達諾的美好未來，推測在持續的開發活動和有前景的技術模式的支持下，該代幣可能會達到5 美元。

The analyst highlighted Cardano’s strong performance in developmental activities, where it ranked third among all crypto projects in terms of development activity last month. This vibrant activity suggested a thriving ecosystem, challenging the notion that Cardano is a “dead coin.”

這位分析師強調了卡爾達諾在開發活動中的強勁表現，就上個月的開發活動而言，它在所有加密貨幣項目中排名第三。這種充滿活力的活動顯示了一個蓬勃發展的生態系統，挑戰了卡爾達諾是「死幣」的觀念。

Moreover, a key technical pattern, known as the “Break a Block,” was identified on ADA’s monthly chart, supported by a bullish stochastic crossover. These indicators often preceded substantial price movements, similar to those seen in Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) before major bullish runs.

此外，ADA 月度圖表上還發現了一種被稱為「突破區塊」的關鍵技術模式，並受到看漲隨機交叉的支持。這些指標通常先於價格大幅波動，類似於比特幣（CRYPTO：BTC）在大幅看漲之前出現的情況。

Furthermore, the chart revealed that Cardano’s MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) Long/Short Difference had dropped to -9.726%, indicating that most ADA holders were currently at a loss. Such deeply negative MVR気持ちが悪い levels were often associated with market bottoms, suggesting a potential rebound as selling pressure may be waning.

此外，圖表顯示，卡爾達諾的 MVRV（市場價值與已實現價值）多/空差已降至-9.726%，表明大多數 ADA 持有者目前處於虧損狀態。如此嚴重的負 MVR 水平通常與市場觸底相關，這表明​​隨著拋售壓力可能減弱，可能會出現反彈。

Data from Coinglass supported this, showing that Cardano’s Open Interest had surged by 31.01% to $243.05 million, reflecting rising speculative interest. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) sat at 39.82, placing ADA in oversold territory, which could further support a recovery.

Coinglass 的數據支持了這一點，顯示卡爾達諾的未平倉合約飆升 31.01% 至 2.4305 億美元，反映出投機興趣的上升。相對強弱指數 (RSI) 為 39.82，使 ADA 處於超賣區域，這可能會進一步支持復甦。

However, the decrease in whale transactions — from nearly 9,000 on Aug. 5 to 3,590 as of now — added complexity to the current sentiment around ADA, indicating mixed signals within the market.

然而，鯨魚交易量的減少——從 8 月 5 日的近 9,000 筆減少到目前的 3,590 筆——增加了當前圍繞 ADA 的情緒的複雜性，表明市場內存在混合信號。

A recent analysis by Trend Rider highlighted the current state of Cardano’s momentum. The analysis pointed out that ADA’s momentum isn’t what it was in 2021 when it reached $3, and while Bitcoin’s momentum has also cooled, it remains at levels comparable to previous highs.

Trend Rider 最近的一項分析強調了卡爾達諾勢頭的當前狀態。分析指出，ADA 的勢頭已不如 2021 年達到 3 美元時的勢頭，雖然比特幣的勢頭也有所降溫，但仍保持在與之前高點相當的水平。

This reduction in momentum has made ADA less volatile and more predictable, offering a potential advantage for traders looking to capitalize on smaller, more consistent movements.

這種勢頭的減弱使得 ADA 的波動性更小，更可預測，為尋求利用較小、更一致的波動的交易者提供了潛在的優勢。

Cardano (ADA) price encountered further turbulence in the past two weeks, currently trading at a loss of 1.18% for the day at $0.336. Technical indicators, however, suggest a possible reversal.

卡爾達諾（ADA）價格在過去兩週遭遇進一步動盪，目前交易日下跌 1.18%，至 0.336 美元。然而，技術指標顯示可能出現逆轉。

A glance at ADA’s daily chart shows a descending trendline, consistently acting as resistance, with ADA/USD nearing a key support level at $0.282.

ADA 的日線圖顯示出一條下降趨勢線，一直充當阻力位，ADA/美元接近 0.282 美元的關鍵支撐位。

Fibonacci retracement levels indicate a potential recovery if ADA holds above the 0.236 level at $0.338. A breakout could push ADA toward the 0.618 level at $0.562 and eventually the 1.618 Fibonacci extension at $0.738, signaling a bullish reversal.

如果 ADA 保持在 0.236 水平（即 0.338 美元）之上，斐波那契回撤水準表明可能會復甦。突破可能會將 ADA 推向 0.618 水平（0.562 美元），並最終推動 1.618 斐波那契擴展至 0.738 美元（0.738 美元），標誌著看漲逆轉。