下降的楔形形态投下下跌阴影，比特币在看跌斜坡上摇摇欲坠

本周比特币价格波动较大，徘徊在6万美元大关附近。尽管周日上涨 1.3%，但由于楔形下降和持续的下行压力，短期前景仍然看跌。如果横盘轨迹持续下去，则有可能跌至 56,500 美元甚至 53,100 美元。值得注意的是，短期比特币持有者一直在抛售比特币，这些投资者分配了 131 万比特币，目前仅持有比特币总量的 6.4%。

Bitcoin Price Teeters on the Brink: Falling Wedge Pattern Signals Bearish Outlook

比特币价格在边缘摇摇欲坠：下降的楔形模式预示着看跌的前景

In a week marked by intense market volatility, Bitcoin's price has been on a roller coaster ride, fluctuating around the pivotal $60,000 psychological barrier. On Sunday, the BTC price experienced a modest 1.3% surge, buoyed by robust demand liquidity at the 100-day EMA, which provided temporary support. However, despite this brief uptick, the short-term outlook remains decidedly bearish, with a falling wedge pattern dominating the daily chart. The relentless pressure exerted by the overhead trendline continues to drive the asset's downward trajectory.

在市场剧烈波动的一周里，比特币的价格就像过山车一样，围绕着 6 万美元的关键心理关口波动。周日，受 100 日均线强劲需求流动性的提振，比特币价格小幅上涨 1.3%，这提供了暂时的支撑。然而，尽管出现了短暂的上涨，但短期前景仍然明显看跌，下降楔形形态在日线图上占据主导地位。上方趋势线施加的持续压力继续推动该资产的下行轨迹。

For nearly two months, the Bitcoin price has been trapped within the converging trendlines of a falling wedge pattern. At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $61,600, encountering stiff resistance from the pattern's upper trendline. While the $60,000 support level remains intact, the price action has shifted sideways, creating an atmosphere of uncertainty among market participants.

近两个月来，比特币价格一直陷入下降楔形形态的聚合趋势线之内。截至撰写本文时，BTC 的交易价格为 61,600 美元，遇到了该模式上方趋势线的强劲阻力。虽然 60,000 美元的支撑位保持不变，但价格走势已横向移动，在市场参与者中造成了不确定的气氛。

Should the sideways movement of BTC encounter another wave of supply liquidity, selling pressure could push the asset down to the $56,500-$53,100 range. A recent analysis by Dominando Cripto has shed light on a significant shift in the behavior of Bitcoin holders. According to their findings, investors who have held Bitcoin for less than a month are increasingly liquidating their holdings.

如果比特币的横盘走势遇到另一波供应流动性，抛售压力可能会将该资产推低至 56,500 美元至 53,100 美元的区间。 Dominando Cripto 最近的一项分析揭示了比特币持有者行为的重大转变。根据他们的发现，持有比特币不到一个月的投资者越来越多地清算其持有的比特币。

Currently, these short-term holders possess approximately 1.25 million BTC, a significant decline from a recent peak of 2.56 million BTC. This sell-off represents a distribution of 1.31 million BTC among this investor group, who now account for 6.4% of all Bitcoin investors, with a total of 3.42 million addresses.

目前，这些短期持有者持有约 125 万比特币，较近期峰值 256 万比特币大幅下降。这次抛售意味着该投资者群体中分配了 131 万枚 BTC，目前该投资者群体占所有比特币投资者的 6.4%，总共有 342 万个地址。

Dominando Cripto attributes this substantial distribution of coins to the relatively low number of addresses holding significant amounts of Bitcoin, indicating the emergence of new whales in the market who favor short-term trading strategies. The significant sell-off by these new whales has the potential to exacerbate market volatility.

Dominando Cripto 将比特币的大量分布归因于持有大量比特币的地址数量相对较少，这表明市场上出现了青睐短期交易策略的新鲸鱼。这些新鲸鱼的大幅抛售有可能加剧市场波动。

The falling wedge pattern, coupled with the ongoing sell-off by short-term holders, paints a disconcerting picture for Bitcoin's immediate future. The bears appear to be in control, with the price trajectory pointing firmly downward. Unless there is a decisive breakout above the $63,000 resistance level, Bitcoin's downward slide is likely to continue, with potential targets in the $56,500-$53,100 range.

下降的楔形形态，加上短期持有者的持续抛售，为比特币的近期未来描绘了一幅令人不安的景象。空头似乎已掌控局面，价格轨迹坚定向下。除非决定性突破 63,000 美元阻力位，否则比特币可能会继续下滑，潜在目标在 56,500 美元至 53,100 美元区间。

Investors should exercise caution and closely monitor market developments. The falling wedge pattern suggests that further downside is possible, and traders should consider adjusting their positions accordingly. Short-term traders may seek opportunities to capitalize on the volatility by employing stop-loss orders and risk management strategies. Long-term investors, on the other hand, may consider dollar-cost averaging or holding their positions through the current market turmoil.

投资者应谨慎行事，密切关注市场动态。下降楔形表明可能进一步下跌，交易者应考虑相应调整头寸。短期交易者可能会通过采用止损指令和风险管理策略来寻找利用波动性的机会。另一方面，长期投资者可能会考虑平均成本法或在当前的市场动荡中保持头寸。