Bitfinex 分析師預測聯準會降息後 BTC 價格將大幅下跌

儘管普遍預期聯準會降息將推高比特幣價格，但加密貨幣分析師預測比特幣價格將大幅下跌

Despite popular anticipation that the proposed US Fed interest rate cut would propel the Bitcoin price today, cryptocurrency analysts have predicted a drastic decline in the BTC price following the said rate cut.

儘管人們普遍預期聯準會降息提案將推動比特幣價格上漲，但加密貨幣分析師預測，降息後比特幣價格將大幅下跌。

Fed Rate Cut & Bitfinex Analysts’ Prediction

聯準會降息和 Bitfinex 分析師的預測

Recently, Fed Chair Jerome Powell hinted at an interest rate cut announcement in September.

近日，聯準會主席鮑威爾暗示將在9月宣布降息。

Typically, a rate cut is perceived as a positive development by the crypto community. Under normal circumstances, such a rate cut would lead to an increase in fund flow to the crypto market, as investors opt for risky assets like cryptos or safe assets like bonds in anticipation of higher returns.

通常，降息被加密社區視為積極的發展。在正常情況下，這種降息將導致流向加密貨幣市場的資金增加，因為投資者會選擇加密貨幣等風險資產或債券等安全資產，以期獲得更高的回報。

However, according to Bitfinex analysts, this time the market is likely to behave differently.

然而，根據 Bitfinex 分析師的說法，這次市場的表現可能會有所不同。

They have predicted the possibility of a drop of at least 15% to 20%.

他們預測下降的可能性至少為 15% 至 20%。

If the market does behave as predicted, the Bitcoin price would fall to a range of $40,000 to $50,000.

如果市場表現確實如預期，比特幣價格將跌至 40,000 美元至 50,000 美元的範圍。

About The Volatile Month of September

關於動盪的九月

For those who have been closely following Bitcoin’s historical price momentum, the prediction may not come as a huge surprise. Throughout history, the month of September has been particularly challenging for Bitcoin.

對於那些一直密切關注比特幣歷史價格走勢的人來說，這項預測可能並不令人意外。縱觀歷史，九月對比特幣來說尤其具有挑戰性。

Analysts have also highlighted this unique historical price momentum of the month as one of the primary reasons to justify their forecast.

分析師也強調本月這種獨特的歷史價格動能是證明其預測合理的主要原因之一。

Bitcoin Market Overview

比特幣市場概覽

At the moment, the Bitcoin price stands at $56,497 – the lowest point the market has reached so far this month. Earlier, the market opened at $58,956.

目前，比特幣價格為 56,497 美元，這是本月迄今為止市場達到的最低點。早些時候，市場開盤價為 58,956 美元。

Heavy selling pressure emerged on the first day of the month, dragging down the price to a low of $57,324. The next day, buyers took control of the market, pushing the price up to $59,143, defeating the sellers.

本月第一天出現了巨大的拋售壓力，將價格拖至 57,324 美元的低點。第二天，買家控制了市場，將價格推高至 59,143 美元，擊敗了賣家。

But, in the following days, the market saw the dominance of sellers.

但在接下來的幾天裡，市場上出現了賣家的主導地位。

Yesterday, a long red candlestick saw the price drop to $57,484. Today, the price is sharply moving downwards, indicating an increasing strength of sellers, as the market has seen the month’s highest 24-hour trading volume of $119.019M.

昨天，一根紅色長燭看到價格跌至 57,484 美元。今天，價格大幅下跌，顯示賣家力量不斷增強，市場已創下本月最高 24 小時交易量 119.019M 美元。

What Could Happen Next in the Bitcoin Market?

比特幣市場接下來會發生什麼事？

Markus Thielen, head of research at 10xResearch, hopes for a new bull run in the Bitcoin market. However, he has also predicted the possibility of the BTC price falling as low as $40,000 before the expected bullish momentum.

10xResearch 研究主管 Markus Thielen 希望比特幣市場出現新的多頭市場。不過，他也預測在預期的看漲勢頭到來之前，BTC 價格可能會跌至 40,000 美元。

Some analysts believe that the Bitcoin market is currently in a consolidation phase, where long-term investors silently accumulate the asset, exploiting fear and confusion among short-term buyers.

一些分析師認為，比特幣市場目前正處於盤整階段，長期投資者利用短期買家的恐懼和困惑，默默累積資產。

A few others think that at present the BTC price is hovering around its Bull Market Support Band, which usually occurs when there is indecision in the market.

其他一些人則認為，目前比特幣價格徘徊在牛市支撐帶附近，這通常發生在市場猶豫不決的情況下。

On a final note, we can say that Bitcoin traders are having a really tough time. The latest prediction made by Bitfinex analysts comes as a big blow to those who were expecting that the price would go up post the Fed rate cut implementation. Anyway, September is going to be a crucial month for the Bitcoin market.

最後一點，我們可以說比特幣交易者正經歷著一段非常艱難的時期。 Bitfinex 分析師的最新預測對於那些預計聯準會降息後價格將會上漲的人來說是一個巨大的打擊。無論如何，九月將是比特幣市場至關重要的一個月。

Also Check Out: Is the Trump Family Involved in a Crypto Scam?

另請參閱：川普家族是否參與了加密貨幣騙局？