比特币开始以107,000美元的方式调情，但谨慎仍然必不可少

5月19日，比特币暴跌至102,000美元，谨慎比以往任何时候都重要。这是您本周绝对需要知道的5个基本因素

Bitcoin began this week flirting with the 107,000 dollar threshold, but caution remains essential. Between recent liquidations, macroeconomic uncertainties, and technical signals, here are 5 key points to watch to anticipate movements and seize opportunities in this booming market.

比特币从本周开始，以107,000美元的阈值调情，但谨慎行为仍然是必不可少的。在最近的清算，宏观经济的不确定性和技术信号之间，这里有5个关键要点，可以预测运动并在这个蓬勃发展的市场中抓住机遇。

5 key factors on bitcoin this week

本周比特币的5个关键因素

Bitcoin is approaching 102,000 dollars on May 19 and caution is more important than ever. Here are the 5 essential factors you absolutely need to know this week to avoid making bad choices.

比特币在5月19日接近102,000美元，谨慎比以往任何时候都重要。这是您本周绝对需要了解的5个基本因素，以避免做出错误的选择。

Bitcoin: a new weekly closing record

比特币：新的每周结束记录

Earlier that day, bitcoin reached a record weekly close of about 106,500 dollars, an unprecedented level that demonstrates the market’s strength despite significant volatility. This close validates the ongoing bullish momentum and shows that investors remain confident.

那天早些时候，比特币每周达到约106,500美元的创纪录，这是一个前所未有的水平，尽管波动率很高，但表现出了市场的实力。这结束了持续的看涨势头，并表明投资者仍然有信心。

This historic peak marks a key milestone in BTC’s recovery since its April low. It is also a strong technical signal that could attract more buyers in the medium term. However, this level remains fragile and requires confirmation through support around 100,000 dollars.

这座历史山峰标志着BTC 4月份低点以来恢复的关键里程碑。这也是一个强大的技术信号，可以在中期吸引更多的买家。但是，此水平仍然脆弱，需要通过支持约100,000美元来确认。

The liquidation phenomenon: increased volatility

清算现象：波动性增加

Bitcoin approaching 107,000 dollars triggered a classic massive liquidation phenomenon, amplifying volatility. This movement:

接近107,000美元的比特币触发了经典的大规模清算现象，并放大了波动。这个运动：

These liquidations are frequent when testing peaks, where the search for liquidity creates strong oscillations. They reflect a market in an unstable balance between optimism and caution.

测试峰值时，这些清算频繁进行，其中寻找流动性会产生强大的振荡。它们反映了一个乐观与谨慎之间不稳定平衡的市场。

The macroeconomic context as a backdrop

宏观经济背景作为背景

Bitcoin operates in a complex macroeconomic environment, impacted by:

比特币在复杂的宏观经济环境中运行，受：

All this strengthens the appeal of safe-haven assets like bitcoin, which has gained over 40% since its April low. This situation creates strong uncertainty, with crypto sometimes acting as a hedge against traditional volatility.

所有这些都加强了避风港资产等比特币的吸引力，比特币自4月以来的低点增长了40％以上。这种情况产生了强烈的不确定性，加密有时会充当抵抗传统波动的对冲。

Bitcoin: fluctuating correlation with traditional markets

比特币：与传统市场的波动相关

The correlation between Bitcoin and US stock markets varies depending on the time horizon: it is often negative short-term but turns positive over a one-month period. Over the past 30 days, the correlation between BTC and the S&P 500 is around +0.4, whereas it was negative (-0.3) the previous week.

比特币与美国股票市场之间的相关性因时间范围而异：这通常是负面的，但在一个月内会呈正变。在过去的30天中，BTC与标准普尔500指数之间的相关性约为+0.4，而前一周为负（-0.3）。

This variability makes movement prediction more complex and impacts investment strategies in mixed crypto-traditional portfolios. Bitcoin also closed two consecutive weeks above a key Fibonacci level, signifying its progressive integration into global financial cycles.

这种差异使运动预测更加复杂，并影响了混合加密传统投资组合中的投资策略。比特币还超过了斐波那契水平的关键几周，这意味着其逐步整合到全球金融周期中。

The role of spot volumes in forecasting bitcoin trends

点量在预测比特币趋势中的作用

Analysis of spot volumes on Binance reveals renewed sustained buying, with:

对二元的现货量的分析显示，持续购买的持续购买，与以下方式：

Historically, too rapid increases in spot volumes have often preceded major corrections, as in January and April 2025, signaling a possible local peak. Monitoring these indicators provides a valuable tool to anticipate the durability of BTC price movements and avoid risky entries into an overheated market.

从历史上看，正经常在重大校正之前进行的太快增加，因为在2025年1月和2025年4月，这可能是当地的峰值。监视这些指标提供了一种有价值的工具，可以预测BTC价格变动的耐用性，并避免进入过热市场的风险。

Navigating uncertainty: bitcoin challenges and strategies for the coming week

导航不确定性：未来一周的比特币挑战和策略

These five key points reveal a bitcoin market at a crossroads, oscillating between bullish ambition and strategic caution. The extreme volatility linked to liquidations, combined with an uncertain macroeconomic context and fluctuating correlation with traditional markets, underscores the complexity of an evolving environment.

这五个要点揭示了比特币市场，在十字路口，在看涨的野心和战略谨慎之间振荡。与清算有关的极端波动，结合了不确定的宏观经济环境以及与传统市场的波动相关性，强调了不断发展的环境的复杂性。

Monitoring onchain indicators like spot volumes becomes essential to avoid pitfalls in a sometimes unpredictable market. This analysis offers investors a framework for navigating wisely in the coming weeks, where decisions will be crucial.

监视诸如现货量之类的OnChain指标对于避免有时无法预测的市场陷入困境至关重要。该分析为投资者提供了一个在未来几周内明智地导航的框架，决策至关重要。

After near touching 105,000 dollars, bitcoin now moves between historic records and increased volatility. This duality raises a major question: is the market ready for a lasting breakout or is it heading towards a new phase of uncertainty? The answer will shape the future of cryptocurrencies.

几乎接触105,000美元之后，比特币现在在历史记录和增加的波动率之间移动。这种二元性提出了一个主要的问题：市场是否准备好进行持久的突破，还是朝着新的不确定性阶段迈进？答案将影响加密货币的未来。

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