下降的楔形形態投下下跌陰影，比特幣在看跌斜坡上搖搖欲墜

本週比特幣價格波動較大，徘徊在6萬美元大關附近。儘管週日上漲 1.3%，但由於楔形下降和持續的下行壓力，短期前景仍然看跌。如果橫盤軌跡持續下去，則有可能跌至 56,500 美元甚至 53,100 美元。值得注意的是，短期比特幣持有者一直在拋售比特幣，這些投資者分配了 131 萬比特幣，目前僅持有比特幣總量的 6.4%。

Bitcoin Price Teeters on the Brink: Falling Wedge Pattern Signals Bearish Outlook

比特幣價格在邊緣搖搖欲墜：下降的楔形模式預示著看跌的前景

In a week marked by intense market volatility, Bitcoin's price has been on a roller coaster ride, fluctuating around the pivotal $60,000 psychological barrier. On Sunday, the BTC price experienced a modest 1.3% surge, buoyed by robust demand liquidity at the 100-day EMA, which provided temporary support. However, despite this brief uptick, the short-term outlook remains decidedly bearish, with a falling wedge pattern dominating the daily chart. The relentless pressure exerted by the overhead trendline continues to drive the asset's downward trajectory.

在市場劇烈波動的一周裡，比特幣的價格就像過山車一樣，圍繞著 6 萬美元的關鍵心理關卡波動。週日，受 100 日均線強勁需求流動性的提振，比特幣價格小幅上漲 1.3%，這提供了暫時的支撐。然而，儘管出現了短暫的上漲，但短期前景仍然明顯看跌，下降楔形形態在日線圖上佔據主導地位。上方趨勢線施加的持續壓力繼續推動該資產的下行軌跡。

For nearly two months, the Bitcoin price has been trapped within the converging trendlines of a falling wedge pattern. At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $61,600, encountering stiff resistance from the pattern's upper trendline. While the $60,000 support level remains intact, the price action has shifted sideways, creating an atmosphere of uncertainty among market participants.

近兩個月來，比特幣價格一直陷入下降楔形形態的聚合趨勢線之內。截至撰寫本文時，BTC 的交易價格為 61,600 美元，遇到了該模式上方趨勢線的強勁阻力。雖然 60,000 美元的支撐位保持不變，但價格走勢已橫向移動，在市場參與者中造成了不確定的氣氛。

Should the sideways movement of BTC encounter another wave of supply liquidity, selling pressure could push the asset down to the $56,500-$53,100 range. A recent analysis by Dominando Cripto has shed light on a significant shift in the behavior of Bitcoin holders. According to their findings, investors who have held Bitcoin for less than a month are increasingly liquidating their holdings.

如果比特幣的橫盤走勢遇到另一波供應流動性，拋售壓力可能會將該資產推低至 56,500 美元至 53,100 美元的區間。 Dominando Cripto 最近的一項分析揭示了比特幣持有者行為的重大轉變。根據他們的發現，持有比特幣不到一個月的投資者越來越多地清算其持有的比特幣。

Currently, these short-term holders possess approximately 1.25 million BTC, a significant decline from a recent peak of 2.56 million BTC. This sell-off represents a distribution of 1.31 million BTC among this investor group, who now account for 6.4% of all Bitcoin investors, with a total of 3.42 million addresses.

目前，這些短期持有者持有約 125 萬比特幣，較近期高峰 256 萬比特幣大幅下降。這次拋售意味著該投資者群體中分配了 131 萬枚 BTC，目前該投資者群體佔所有比特幣投資者的 6.4%，總共有 342 萬個地址。

Dominando Cripto attributes this substantial distribution of coins to the relatively low number of addresses holding significant amounts of Bitcoin, indicating the emergence of new whales in the market who favor short-term trading strategies. The significant sell-off by these new whales has the potential to exacerbate market volatility.

Dominando Cripto 將比特幣的大量分佈歸因於持有大量比特幣的地址數量相對較少，這表明市場上出現了青睞短期交易策略的新鯨魚。這些新鯨魚的大幅拋售有可能加劇市場波動。

The falling wedge pattern, coupled with the ongoing sell-off by short-term holders, paints a disconcerting picture for Bitcoin's immediate future. The bears appear to be in control, with the price trajectory pointing firmly downward. Unless there is a decisive breakout above the $63,000 resistance level, Bitcoin's downward slide is likely to continue, with potential targets in the $56,500-$53,100 range.

下降的楔形形態，加上短期持有者的持續拋售，為比特幣的近期未來描繪了一幅令人不安的景象。空頭似乎已掌控局面，價格軌跡堅定向下。除非決定性突破 63,000 美元阻力位，否則比特幣可能會繼續下滑，潛在目標在 56,500 美元至 53,100 美元區間。

Investors should exercise caution and closely monitor market developments. The falling wedge pattern suggests that further downside is possible, and traders should consider adjusting their positions accordingly. Short-term traders may seek opportunities to capitalize on the volatility by employing stop-loss orders and risk management strategies. Long-term investors, on the other hand, may consider dollar-cost averaging or holding their positions through the current market turmoil.

投資人應謹慎行事，密切注意市場動態。下降楔形表示可能進一步下跌，交易者應考慮相應調整部位。短期交易者可能會透過採用停損指令和風險管理策略來尋找利用波動性的機會。另一方面，長期投資者可能會考慮平均成本法或在當前的市場動盪中保持頭寸。