比特幣的Wightrope Walk：RSI Divergence和更正難題

比特幣正在閃爍警告標誌，因為其相對強度指數（RSI）顯示出一種熟悉的看跌差異模式，敦促交易者保持警惕。

Bitcoin's Tightrope Walk: RSI Divergence and the Correction Conundrum

比特幣的Wightrope Walk：RSI Divergence和更正難題

Bitcoin's recent price action has traders on high alert. A bearish RSI divergence, coupled with critical resistance levels, suggests a potential correction is brewing. Will Bitcoin break through, or will it succumb to market pressures?

比特幣最近的價格行動使交易者處於高度戒備狀態。看跌的RSI發散，再加上臨界電阻水平，表明潛在的校正正在醞釀中。比特幣會突破，還是會屈服於市場壓力？

RSI Divergence: A Familiar Warning Sign

RSI Divergence：一個熟悉的警告信號

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing a bearish divergence pattern, reminiscent of the setup seen after the 2020 halving. While Bitcoin's price has been making higher highs, the RSI has been forming lower highs, indicating weakening momentum. This classic divergence often precedes a correction or consolidation period.

相對強度指數（RSI）顯示出看跌的差異模式，讓人聯想到2020年減半後看到的設置。儘管比特幣的價格一直在提高高點，但RSI一直在形成較低的高點，表明勢頭較弱。這種經典的差異通常在校正或整合期之前。

As analyst TrendPro pointed out, this type of setup has historically led to either a healthy correction or a period of sideways consolidation, acting as a cooling-off period before the next significant leg higher.

正如Analyst TrendPro所指出的那樣，這種類型的設置在歷史上導致了健康的校正或一段側向合併，在下一個明顯的腿更高之前充當了冷卻期。

Shakeout or Breakout? Bitcoin at a Crossroads

搖晃還是突破？比特幣在十字路口

Bitcoin finds itself at a critical juncture. It's pressured major resistance levels, recently reaching $108,795.50, but faces a long-standing bearish trendline on the RSI. This creates tension between market momentum and structure.

比特幣發現自己處於關鍵時刻。它的主要阻力水平是壓力的，最近達到108,795.50美元，但在RSI上面臨著長期的看跌趨勢線。這會在市場動量和結構之間產生張力。

The price remains locked inside a broad ascending wedge, capped by a diagonal resistance line. Each upward move has failed to decisively break that ceiling, leading to sharp pullbacks in the past. The market is tightening, with higher lows meeting an unyielding ceiling.

價格仍然鎖定在寬闊的楔形楔形內，被對角線阻力線封頂。每次向上的移動都無法決定地打破天花板，從而導致了過去的急劇下降。市場正在收緊，較高的低點達到了不屈的天花板。

Liquidation Metrics: Imbalance Near Critical Levels

清算指標：接近臨界水平的不平衡

Liquidation charts reveal an imbalance between punished longs and exposed shorts. Long positions suffered losses between $94,177 and $108,000, clearing excess leverage before the recent move. Short pressure is building just above $110,000, with significant risks above $111,000. A break above this level could trigger a short squeeze towards $120,000.

清算圖顯示了懲罰的長褲和裸露的短褲之間的不平衡。長位置的損失在94,177美元至108,000美元之間，在最近的舉動之前清除了超額槓桿作用。短壓力正高於110,000美元以上，其風險高於111,000美元。超過此水平的休息可能會引發短暫的擠壓到$ 120,000。

A Personal Take: Navigating the Uncertainty

個人看法：導航不確定性

Given the conflicting signals, it's crucial to approach Bitcoin with caution. The RSI divergence and resistance levels suggest a potential correction, but the possibility of a short squeeze cannot be ignored. Monitoring key levels like $110,000 (potential breakout) and $94,000-$96,000 (support zone) is essential for making informed decisions.

鑑於信號相互矛盾，謹慎對待比特幣至關重要。 RSI差異和電阻水平表明潛在的校正，但短擠壓的可能性不能忽略。監視關鍵水平，例如$ 110,000（潛在的突破）和$ 94,000- $ 96,000（支持區）對於做出明智的決定至關重要。

While solo mining is often considered obsolete, one solo Bitcoin miner achieved an extraordinary feat by successfully mining block 903,883 on July 3, 2025, earning a substantial reward of approximately $349,028. The miner, operating with a mere 2.3 PH/s of hash power, defied odds of 0.004% to claim the reward. This remarkable event highlights the unpredictable nature of the cryptocurrency landscape.

雖然Solo Mining通常被認為是過時的，但一名獨奏比特幣礦工在2025年7月3日成功採礦903,883取得了非凡的壯舉，獲得了大約349,028美元的可觀獎勵。該礦工僅以2.3 ph/s的功率運行，賠率為0.004％，無法獲得獎勵。這個非凡的事件突出了加密貨幣景觀的不可預測性質。

The Bottom Line

底線

Bitcoin's current situation is complex. A healthy dose of skepticism and a well-defined strategy are essential for navigating the choppy waters ahead. Whether it's a shakeout or a breakout, buckle up and get ready for the ride!

比特幣的當前情況很複雜。健康劑量的懷疑和明確的策略對於在前方的波濤洶湧的水上行駛至關重要。無論是搖晃還是突破，都可以搭扣並為騎行做好準備！