卡尔达诺（ADA）可能还没有死，原因如下

尽管最近面临相当大的挑战，卡尔达诺（ADA）仍然是市值排名前十的加密货币之一，这表明了它的韧性。

Cardano (CRYPTO: ADA) encountered further turbulence in the past two weeks, with its price sliding 14.6%. Despite the downturn, ADA remained among the top 10 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization.

卡尔达诺（CRYPTO：ADA）在过去两周遭遇进一步动荡，价格下跌 14.6%。尽管经济低迷，ADA 仍跻身市值前 10 名的加密货币之列。

The prevailing bearish sentiment led some in the crypto community to label Cardano a “dead coin.” However, a new perspective emerged, suggesting that the ADA narrative might not be over.

普遍的看跌情绪导致加密货币社区的一些人将卡尔达诺称为“死币”。然而，出现了一个新的观点，表明 ADA 的叙述可能还没有结束。

In a recent development, an analysis by Nick Black from the “Discover Crypto” YouTube channel projected a promising future for Cardano, speculating that the coin could reach $5, supported by ongoing developmental activities and promising technical patterns.

在最近的一项进展中，YouTube 频道“Discover Crypto”的尼克·布莱克 (Nick Black) 的一项分析预测了卡尔达诺的美好未来，推测在持续的开发活动和有前景的技术模式的支持下，该代币可能会达到 5 美元。

The analyst highlighted Cardano’s strong performance in developmental activities, where it ranked third among all crypto projects in terms of development activity last month. This vibrant activity suggested a thriving ecosystem, challenging the notion that Cardano is a “dead coin.”

这位分析师强调了卡尔达诺在开发活动中的强劲表现，就上个月的开发活动而言，它在所有加密货币项目中​​排名第三。这种充满活力的活动表明了一个蓬勃发展的生态系统，挑战了卡尔达诺是“死币”的观念。

Moreover, a key technical pattern, known as the “Break a Block,” was identified on ADA’s monthly chart, supported by a bullish stochastic crossover. These indicators often preceded substantial price movements, similar to those seen in Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) before major bullish runs.

此外，ADA 月度图表上还发现了一种被称为“突破区块”的关键技术模式，并受到看涨随机交叉的支持。这些指标通常先于价格大幅波动，类似于比特币（CRYPTO：BTC）在大幅看涨之前出现的情况。

Furthermore, the chart revealed that Cardano’s MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) Long/Short Difference had dropped to -9.726%, indicating that most ADA holders were currently at a loss. Such deeply negative MVR気持ちが悪い levels were often associated with market bottoms, suggesting a potential rebound as selling pressure may be waning.

此外，图表显示，卡尔达诺的 MVRV（市场价值与已实现价值）多/空差已降至-9.726%，表明大多数 ADA 持有者目前处于亏损状态。如此严重的负 MVR 水平通常与市场触底相关，表明随着抛售压力可能减弱，可能出现反弹。

Data from Coinglass supported this, showing that Cardano’s Open Interest had surged by 31.01% to $243.05 million, reflecting rising speculative interest. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) sat at 39.82, placing ADA in oversold territory, which could further support a recovery.

Coinglass 的数据支持了这一点，显示卡尔达诺的未平仓合约飙升 31.01% 至 2.4305 亿美元，反映出投机兴趣的上升。相对强弱指数 (RSI) 为 39.82，使 ADA 处于超卖区域，这可能会进一步支持复苏。

However, the decrease in whale transactions — from nearly 9,000 on Aug. 5 to 3,590 as of now — added complexity to the current sentiment around ADA, indicating mixed signals within the market.

然而，鲸鱼交易量的减少——从 8 月 5 日的近 9,000 笔减少到目前的 3,590 笔——增加了当前围绕 ADA 的情绪的复杂性，表明市场内存在混合信号。

A recent analysis by Trend Rider highlighted the current state of Cardano’s momentum. The analysis pointed out that ADA’s momentum isn’t what it was in 2021 when it reached $3, and while Bitcoin’s momentum has also cooled, it remains at levels comparable to previous highs.

Trend Rider 最近的一项分析强调了卡尔达诺势头的当前状态。分析指出，ADA 的势头已不如 2021 年达到 3 美元时的势头，虽然比特币的势头也有所降温，但仍保持在与之前高点相当的水平。

This reduction in momentum has made ADA less volatile and more predictable, offering a potential advantage for traders looking to capitalize on smaller, more consistent movements.

这种势头的减弱使得 ADA 的波动性更小，更可预测，为寻求利用更小、更一致的波动的交易者提供了潜在的优势。

Cardano (ADA) price encountered further turbulence in the past two weeks, currently trading at a loss of 1.18% for the day at $0.336. Technical indicators, however, suggest a possible reversal.

卡尔达诺（ADA）价格在过去两周遭遇进一步动荡，目前交易日下跌 1.18%，至 0.336 美元。然而，技术指标表明可能出现逆转。

A glance at ADA’s daily chart shows a descending trendline, consistently acting as resistance, with ADA/USD nearing a key support level at $0.282.

ADA 的日线图显示出一条下降趋势线，一直充当阻力位，ADA/美元接近 0.282 美元的关键支撑位。

Fibonacci retracement levels indicate a potential recovery if ADA holds above the 0.236 level at $0.338. A breakout could push ADA toward the 0.618 level at $0.562 and eventually the 1.618 Fibonacci extension at $0.738, signaling a bullish reversal.

如果 ADA 保持在 0.236 水平（即 0.338 美元）之上，斐波那契回撤水平表明可能会复苏。突破可能会将 ADA 推向 0.618 水平（0.562 美元），并最终推动 1.618 斐波那契扩展至 0.738 美元（0.738 美元），标志着看涨逆转。