比特幣下跌：2024 年第四季的低點是否達到 6 萬美元左右？

X 的一位分析師對世界上最有價值的硬幣持樂觀態度，因為它是平的，命懸一線。

Bitcoin price is showing signs of weakness at the start of Q4 2024, with two days of losses putting the major support at $60,000 at risk. However, one X analyst is optimistic and believes that the Q4 lows may have already printed at around $60,000.

比特幣價格在 2024 年第四季初顯示出疲軟跡象，連續兩天的下跌使 6 萬美元的主要支撐位面臨風險。然而，一位 X 分析師持樂觀態度，認為第四季的低點可能已經達到 6 萬美元左右。

Bitcoin Price Slips: Q4 2024 Lows In At Around $60,000?

比特幣價格下滑：2024 年第四季跌至 6 萬美元左右？

One X analyst is keeping the faith in the world’s leading cryptocurrency as it trades flat and floundering. In a recent post, the analyst highlighted the recent setback in a positive light. Despite the pain holders faced in early October 2024, the trader thinks that Bitcoin is printing the Q4 2024 lows.

One X 分析師對世界領先的加密貨幣保持信心，因為它的交易表現平平且陷入困境。在最近的一篇文章中，這位分析師以積極的態度強調了最近的挫折。儘管持有者在 2024 年 10 月初面臨痛苦，但該交易員認為比特幣正在創下 2024 年第四季的低點。

The analyst’s theory is based on the premise that Bitcoin tends to establish swing highs or lows early in the trading period, in this case, for Q4 2024. Although the escalations in the Middle East areIJ disruptive, Bitcoin won’t be significantly impacted - a net positive for price. The trader expects liquidity to ramp up in the coming months, boosting prices.

該分析師的理論基於這樣的前提：比特幣往往會在交易期早期（本例中為2024 年第四季）建立波動高點或低點。受到重大影響 -價格淨利。該交易商預計未來幾個月流動性將增加，從而推高價格。

Bitcoin price is down after an impressive September that saw prices climb higher, reaching $66,000. September is bearish for Bitcoin, historically. However, by the end of September, it was up 7%, rejecting early losses and closing above a strong liquidation level at around $65,000 and $66,000.

比特幣價格在經歷了令人印象深刻的 9 月攀升並達到 66,000 美元之後有所下跌。從歷史上看，九月對比特幣來說是利空的。然而，到 9 月底，它上漲了 7%，拒絕了早期的損失，收盤價高於 65,000 美元和 66,000 美元左右的強勁清算水平。

Optimism is high because Bitcoin is printing at the same price as in early August and September. Bitcoin prices had plunged to as low as $49,000 by the first week of August before recovering steadily in the next three weeks. In early September, prices again fell, dropping to as low to $52,000 before resuming the uptrend set in motion in August.

樂觀情緒很高，因為比特幣的印刷價格與八月初和九月相同。到 8 月第一周，比特幣價格已跌至 49,000 美元，然後在接下來的三週內穩步回升。 9 月初，價格再次下跌，跌至 52,000 美元，然後又恢復了 8 月開始的上漲趨勢。

It remains to be seen whether the events of early August and September will be replicated. However, optimism is high, and most BTC holders, according to CoinMarketCap sentiment analysis, are bullish. Over 60% of all voters expect BTC to edge higher, while 38% are bearish, expecting sellers to dominate.

八月初和九月的事件是否會重演還有待觀察。然而，樂觀情緒很高，根據 CoinMarketCap 情緒分析，大多數 BTC 持有者都看漲。超過 60% 的選民預計 BTC 將小幅走高，而 38% 的選民則看跌，預計賣家將佔據主導地位。

Possible tailwinds for bulls include the inflow of capital to spot Bitcoin ETFs. Soso Value data shows that when BTC prices fell on October 1, BlackRock bought over $40 million in coins.

對於多頭來說，可能的推動因素包括資金流入現貨比特幣 ETF。 Soso Value 數據顯示，當 10 月 1 日 BTC 價格下跌時，貝萊德購買了超過 4,000 萬美元的比特幣。