比特币可能值得无限的美元

蒂姆·德雷珀（Tim Draper）是一位以早期比特币投资而闻名的著名风险投资家，他于5月1日通过社交媒体平台X分享了一个鲜明的经济预测。

Venture capitalist Tim Draper, an early bitcoin (BTC) bull, believes the flagship cryptocurrency could be worth an infinite amount of U.S. dollars if current monetary trends and geopolitical tensions continue.

便于早期比特币（BTC）公牛的风险投资家蒂姆·德雷珀（Tim Draper）认为，如果当前的货币趋势和地缘政治紧张局势继续下去，旗舰加密货币可能值得无限的美元。

Draper, known for his bullish calls on bitcoin and his predictions of a coming "currency collapse," shared his stark economic forecast on May 1 via X, formerly Twitter, considering a scenario where trust in fiat currencies breaks down completely.

德雷珀（Draper）以对比特币的看涨呼吁以及对即将到来的“货币崩溃”的预测而闻名，他在5月1日通过X（以前是Twitter）分享了他的鲜明经济预测，考虑到一种情况，即对法定货币的信任完全破裂。

"Bitcoin might be worth an infinite amount of USD," he began, alluding to a scenario of extreme hyperinflation in a post-fiat world.

他开始提到“比特币可能值得无限的美元美元，”他暗示了在后及时世界中极端过度充电的情况。

To illustrate his point, Draper went back in time to the U.S. Civil War, contrasting the fate of the Confederate dollar with the stability of the Union currency.

为了说明他的观点，德雷珀及时回到了美国内战，将同盟国美元的命运与联盟货币的稳定性进行了对比。

At the war's outset, both types of dollars were roughly equal in value, but as the conflict progressed and the Confederacy faced economic difficulties, the Confederate dollar experienced hyperinflationary spirals.

一开始，两种类型的美元的价值大致相等，但是随着冲突的进行，同盟面临经济困难，同盟国的美元经历了过度通货膨胀的螺旋。

"By the time the war ended, Confederate dollars were trading at more than 10 million to 1 with Union dollars, and people were rushing to exchange them for anything of worth," Draper explained.

Draper解释说：“战争结束时，同盟美元的交易价格超过1000万至1，人们急于兑换他们的任何价值。”

"If you are thinking about what might happen with the U.S. dollar, well, the beginning of the U.S. Dollar Index is the worst start to a year in 40 years, and if geopolitical events were to worsen, we could see confidence in the dollar wane even further," he added.

他补充说：“如果您要考虑美元可能发生的事情，那么美元指数的开始是40年来最糟糕的开始，如果地缘政治事件恶化，我们可以看到对美元的信心进一步减弱。”

In contrast, Draper highlighted bitcoin's attributes that could lead to a shift in favor of the cryptocurrency if trust in fiat currencies were to collapse.

相比之下，德雷珀强调了比特币的属性，如果对法定货币的信任崩溃，可能会导致有利于加密货币的转变。

"Bitcoin, on the other hand, will continue to have open and transparent record-keeping and be easily able to store it in a small hardware wallet that can fit in your pocket or safe place."

“另一方面，比特币将继续具有开放透明的记录保存，并可以轻松地将其存储在可以放在口袋或安全的地方的小型硬件钱包中。”

Challenging gold's role as a traditional store of value, Draper stated: "And forget gold. It doesn't play in the same league as bitcoin. It has real challenges around storage and transportation."

德雷珀（Draper）挑战了黄金作为传统价值存储的角色，他说：“而忘记了黄金。它与比特币的联盟没有发挥作用。它在存储和运输方面面临着真正的挑战。”

Noting that sovereign adoption of bitcoin is already a topic of discussion, Draper said that governments are hedging against this scenario by including bitcoin in their strategic reserves.

德雷珀（Draper）指出，主权采用比特币已经是一个讨论的话题，他说，政府通过将比特币包括在其战略储备中来应对这种情况。

"So if the system breaks down you don't want to be the one clamoring to withdraw cash from the bank or hoarding gold in your room," the investor warned.

投资者警告说：“因此，如果系统分解，您不想成为从银行撤回现金或在房间里ho积黄金的人。”

"You want to have enough bitcoin to hold you and your family over for six months to a year. Or if hyperinflation happens, that bitcoin might last a lot longer."

“您希望有足够的比特币将您和您的家人持续六个月到一年。或者如果发生过度通货膨胀，那比特币可能会持续更长的时间。”

While some argue that bitcoin's price volatility hinders its use as a reliable hedge in a downturn, others believe that its fixed supply and decentralized network structure make it a key asset in a crisis scenario.

尽管有些人认为比特币的价格波动阻碍了其在经济低迷中的可靠树篱中的使用，但其他人则认为其固定供应和分散的网络结构使其成为危机情况下的关键资产。

Draper's comments add to a broader conversation about currency resilience and evolving monetary policy responses in an increasingly digital world.

德雷珀（Draper）的评论增加了关于货币弹性和日益数字世界中不断发展的货币政策反应的更广泛的对话。