Bitfinex 分析师预测美联储降息后 BTC 价格将大幅下跌

尽管普遍预期美联储降息将推高比特币价格，但加密货币分析师预测比特币价格将大幅下跌

Despite popular anticipation that the proposed US Fed interest rate cut would propel the Bitcoin price today, cryptocurrency analysts have predicted a drastic decline in the BTC price following the said rate cut.

尽管人们普遍预期美联储降息提议将推动比特币价格上涨，但加密货币分析师预测，降息后比特币价格将大幅下跌。

Fed Rate Cut & Bitfinex Analysts’ Prediction

美联储降息和 Bitfinex 分析师的预测

Recently, Fed Chair Jerome Powell hinted at an interest rate cut announcement in September.

近日，美联储主席鲍威尔暗示将在9月宣布降息。

Typically, a rate cut is perceived as a positive development by the crypto community. Under normal circumstances, such a rate cut would lead to an increase in fund flow to the crypto market, as investors opt for risky assets like cryptos or safe assets like bonds in anticipation of higher returns.

通常，降息被加密社区视为积极的发展。在正常情况下，这种降息将导致流向加密货币市场的资金增加，因为投资者会选择加密货币等风险资产或债券等安全资产，以期获得更高的回报。

However, according to Bitfinex analysts, this time the market is likely to behave differently.

然而，根据 Bitfinex 分析师的说法，这一次市场的表现可能会有所不同。

They have predicted the possibility of a drop of at least 15% to 20%.

他们预测下降的可能性至少为 15% 至 20%。

If the market does behave as predicted, the Bitcoin price would fall to a range of $40,000 to $50,000.

如果市场表现确实如预期，比特币价格将跌至 40,000 美元至 50,000 美元的范围。

About The Volatile Month of September

关于动荡的九月

For those who have been closely following Bitcoin’s historical price momentum, the prediction may not come as a huge surprise. Throughout history, the month of September has been particularly challenging for Bitcoin.

对于那些一直密切关注比特币历史价格走势的人来说，这一预测可能并不令人意外。纵观历史，九月份对比特币来说尤其具有挑战性。

Analysts have also highlighted this unique historical price momentum of the month as one of the primary reasons to justify their forecast.

分析师还强调本月这种独特的历史价格势头是证明其预测合理的主要原因之一。

Bitcoin Market Overview

比特币市场概览

At the moment, the Bitcoin price stands at $56,497 – the lowest point the market has reached so far this month. Earlier, the market opened at $58,956.

目前，比特币价格为 56,497 美元，这是本月迄今为止市场达到的最低点。早些时候，市场开盘价为 58,956 美元。

Heavy selling pressure emerged on the first day of the month, dragging down the price to a low of $57,324. The next day, buyers took control of the market, pushing the price up to $59,143, defeating the sellers.

本月第一天出现了巨大的抛售压力，将价格拖至 57,324 美元的低点。第二天，买家控制了市场，将价格推高至 59,143 美元，击败了卖家。

But, in the following days, the market saw the dominance of sellers.

但在接下来的几天里，市场上出现了卖家的主导地位。

Yesterday, a long red candlestick saw the price drop to $57,484. Today, the price is sharply moving downwards, indicating an increasing strength of sellers, as the market has seen the month’s highest 24-hour trading volume of $119.019M.

昨天，一根红色长烛看到价格跌至 57,484 美元。今天，价格大幅下跌，表明卖家力量不断增强，市场已创下本月最高 24 小时交易量 119.019M 美元。

What Could Happen Next in the Bitcoin Market?

比特币市场接下来会发生什么？

Markus Thielen, head of research at 10xResearch, hopes for a new bull run in the Bitcoin market. However, he has also predicted the possibility of the BTC price falling as low as $40,000 before the expected bullish momentum.

10xResearch 研究主管 Markus Thielen 希望比特币市场出现新的牛市。不过，他也预测在预期的看涨势头到来之前，BTC 价格可能会跌至 40,000 美元。

Some analysts believe that the Bitcoin market is currently in a consolidation phase, where long-term investors silently accumulate the asset, exploiting fear and confusion among short-term buyers.

一些分析师认为，比特币市场目前正处于盘整阶段，长期投资者利用短期买家的恐惧和困惑，默默积累资产。

A few others think that at present the BTC price is hovering around its Bull Market Support Band, which usually occurs when there is indecision in the market.

其他一些人则认为，目前比特币价格徘徊在牛市支撑带附近，这通常发生在市场犹豫不决的时候。

On a final note, we can say that Bitcoin traders are having a really tough time. The latest prediction made by Bitfinex analysts comes as a big blow to those who were expecting that the price would go up post the Fed rate cut implementation. Anyway, September is going to be a crucial month for the Bitcoin market.

最后一点，我们可以说比特币交易者正经历着一段非常艰难的时期。 Bitfinex 分析师的最新预测对于那些预计美联储降息后价格将会上涨的人来说是一个巨大的打击。无论如何，九月将是比特币市场至关重要的一个月。

Also Check Out: Is the Trump Family Involved in a Crypto Scam?

另请查看：特朗普家族是否参与了加密货币骗局？