比特幣開始以107,000美元的方式調情，但謹慎仍然必不可少

5月19日，比特幣暴跌至102,000美元，謹慎比以往任何時候都重要。這是您本週絕對需要知道的5個基本因素

Bitcoin began this week flirting with the 107,000 dollar threshold, but caution remains essential. Between recent liquidations, macroeconomic uncertainties, and technical signals, here are 5 key points to watch to anticipate movements and seize opportunities in this booming market.

比特幣從本週開始，以107,000美元的閾值調情，但謹慎行為仍然是必不可少的。在最近的清算，宏觀經濟的不確定性和技術信號之間，這裡有5個關鍵要點，可以預測運動並在這個蓬勃發展的市場中抓住機遇。

5 key factors on bitcoin this week

本週比特幣的5個關鍵因素

Bitcoin is approaching 102,000 dollars on May 19 and caution is more important than ever. Here are the 5 essential factors you absolutely need to know this week to avoid making bad choices.

比特幣在5月19日接近102,000美元，謹慎比以往任何時候都重要。這是您本週絕對需要了解的5個基本因素，以避免做出錯誤的選擇。

Bitcoin: a new weekly closing record

比特幣：新的每週結束記錄

Earlier that day, bitcoin reached a record weekly close of about 106,500 dollars, an unprecedented level that demonstrates the market’s strength despite significant volatility. This close validates the ongoing bullish momentum and shows that investors remain confident.

那天早些時候，比特幣每周達到約106,500美元的創紀錄，這是一個前所未有的水平，儘管波動率很高，但表現出了市場的實力。這結束了持續的看漲勢頭，並表明投資者仍然有信心。

This historic peak marks a key milestone in BTC’s recovery since its April low. It is also a strong technical signal that could attract more buyers in the medium term. However, this level remains fragile and requires confirmation through support around 100,000 dollars.

這座歷史山峰標誌著BTC 4月份低點以來恢復的關鍵里程碑。這也是一個強大的技術信號，可以在中期吸引更多的買家。但是，此水平仍然脆弱，需要通過支持約100,000美元來確認。

The liquidation phenomenon: increased volatility

清算現象：波動性增加

Bitcoin approaching 107,000 dollars triggered a classic massive liquidation phenomenon, amplifying volatility. This movement:

接近107,000美元的比特幣觸發了經典的大規模清算現象，並放大了波動。這個運動：

These liquidations are frequent when testing peaks, where the search for liquidity creates strong oscillations. They reflect a market in an unstable balance between optimism and caution.

測試峰值時，這些清算頻繁進行，其中尋找流動性會產生強大的振盪。它們反映了一個樂觀與謹慎之間不穩定平衡的市場。

The macroeconomic context as a backdrop

宏觀經濟背景作為背景

Bitcoin operates in a complex macroeconomic environment, impacted by:

比特幣在復雜的宏觀經濟環境中運行，受：

All this strengthens the appeal of safe-haven assets like bitcoin, which has gained over 40% since its April low. This situation creates strong uncertainty, with crypto sometimes acting as a hedge against traditional volatility.

所有這些都加強了避風港資產等比特幣的吸引力，比特幣自4月以來的低點增長了40％以上。這種情況產生了強烈的不確定性，加密有時會充當抵抗傳統波動的對沖。

Bitcoin: fluctuating correlation with traditional markets

比特幣：與傳統市場的波動相關

The correlation between Bitcoin and US stock markets varies depending on the time horizon: it is often negative short-term but turns positive over a one-month period. Over the past 30 days, the correlation between BTC and the S&P 500 is around +0.4, whereas it was negative (-0.3) the previous week.

比特幣與美國股票市場之間的相關性因時間範圍而異：這通常是負面的，但在一個月內會呈正變。在過去的30天中，BTC與標準普爾500指數之間的相關性約為+0.4，而前一周為負（-0.3）。

This variability makes movement prediction more complex and impacts investment strategies in mixed crypto-traditional portfolios. Bitcoin also closed two consecutive weeks above a key Fibonacci level, signifying its progressive integration into global financial cycles.

這種差異使運動預測更加複雜，並影響了混合加密傳統投資組合中的投資策略。比特幣還超過了斐波那契水平的關鍵幾週，這意味著其逐步整合到全球金融週期中。

The role of spot volumes in forecasting bitcoin trends

點量在預測比特幣趨勢中的作用

Analysis of spot volumes on Binance reveals renewed sustained buying, with:

對二元的現貨量的分析顯示，持續購買的持續購買，與以下方式：

Historically, too rapid increases in spot volumes have often preceded major corrections, as in January and April 2025, signaling a possible local peak. Monitoring these indicators provides a valuable tool to anticipate the durability of BTC price movements and avoid risky entries into an overheated market.

從歷史上看，正經常在重大校正之前進行的太快增加，因為在2025年1月和2025年4月，這可能是當地的峰值。監視這些指標提供了一種有價值的工具，可以預測BTC價格變動的耐用性，並避免進入過熱市場的風險。

Navigating uncertainty: bitcoin challenges and strategies for the coming week

導航不確定性：未來一周的比特幣挑戰和策略

These five key points reveal a bitcoin market at a crossroads, oscillating between bullish ambition and strategic caution. The extreme volatility linked to liquidations, combined with an uncertain macroeconomic context and fluctuating correlation with traditional markets, underscores the complexity of an evolving environment.

這五個要點揭示了比特幣市場，在十字路口，在看漲的野心和戰略謹慎之間振盪。與清算有關的極端波動，結合了不確定的宏觀經濟環境以及與傳統市場的波動相關性，強調了不斷發展的環境的複雜性。

Monitoring onchain indicators like spot volumes becomes essential to avoid pitfalls in a sometimes unpredictable market. This analysis offers investors a framework for navigating wisely in the coming weeks, where decisions will be crucial.

監視諸如現貨量之類的OnChain指標對於避免有時無法預測的市場陷入困境至關重要。該分析為投資者提供了一個在未來幾週內明智地導航的框架，決策至關重要。

After near touching 105,000 dollars, bitcoin now moves between historic records and increased volatility. This duality raises a major question: is the market ready for a lasting breakout or is it heading towards a new phase of uncertainty? The answer will shape the future of cryptocurrencies.

幾乎接觸105,000美元之後，比特幣現在在歷史記錄和增加的波動率之間移動。這種二元性提出了一個主要的問題：市場是否準備好進行持久的突破，還是朝著新的不確定性階段邁進？答案將影響加密貨幣的未來。

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