比特幣消退市場風暴，鯨魚在波動性減半和地緣政治動盪中崛起

儘管最近有所下跌，但由於重要持有者（「鯨魚」）的積累，比特幣仍然受到支撐，自 3 月以來，他們已購買了超過 172,000 個比特幣。這種鯨魚的累積反映了對比特幣長期潛力的看漲情緒和信心。在第四次減半事件之前，市場波動性激增，導致交易活動增加，收益和損失的可能性也隨之增加。地緣政治緊張局勢和穩定幣的成長進一步加劇了市場的不確定性和比特幣的價格動態。

Bitcoin Endures Market Downturn, Whales Accumulate Amidst Halving Volatility and Geopolitical Turmoil

比特幣經歷市場低迷，鯨魚在波動性減半和地緣政治動盪中積累

Introduction

介紹

The pioneering cryptocurrency Bitcoin has encountered a recent period of market turbulence, experiencing a decline of over 4% within a 24-hour period. This downturn has brought Bitcoin to a critical support level ranging between $62,000 and $61,000.

加密貨幣先驅比特幣近期遭遇市場動盪，24小時內跌幅超過4%。這次低迷使比特幣達到了 62,000 美元至 61,000 美元之間的關鍵支撐位。

Whale Accumulation: A Positive Signal Amidst Bearish Sentiment

鯨魚吸籌：看跌情緒中的正向訊號

Despite the prevailing bearish sentiment, there is a compelling narrative of accumulation by significant Bitcoin holders, known as whales. Data from Sentiment reveals that addresses holding between 1,000 and 10,000 coins have acquired 80,544 units since early March. Additionally, addresses with balances ranging from 10,000 to 100,000 coins have amassed approximately 92,000 units during the same period. This consistent accumulation trend by major stakeholders suggests a strong underlying bullish sentiment and unwavering confidence in Bitcoin's long-term value proposition.

儘管看跌情緒盛行，但重要的比特幣持有者（即鯨魚）的累積卻令人信服。 Sentiment 的數據顯示，自 3 月初以來，持有 1,000 至 10,000 個代幣的地址已購買了 80,544 個代幣。此外，餘額在 10,000 到 100,000 個代幣之間的地址在同一時期累積了約 92,000 個代幣。主要利害關係人的這種持續累積趨勢顯示了強烈的潛在看漲情緒以及對比特幣長期價值主張堅定不移的信心。

BTC Halving Volatility: A Catalyst for Market Volatility

BTC波動性減半：市場波動的催化劑

The impending fourth Bitcoin halving, a scheduled reduction in block rewards scheduled to occur in May 2024, has injected volatility into the market. Trading volume has surged by over 10%, reaching $46.7 billion, as traders anticipate potential price swings.

即將到來的第四次比特幣減半，即計劃於 2024 年 5 月發生的區塊獎勵減少，為市場帶來了波動。由於交易員預計潛在的價格波動，交易量激增 10% 以上，達到 467 億美元。

This heightened volatility has led to increased liquidation events and stop hunts, creating challenges for both bullish and bearish traders. The stablecoin market has witnessed substantial growth, with Tether's USDT supply expanding by over $1 billion within a single day. This trend highlights the market's preference for stability and risk aversion, further contributing to Bitcoin's volatility leading up to the halving event.

這種波動性加劇導致清算事件增加並停止追尋，這給看漲和看跌交易者帶來了挑戰。穩定幣市場大幅成長，Tether 的 USDT 供應量單日成長超過 10 億美元。這一趨勢凸顯了市場對穩定和規避風險的偏好，進一步加劇了比特幣減半事件之前的波動。

Geopolitical Tensions: A Global Factor Shaping Bitcoin's Price

地緣政治緊張局勢：影響比特幣價格的全球因素

Bitcoin's price dynamics have been influenced by major global events, particularly geopolitical tensions. The Middle East crisis, triggered by Iran's drone and missile offensive against Israel, has impacted global markets, with Bitcoin closely following the movements of major stock indices.

比特幣的價格動態受到全球重大事件的影響，特別是地緣政治緊張局勢。由伊朗針對以色列的無人機和飛彈襲擊引發的中東危機已經影響了全球市場，比特幣密切關注主要股指的走勢。

The ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict continues to cast a shadow over global stability, prompting investors to adopt a cautious stance. These geopolitical factors have introduced additional uncertainty into the market, impacting Bitcoin's price and exacerbating volatility.

持續不斷的俄羅斯和烏克蘭衝突繼續為全球穩定蒙上陰影，促使投資者採取謹慎立場。這些地緣政治因素為市場帶來了額外的不確定性，影響了比特幣的價格並加劇了波動性。

Technical Analysis and Future Price Projections

技術分析與未來價格預測

Technical analysis provides insights into Bitcoin's current market structure and potential price trajectories. Crypto analyst Ali Martinez identifies a consolidation phase between $61,000 and $72,400 in recent weeks, with these levels serving as pivotal support and resistance thresholds, respectively.

技術分析提供了對比特幣當前市場結構和潛在價格軌蹟的見解。加密貨幣分析師 Ali Martinez 認為，最近幾週價格將在 61,000 美元至 72,400 美元之間出現盤整階段，這些價格分別作為關鍵支撐和阻力門檻。

Should Bitcoin breach the $61,000 support level, Martinez projects potential downside targets ranging from $51,600 to $56,200. Conversely, a breakout beyond the $72,400 resistance could trigger bullish momentum, propelling Bitcoin towards the $79,000-$86,000 range, indicating a resurgence of bullish sentiment.

如果比特幣突破 61,000 美元的支撐位，馬丁內斯預計潛在的下行目標範圍為 51,600 美元至 56,200 美元。相反，突破 72,400 美元阻力位可能會引發看漲勢頭，推動比特幣升至 79,000 美元至 86,000 美元區間，表明看漲情緒復甦。

Conclusion

結論

Bitcoin's recent price fluctuations are attributed to a combination of factors, including increased volatility in anticipation of the halving, escalating geopolitical tensions, and complex technical market dynamics. While short-term market oscillations are not uncommon, the underlying fundamentals, coupled with accumulation patterns by major holders, suggest Bitcoin's resilience and potential for upward trajectory.

比特幣近期的價格波動是由多種因素造成的，包括減半預期導致的波動性增加、地緣政治緊張局勢升級以及複雜的技術市場動態。雖然短期市場波動並不少見，但潛在的基本面，加上主要持有者的累積模式，顯示了比特幣的彈性和上升軌跡的潛力。

As the cryptocurrency market navigates these turbulent waters, traders and investors should exercise caution, stay informed about evolving market trends, and adopt a long-term perspective to capitalize on potential opportunities. By staying informed and adaptable, market participants can navigate the complexities of the cryptocurrency market and position themselves for success in this dynamic and rapidly evolving financial landscape.

隨著加密貨幣市場在動盪的水域中航行，交易者和投資者應保持謹慎，隨時了解不斷變化的市場趨勢，並採取長期視角來利用潛在機會。透過保持資訊靈通和適應能力，市場參與者可以駕馭加密貨幣市場的複雜性，並在這個充滿活力和快速發展的金融環境中取得成功。