由於RSI信號弱點，比特幣面臨著$ 10萬美元的關鍵測試。它會舉行，還是替代投資會竊取演出？

Bitcoin's Tightrope Walk: Balancing Risks and RSI Support

比特幣的繩索步行：平衡風險和RSI支持

Bitcoin is navigating a tricky landscape. As momentum wanes and key support levels are tested, traders are watching closely. Can Bitcoin maintain its footing, or will the allure of higher-yield alternatives pull investors away? This blog post breaks down the latest trends and insights surrounding Bitcoin, risks, and RSI support.

比特幣正在瀏覽棘手的風景。隨著勢頭降低和關鍵支持水平的測試，交易者正在密切關注。比特幣能否維持其地位，或者更高收益的替代方案的吸引力會吸引投資者？這篇博客文章打破了圍繞比特幣，風險和RSI支持的最新趨勢和見解。

The $100,000 Line in the Sand

沙灘上的$ 100,000線

Analysts are eyeing the $100,000 mark as a pivotal support zone for Bitcoin. Altcoin Sherpa warns that a breakdown below this level could trigger a significant decline, potentially leading to a test of the $96,000 area, which aligns with the point of control from November 2024 and the 200-day EMA.

分析師將100,000美元的分數視為比特幣的關鍵支持區。 Altcoin Sherpa警告說，低於此水平的故障可能會引發大幅下降，這可能導致測試96,000美元的區域，這與2024年11月的控制點和200天EMA相吻合。

Skew also highlights the $102,000 to $100,000 range as crucial. A break below this zone, particularly on a weekend with thinner liquidity, could accelerate the downward momentum. The initial reaction within this range will be vital in determining Bitcoin's short-term trajectory.

偏斜還重點介紹了至關重要的102,000至100,000美元。在該區域以下的休息時間，尤其是在流動性較薄的周末，可能會加速向下勢頭。該範圍內的初始反應對於確定比特幣的短期軌跡至關重要。

RSI Signals Weakening Momentum

RSI信號削弱了勢頭

Adding to the concern, Bitcoin's daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped to 39.51, indicating weakening bullish momentum. The RSI's consistent downward trend since mid-May, coupled with its position below the signal line, suggests that sellers are gaining control. A continued decline into oversold territory (below 30) could signal a more extended downtrend.

除此之外，比特幣的每日相對強度指數（RSI）下降到39.51，表明看漲勢頭減弱。自5月中旬以來，RSI的穩定向下趨勢以及其在信號線以下的位置，表明賣方正在獲得控制。持續下降到超賣領土（30歲以下）可能表明下降趨勢更大。

The Competition Heats Up

比賽升溫

Bitwise CEO Hunter Horsley points out that Bitcoin faces structural obstacles beyond just technical indicators. One key challenge is rising competition from high-return alternatives in the decentralized finance (DeFi) space. With DeFi projects, layer-2 tokens, and new blockchains promising exponential gains, investors seeking 10x returns may look beyond Bitcoin. He also believes Bitcoin's true rivals will be government bonds and T-bills as the narrative of Bitcoin being an “apolitical store-of-value” fades.

Bitwise首席執行官亨特·霍斯利（Hunter Horsley）指出，比特幣不僅僅是技術指標，都面臨著結構性障礙。一個關鍵挑戰是在分散融資（DEFI）領域的高回報替代方案中競爭。借助Defi項目，第2層代幣和新的區塊鏈有希望的指數增長，尋求10倍回報的投資者可能會超越比特幣。他還認為，比特幣的真實競爭對手將是政府債券和T-bills，因為比特幣的敘述是“非政治性存儲”的淡出。

Jetking's Bold Bitcoin Bet

Jetking的大膽比特幣押注

Amidst the broader market dynamics, it's fascinating to see companies like Jetking, an Indian business known for making radios and televisions, embrace Bitcoin as a treasury asset. Despite India's stringent crypto tax regulations and RBI's concerns, Jetking has adopted a "Never Sell Bitcoin" strategy, aiming to hold 210 Bitcoins by the end of 2025. Their compliance-first approach, buying Bitcoin via regulated exchanges and storing it with institutional-grade custodians, showcases a commitment to responsible crypto adoption.

在更廣泛的市場動態中，令人著迷的是，像印度企業一樣，以製作收音機和電視而聞名的公司將比特幣作為國庫資產。儘管印度嚴格的加密稅法和RBI的關注點，但Jetking採用了“永不銷售比特幣”策略，目的是在2025年底之前持有210個比特幣。他們的合規首先方法，通過管制的交易所購買比特幣，並以造成級別的Custodians儲存它，以構成級別的Custodians，向負責任的Crypto採用承諾。

The Bottom Line

底線

Bitcoin is at a crossroads. While the $100,000 level offers a critical support, weakening momentum and increasing competition from alternative investments pose significant risks. Investors should closely monitor price action around key support levels, RSI trends, and shifts in ETF flow patterns. Will Bitcoin hold its ground, or will the allure of higher returns elsewhere prove too strong? Only time will tell. One thing's for sure: it's gonna be a bumpy ride, so buckle up and enjoy the show!

比特幣處於十字路口。雖然$ 100,000的水平提供了重要的支持，削弱了勢頭和增加替代投資的競爭構成了很大的風險。投資者應圍繞關鍵支持水平，RSI趨勢以及ETF流量模式的轉變密切監視價格行動。比特幣會持有其立場，還是在其他地方的更高回報的魅力證明太強勁了？只有時間會證明。可以肯定的是：這將是一個顛簸的旅程，所以搭扣並享受演出！