比特币的Wightrope Walk：RSI Divergence和更正难题

比特币正在闪烁警告标志，因为其相对强度指数（RSI）显示出一种熟悉的看跌差异模式，敦促交易者保持警惕。

Bitcoin's Tightrope Walk: RSI Divergence and the Correction Conundrum

比特币的Wightrope Walk：RSI Divergence和更正难题

Bitcoin's recent price action has traders on high alert. A bearish RSI divergence, coupled with critical resistance levels, suggests a potential correction is brewing. Will Bitcoin break through, or will it succumb to market pressures?

比特币最近的价格行动使交易者处于高度戒备状态。看跌的RSI发散，再加上临界电阻水平，表明潜在的校正正在酝酿中。比特币会突破，还是会屈服于市场压力？

RSI Divergence: A Familiar Warning Sign

RSI Divergence：一个熟悉的警告信号

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing a bearish divergence pattern, reminiscent of the setup seen after the 2020 halving. While Bitcoin's price has been making higher highs, the RSI has been forming lower highs, indicating weakening momentum. This classic divergence often precedes a correction or consolidation period.

相对强度指数（RSI）显示出看跌的差异模式，让人联想到2020年减半后看到的设置。尽管比特币的价格一直在提高高点，但RSI一直在形成较低的高点，表明势头较弱。这种经典的差异通常在校正或整合期之前。

As analyst TrendPro pointed out, this type of setup has historically led to either a healthy correction or a period of sideways consolidation, acting as a cooling-off period before the next significant leg higher.

正如Analyst TrendPro所指出的那样，这种类型的设置在历史上导致了健康的校正或一段侧向合并，在下一个明显的腿更高之前充当了冷却期。

Shakeout or Breakout? Bitcoin at a Crossroads

摇晃还是突破？比特币在十字路口

Bitcoin finds itself at a critical juncture. It's pressured major resistance levels, recently reaching $108,795.50, but faces a long-standing bearish trendline on the RSI. This creates tension between market momentum and structure.

比特币发现自己处于关键时刻。它的主要阻力水平是压力的，最近达到108,795.50美元，但在RSI上面临着长期的看跌趋势线。这会在市场动量和结构之间产生张力。

The price remains locked inside a broad ascending wedge, capped by a diagonal resistance line. Each upward move has failed to decisively break that ceiling, leading to sharp pullbacks in the past. The market is tightening, with higher lows meeting an unyielding ceiling.

价格仍然锁定在宽阔的楔形楔形内，被对角线阻力线封顶。每次向上的移动都无法决定地打破天花板，从而导致了过去的急剧下降。市场正在收紧，较高的低点达到了不屈的天花板。

Liquidation Metrics: Imbalance Near Critical Levels

清算指标：接近临界水平的不平衡

Liquidation charts reveal an imbalance between punished longs and exposed shorts. Long positions suffered losses between $94,177 and $108,000, clearing excess leverage before the recent move. Short pressure is building just above $110,000, with significant risks above $111,000. A break above this level could trigger a short squeeze towards $120,000.

清算图显示了惩罚的长裤和裸露的短裤之间的不平衡。长位置的损失在94,177美元至108,000美元之间，在最近的举动之前清除了超额杠杆作用。短压力正高于110,000美元以上，其风险高于111,000美元。超过此水平的休息可能会引发短暂的挤压到$ 120,000。

A Personal Take: Navigating the Uncertainty

个人看法：导航不确定性

Given the conflicting signals, it's crucial to approach Bitcoin with caution. The RSI divergence and resistance levels suggest a potential correction, but the possibility of a short squeeze cannot be ignored. Monitoring key levels like $110,000 (potential breakout) and $94,000-$96,000 (support zone) is essential for making informed decisions.

鉴于信号相互矛盾，谨慎对待比特币至关重要。 RSI差异和电阻水平表明潜在的校正，但短挤压的可能性不能忽略。监视关键水平，例如$ 110,000（潜在的突破）和$ 94,000- $ 96,000（支持区）对于做出明智的决定至关重要。

While solo mining is often considered obsolete, one solo Bitcoin miner achieved an extraordinary feat by successfully mining block 903,883 on July 3, 2025, earning a substantial reward of approximately $349,028. The miner, operating with a mere 2.3 PH/s of hash power, defied odds of 0.004% to claim the reward. This remarkable event highlights the unpredictable nature of the cryptocurrency landscape.

虽然Solo Mining通常被认为是过时的，但一名独奏比特币矿工在2025年7月3日成功采矿903,883取得了非凡的壮举，获得了大约349,028美元的可观奖励。该矿工仅以2.3 ph/s的功率运行，赔率为0.004％，无法获得奖励。这个非凡的事件突出了加密货币景观的不可预测性质。

The Bottom Line

底线

Bitcoin's current situation is complex. A healthy dose of skepticism and a well-defined strategy are essential for navigating the choppy waters ahead. Whether it's a shakeout or a breakout, buckle up and get ready for the ride!

比特币的当前情况很复杂。健康剂量的怀疑和明确的策略对于在前方的波涛汹涌的水上行驶至关重要。无论是摇晃还是突破，都可以搭扣并为骑行做好准备！