比特幣可能值得無限的美元

蒂姆·德雷珀（Tim Draper）是一位以早期比特幣投資而聞名的著名風險投資家，他於5月1日通過社交媒體平台X分享了一個鮮明的經濟預測。

Venture capitalist Tim Draper, an early bitcoin (BTC) bull, believes the flagship cryptocurrency could be worth an infinite amount of U.S. dollars if current monetary trends and geopolitical tensions continue.

便於早期比特幣（BTC）公牛的風險投資家蒂姆·德雷珀（Tim Draper）認為，如果當前的貨幣趨勢和地緣政治緊張局勢繼續下去，旗艦加密貨幣可能值得無限的美元。

Draper, known for his bullish calls on bitcoin and his predictions of a coming "currency collapse," shared his stark economic forecast on May 1 via X, formerly Twitter, considering a scenario where trust in fiat currencies breaks down completely.

德雷珀（Draper）以對比特幣的看漲呼籲以及對即將到來的“貨幣崩潰”的預測而聞名，他在5月1日通過X（以前是Twitter）分享了他的鮮明經濟預測，考慮到一種情況，即對法定貨幣的信任完全破裂。

"Bitcoin might be worth an infinite amount of USD," he began, alluding to a scenario of extreme hyperinflation in a post-fiat world.

他開始提到“比特幣可能值得無限的美元美元，”他暗示了在後及時世界中極端過度充電的情況。

To illustrate his point, Draper went back in time to the U.S. Civil War, contrasting the fate of the Confederate dollar with the stability of the Union currency.

為了說明他的觀點，德雷珀及時回到了美國內戰，將同盟國美元的命運與聯盟貨幣的穩定性進行了對比。

At the war's outset, both types of dollars were roughly equal in value, but as the conflict progressed and the Confederacy faced economic difficulties, the Confederate dollar experienced hyperinflationary spirals.

一開始，兩種類型的美元的價值大致相等，但是隨著衝突的進行，同盟面臨經濟困難，同盟國的美元經歷了過度通貨膨脹的螺旋。

"By the time the war ended, Confederate dollars were trading at more than 10 million to 1 with Union dollars, and people were rushing to exchange them for anything of worth," Draper explained.

Draper解釋說：“戰爭結束時，同盟美元的交易價格超過1000萬至1，人們急於兌換他們的任何價值。”

"If you are thinking about what might happen with the U.S. dollar, well, the beginning of the U.S. Dollar Index is the worst start to a year in 40 years, and if geopolitical events were to worsen, we could see confidence in the dollar wane even further," he added.

他補充說：“如果您要考慮美元可能發生的事情，那麼美元指數的開始是40年來最糟糕的開始，如果地緣政治事件惡化，我們可以看到對美元的信心進一步減弱。”

In contrast, Draper highlighted bitcoin's attributes that could lead to a shift in favor of the cryptocurrency if trust in fiat currencies were to collapse.

相比之下，德雷珀強調了比特幣的屬性，如果對法定貨幣的信任崩潰，可能會導致有利於加密貨幣的轉變。

"Bitcoin, on the other hand, will continue to have open and transparent record-keeping and be easily able to store it in a small hardware wallet that can fit in your pocket or safe place."

“另一方面，比特幣將繼續具有開放透明的記錄保存，並可以輕鬆地將其存儲在可以放在口袋或安全的地方的小型硬件錢包中。”

Challenging gold's role as a traditional store of value, Draper stated: "And forget gold. It doesn't play in the same league as bitcoin. It has real challenges around storage and transportation."

德雷珀（Draper）挑戰了黃金作為傳統價值存儲的角色，他說：“而忘記了黃金。它與比特幣的聯盟沒有發揮作用。它在存儲和運輸方面面臨著真正的挑戰。”

Noting that sovereign adoption of bitcoin is already a topic of discussion, Draper said that governments are hedging against this scenario by including bitcoin in their strategic reserves.

德雷珀（Draper）指出，主權採用比特幣已經是一個討論的話題，他說，政府通過將比特幣包括在其戰略儲備中來應對這種情況。

"So if the system breaks down you don't want to be the one clamoring to withdraw cash from the bank or hoarding gold in your room," the investor warned.

投資者警告說：“因此，如果系統分解，您不想成為從銀行撤回現金或在房間裡ho積黃金的人。”

"You want to have enough bitcoin to hold you and your family over for six months to a year. Or if hyperinflation happens, that bitcoin might last a lot longer."

“您希望有足夠的比特幣將您和您的家人持續六個月到一年。或者如果發生過度通貨膨脹，那比特幣可能會持續更長的時間。”

While some argue that bitcoin's price volatility hinders its use as a reliable hedge in a downturn, others believe that its fixed supply and decentralized network structure make it a key asset in a crisis scenario.

儘管有些人認為比特幣的價格波動阻礙了其在經濟低迷中的可靠樹籬中的使用，但其他人則認為其固定供應和分散的網絡結構使其成為危機情況下的關鍵資產。

Draper's comments add to a broader conversation about currency resilience and evolving monetary policy responses in an increasingly digital world.

德雷珀（Draper）的評論增加了關於貨幣彈性和日益數字世界中不斷發展的貨幣政策反應的更廣泛的對話。