比特幣趨勢：GlassNode的建設性指標和通往新高高的道路

GlassNode的鍊鍊分析表明，只要其持有的比特幣趨勢高於短期持有人的成本基礎。 BTC很快會達到新的高潮嗎？

Bitcoin Trend: Glassnode's Constructive Metrics and the Road to New Highs

比特幣趨勢：GlassNode的建設性指標和通往新高高的道路

Bitcoin's been a rollercoaster, hasn't it? But according to Glassnode, things are looking up, or at least, staying steady. The key? Watching where Bitcoin trades relative to the cost basis of those short-term holders. Let's dive in.

比特幣一直是過山車，不是嗎？但是根據GlassNode的說法，事情正在抬頭，或者至少保持穩定。鑰匙？觀看比特幣相對於這些短期持有人的成本基礎進行交易的地方。讓我們潛水。

The Short-Term Holder Cost Basis: A Critical Support Level

短期持有人的成本基礎：關鍵支持水平

Glassnode points out that as long as Bitcoin chills above the realized price of short-term holders (STHs) – those who've held their coins for less than 155 days – the trend remains constructive. Think of it as a safety net. When Bitcoin dips and finds support at this level, it's a bullish signal. Lose that support, and we could be looking at a pullback.

GlassNode指出，只要比特幣在短期持有人（STH）（STH）的實現價格上（STH）（持有硬幣少於155天的人）的實現價格中，趨勢仍然是建設性的。將其視為安全網。當比特幣下降並在此級別找到支持時，這是一個看漲的信號。失去了支持，我們可能正在尋找回調。

Why do STHs matter so much? Well, they're the easily spooked bunch. They haven't been in the game long enough to diamond-hand through thick and thin. So, their reactions to price movements can be telling. In a bull market, they see dips to their cost basis as buying opportunities. In a bear market, they panic sell at the first sign of trouble.

為什麼STH如此重要？好吧，它們很容易被驚嚇。他們沒有參加比賽的時間足夠長，無法通過厚實的鑽石進行鑽石。因此，他們對價格變動的反應可以說明。在牛市中，他們將其成本基礎視為購買機會。在熊市中，他們的恐慌出售在第一個麻煩的跡象。

Current Market Consolidation and AI Forecasts

當前的市場合併和AI預測

Right now, Bitcoin's in a consolidation phase. After a solid run-up since April, it's taking a breather. CryptoQuant's AI forecasts suggest a neutral range for the next month. The expectation is that Bitcoin will trade sideways. This consolidation might be the calm before another surge or a deeper correction. According to the Temporal Fusion Transformer (TFT) AI Forecast, Bitcoin is expected to trade within a mostly neutral range in the coming weeks, though uncertainty is rising sharply.

目前，比特幣處於整合階段。自4月以來進行了穩固的比賽后，它進行了喘息。 CryptoQuant的AI預測表明，下個月的中立範圍。期望比特幣將側向交易。這種合併可能是在另一次激增之前的平靜或更深入的更正。根據時間融合變壓器（TFT）AI的預測，儘管不確定性急劇上升，但預計比特幣將在接下來的幾週內進行中性範圍內的交易。

Glassnode Founders Predict New All-Time Highs

GlassNode創始人預測了新的歷史最高高點

Here's where it gets interesting. The cofounders of Glassnode, posting under the alias @Negentropic_, are boldly predicting new all-time highs for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana within the next three to four weeks! That's a pretty confident statement, urging everyone to get on board before the “freight train” leaves the station.

這是有趣的地方。玻璃節的聯合創始人在@negentropic_下發布，大膽地預測了在接下來的三到四個星期內，比特幣，以太坊和索拉納的新歷史最高點！這是一個非常自信的聲明，敦促所有人在“貨運火車”離開車站之前加入船。

My Take: Cautious Optimism

我的看法：謹慎的樂觀

While Glassnode's on-chain analysis provides valuable insights, and the prediction from the founders is exciting, it's crucial to tread carefully. The crypto market is notoriously volatile. The AI forecasts indicate rising uncertainty. I am optimistic, but I'm also keeping a close eye on those support levels and market sentiment. If Bitcoin can maintain its position above the STH realized price and break through resistance at $115,000, a move towards new all-time highs becomes increasingly likely.

儘管GlassNode的鍊鍊分析提供了寶貴的見解，而創始人的預測令人興奮，但仔細踩踏至關重要。眾所周知，加密貨幣市場是動蕩的。 AI預測表明不確定性上升。我很樂觀，但我也密切關注這些支持水平和市場情緒。如果比特幣可以將其位置保持在STH實現的價格上，並以115,000美元的價格突破阻力，那麼向新的歷史最高點的轉變就越來越有可能。

The Bottom Line

底線

So, where does this leave us? Bitcoin's trend looks constructive as long as it respects the short-term holder cost basis. The market's in a consolidation phase, but some big names are betting on new all-time highs soon. As always, do your own research, stay informed, and get ready for anything. After all, in the world of crypto, anything can happen!

那麼，這將離開我們的地方？只要尊重短期持有人的成本基礎，比特幣的趨勢看起來都具有建設性。該市場處於整合階段，但一些知名人士即將在新的歷史新高上押注。與往常一樣，進行自己的研究，保持知識並為任何事情做好準備。畢竟，在加密貨幣世界中，任何事情都可能發生！