由于RSI信号弱点，比特币面临着$ 10万美元的关键测试。它会举行，还是替代投资会窃取演出？

Bitcoin's Tightrope Walk: Balancing Risks and RSI Support

比特币的绳索步行：平衡风险和RSI支持

Bitcoin is navigating a tricky landscape. As momentum wanes and key support levels are tested, traders are watching closely. Can Bitcoin maintain its footing, or will the allure of higher-yield alternatives pull investors away? This blog post breaks down the latest trends and insights surrounding Bitcoin, risks, and RSI support.

比特币正在浏览棘手的风景。随着势头降低和关键支持水平的测试，交易者正在密切关注。比特币能否维持其地位，或者更高收益的替代方案的吸引力会吸引投资者？这篇博客文章打破了围绕比特币，风险和RSI支持的最新趋势和见解。

The $100,000 Line in the Sand

沙滩上的$ 100,000线

Analysts are eyeing the $100,000 mark as a pivotal support zone for Bitcoin. Altcoin Sherpa warns that a breakdown below this level could trigger a significant decline, potentially leading to a test of the $96,000 area, which aligns with the point of control from November 2024 and the 200-day EMA.

分析师将100,000美元的分数视为比特币的关键支持区。 Altcoin Sherpa警告说，低于此水平的故障可能会引发大幅下降，这可能导致测试96,000美元的区域，这与2024年11月的控制点和200天EMA相吻合。

Skew also highlights the $102,000 to $100,000 range as crucial. A break below this zone, particularly on a weekend with thinner liquidity, could accelerate the downward momentum. The initial reaction within this range will be vital in determining Bitcoin's short-term trajectory.

偏斜还重点介绍了至关重要的102,000至100,000美元。在该区域以下的休息时间，尤其是在流动性较薄的周末，可能会加速向下势头。该范围内的初始反应对于确定比特币的短期轨迹至关重要。

RSI Signals Weakening Momentum

RSI信号削弱了势头

Adding to the concern, Bitcoin's daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped to 39.51, indicating weakening bullish momentum. The RSI's consistent downward trend since mid-May, coupled with its position below the signal line, suggests that sellers are gaining control. A continued decline into oversold territory (below 30) could signal a more extended downtrend.

除此之外，比特币的每日相对强度指数（RSI）下降到39.51，表明看涨势头减弱。自5月中旬以来，RSI的稳定向下趋势以及其在信号线以下的位置，表明卖方正在获得控制。持续下降到超卖领土（30岁以下）可能表明下降趋势更大。

The Competition Heats Up

比赛升温

Bitwise CEO Hunter Horsley points out that Bitcoin faces structural obstacles beyond just technical indicators. One key challenge is rising competition from high-return alternatives in the decentralized finance (DeFi) space. With DeFi projects, layer-2 tokens, and new blockchains promising exponential gains, investors seeking 10x returns may look beyond Bitcoin. He also believes Bitcoin's true rivals will be government bonds and T-bills as the narrative of Bitcoin being an “apolitical store-of-value” fades.

Bitwise首席执行官亨特·霍斯利（Hunter Horsley）指出，比特币不仅仅是技术指标，都面临着结构性障碍。一个关键挑战是在分散融资（DEFI）领域的高回报替代方案中竞争。借助Defi项目，第2层代币和新的区块链有希望的指数增长，寻求10倍回报的投资者可能会超越比特币。他还认为，比特币的真实竞争对手将是政府债券和T-bills，因为比特币的叙述是“非政治性存储”的淡出。

Jetking's Bold Bitcoin Bet

Jetking的大胆比特币押注

Amidst the broader market dynamics, it's fascinating to see companies like Jetking, an Indian business known for making radios and televisions, embrace Bitcoin as a treasury asset. Despite India's stringent crypto tax regulations and RBI's concerns, Jetking has adopted a "Never Sell Bitcoin" strategy, aiming to hold 210 Bitcoins by the end of 2025. Their compliance-first approach, buying Bitcoin via regulated exchanges and storing it with institutional-grade custodians, showcases a commitment to responsible crypto adoption.

在更广泛的市场动态中，令人着迷的是，像印度企业一样，以制作收音机和电视而闻名的公司将比特币作为国库资产。尽管印度严格的加密税法和RBI的关注点，但Jetking采用了“永不销售比特币”策略，目的是在2025年底之前持有210个比特币。他们的合规首先方法，通过管制的交易所购买比特币，并以造成级别的Custodians储存它，以构成级别的Custodians，向负责任的Crypto采用承诺。

The Bottom Line

底线

Bitcoin is at a crossroads. While the $100,000 level offers a critical support, weakening momentum and increasing competition from alternative investments pose significant risks. Investors should closely monitor price action around key support levels, RSI trends, and shifts in ETF flow patterns. Will Bitcoin hold its ground, or will the allure of higher returns elsewhere prove too strong? Only time will tell. One thing's for sure: it's gonna be a bumpy ride, so buckle up and enjoy the show!

比特币处于十字路口。虽然$ 100,000的水平提供了重要的支持，削弱了势头和增加替代投资的竞争构成了很大的风险。投资者应围绕关键支持水平，RSI趋势以及ETF流量模式的转变密切监视价格行动。比特币会持有其立场，还是在其他地方的更高回报的魅力证明太强劲了？只有时间会证明。可以肯定的是：这将是一个颠簸的旅程，所以搭扣并享受演出！