比特币趋势：GlassNode的建设性指标和通往新高高的道路

GlassNode的链链分析表明，只要其持有的比特币趋势高于短期持有人的成本基础。 BTC很快会达到新的高潮吗？

Bitcoin Trend: Glassnode's Constructive Metrics and the Road to New Highs

比特币趋势：GlassNode的建设性指标和通往新高高的道路

Bitcoin's been a rollercoaster, hasn't it? But according to Glassnode, things are looking up, or at least, staying steady. The key? Watching where Bitcoin trades relative to the cost basis of those short-term holders. Let's dive in.

比特币一直是过山车，不是吗？但是根据GlassNode的说法，事情正在抬头，或者至少保持稳定。钥匙？观看比特币相对于这些短期持有人的成本基础进行交易的地方。让我们潜水。

The Short-Term Holder Cost Basis: A Critical Support Level

短期持有人的成本基础：关键支持水平

Glassnode points out that as long as Bitcoin chills above the realized price of short-term holders (STHs) – those who've held their coins for less than 155 days – the trend remains constructive. Think of it as a safety net. When Bitcoin dips and finds support at this level, it's a bullish signal. Lose that support, and we could be looking at a pullback.

GlassNode指出，只要比特币在短期持有人（STH）（STH）的实现价格上（STH）（持有硬币少于155天的人）的实现价格中，趋势仍然是建设性的。将其视为安全网。当比特币下降并在此级别找到支持时，这是一个看涨的信号。失去了支持，我们可能正在寻找回调。

Why do STHs matter so much? Well, they're the easily spooked bunch. They haven't been in the game long enough to diamond-hand through thick and thin. So, their reactions to price movements can be telling. In a bull market, they see dips to their cost basis as buying opportunities. In a bear market, they panic sell at the first sign of trouble.

为什么STH如此重要？好吧，它们很容易被惊吓。他们没有参加比赛的时间足够长，无法通过厚实的钻石进行钻石。因此，他们对价格变动的反应可以说明。在牛市中，他们将其成本基础视为购买机会。在熊市中，他们的恐慌出售在第一个麻烦的迹象。

Current Market Consolidation and AI Forecasts

当前的市场合并和AI预测

Right now, Bitcoin's in a consolidation phase. After a solid run-up since April, it's taking a breather. CryptoQuant's AI forecasts suggest a neutral range for the next month. The expectation is that Bitcoin will trade sideways. This consolidation might be the calm before another surge or a deeper correction. According to the Temporal Fusion Transformer (TFT) AI Forecast, Bitcoin is expected to trade within a mostly neutral range in the coming weeks, though uncertainty is rising sharply.

目前，比特币处于整合阶段。自4月以来进行了稳固的比赛后，它进行了喘息。 CryptoQuant的AI预测表明，下个月的中立范围。期望比特币将侧向交易。这种合并可能是在另一次激增之前的平静或更深入的更正。根据时间融合变压器（TFT）AI的预测，尽管不确定性急剧上升，但预计比特币将在接下来的几周内进行中性范围内的交易。

Glassnode Founders Predict New All-Time Highs

GlassNode创始人预测了新的历史最高高点

Here's where it gets interesting. The cofounders of Glassnode, posting under the alias @Negentropic_, are boldly predicting new all-time highs for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana within the next three to four weeks! That's a pretty confident statement, urging everyone to get on board before the “freight train” leaves the station.

这是有趣的地方。玻璃节的联合创始人在@negentropic_下发布，大胆地预测了在接下来的三到四个星期内，比特币，以太坊和索拉纳的新历史最高点！这是一个非常自信的声明，敦促所有人在“货运火车”离开车站之前加入船。

My Take: Cautious Optimism

我的看法：谨慎的乐观

While Glassnode's on-chain analysis provides valuable insights, and the prediction from the founders is exciting, it's crucial to tread carefully. The crypto market is notoriously volatile. The AI forecasts indicate rising uncertainty. I am optimistic, but I'm also keeping a close eye on those support levels and market sentiment. If Bitcoin can maintain its position above the STH realized price and break through resistance at $115,000, a move towards new all-time highs becomes increasingly likely.

尽管GlassNode的链链分析提供了宝贵的见解，而创始人的预测令人兴奋，但仔细踩踏至关重要。众所周知，加密货币市场是动荡的。 AI预测表明不确定性上升。我很乐观，但我也密切关注这些支持水平和市场情绪。如果比特币可以将其位置保持在STH实现的价格上，并以115,000美元的价格突破阻力，那么向新的历史最高点的转变就越来越有可能。

The Bottom Line

底线

So, where does this leave us? Bitcoin's trend looks constructive as long as it respects the short-term holder cost basis. The market's in a consolidation phase, but some big names are betting on new all-time highs soon. As always, do your own research, stay informed, and get ready for anything. After all, in the world of crypto, anything can happen!

那么，这将离开我们的地方？只要尊重短期持有人的成本基础，比特币的趋势看起来都具有建设性。该市场处于整合阶段，但一些知名人士即将在新的历史新高上押注。与往常一样，进行自己的研究，保持知识并为任何事情做好准备。毕竟，在加密货币世界中，任何事情都可能发生！