比特币下跌：2024 年第四季度的低点是否达到 60,000 美元左右？

X 的一位分析师对世界上最有价值的硬币持乐观态度，因为它是扁平的，命悬一线。

Bitcoin price is showing signs of weakness at the start of Q4 2024, with two days of losses putting the major support at $60,000 at risk. However, one X analyst is optimistic and believes that the Q4 lows may have already printed at around $60,000.

比特币价格在 2024 年第四季度初显示出疲软迹象，连续两天的下跌使 60,000 美元的主要支撑位面临风险。然而，一位 X 分析师持乐观态度，认为第四季度的低点可能已经达到 60,000 美元左右。

Bitcoin Price Slips: Q4 2024 Lows In At Around $60,000?

比特币价格下滑：2024 年第四季度跌至 60,000 美元左右？

One X analyst is keeping the faith in the world’s leading cryptocurrency as it trades flat and floundering. In a recent post, the analyst highlighted the recent setback in a positive light. Despite the pain holders faced in early October 2024, the trader thinks that Bitcoin is printing the Q4 2024 lows.

One X 分析师对世界领先的加密货币保持信心，因为它的交易表现平平且陷入困境。在最近的一篇文章中，这位分析师以积极的态度强调了最近的挫折。尽管持有者在 2024 年 10 月上旬面临着痛苦，但该交易员认为比特币正在创下 2024 年第四季度的低点。

The analyst’s theory is based on the premise that Bitcoin tends to establish swing highs or lows early in the trading period, in this case, for Q4 2024. Although the escalations in the Middle East areIJ disruptive, Bitcoin won’t be significantly impacted - a net positive for price. The trader expects liquidity to ramp up in the coming months, boosting prices.

该分析师的理论基于这样的前提：比特币往往会在交易期早期（本例中为 2024 年第四季度）建立波动高点或低点。尽管中东局势升级具有破坏性，但比特币不会受到重大影响 -价格净利。该交易商预计未来几个月流动性将增加，从而推高价格。

Bitcoin price is down after an impressive September that saw prices climb higher, reaching $66,000. September is bearish for Bitcoin, historically. However, by the end of September, it was up 7%, rejecting early losses and closing above a strong liquidation level at around $65,000 and $66,000.

比特币价格在经历了令人印象深刻的 9 月份攀升并达到 66,000 美元之后有所下跌。从历史上看，九月对比特币来说是利空的。然而，到 9 月底，它上涨了 7%，拒绝了早期的损失，收盘价高于 65,000 美元和 66,000 美元左右的强劲清算水平。

Optimism is high because Bitcoin is printing at the same price as in early August and September. Bitcoin prices had plunged to as low as $49,000 by the first week of August before recovering steadily in the next three weeks. In early September, prices again fell, dropping to as low to $52,000 before resuming the uptrend set in motion in August.

乐观情绪很高，因为比特币的印刷价格与八月初和九月相同。到 8 月第一周，比特币价格已跌至 49,000 美元，然后在接下来的三周内稳步回升。 9 月初，价格再次下跌，跌至 52,000 美元，然后又恢复了 8 月份开始的上涨趋势。

It remains to be seen whether the events of early August and September will be replicated. However, optimism is high, and most BTC holders, according to CoinMarketCap sentiment analysis, are bullish. Over 60% of all voters expect BTC to edge higher, while 38% are bearish, expecting sellers to dominate.

八月初和九月的事件是否会重演还有待观察。然而，乐观情绪很高，根据 CoinMarketCap 情绪分析，大多数 BTC 持有者都看涨。超过 60% 的选民预计 BTC 将小幅走高，而 38% 的选民则看跌，预计卖家将占据主导地位。

Possible tailwinds for bulls include the inflow of capital to spot Bitcoin ETFs. Soso Value data shows that when BTC prices fell on October 1, BlackRock bought over $40 million in coins.

对于多头来说，可能的推动因素包括资金流入现货比特币 ETF。 Soso Value 数据显示，当 10 月 1 日 BTC 价格下跌时，贝莱德购买了超过 4000 万美元的比特币。