一位加密分析師說，比特幣在2025年第一季度下降了近26％至75,000美元左右。

索恩·道森（Sean Dawson）博士在1月28日的市場報告中說，Cointelegraph的市場報告說，比特幣的可能性

A crypto analyst is predicting that Bitcoin (BTC) could drop nearly 26% in the first quarter of 2025, falling to around $75,000. However, some crypto commentators are less confident about a fall.

一位加密分析師預測，比特幣（BTC）在2025年第一季度可能會下降近26％，跌至75,000美元左右。但是，一些加密評論員對跌倒的信心較小。

Dr. Sean Dawson, Derive head of research, stated in a Jan. 28 markets report viewed by Cointelegraph that the probability of Bitcoin dropping back toward the $75,000 price point has increased slightly. According to Dawson, this is based on Bitcoin’s at-the-money implied volatility spiking from 52% to 76%, a sign of increased demand for put options “to protect against downside risk.”

派生研究負責人肖恩·道森（Sean Dawson）博士在1月28日的一份市場報告中指出，Cointelegraph的報導說，比特幣降低到75,000美元的價格點的可能性略有上漲。根據道森的說法，這是基於比特幣在52％到76％的現有貨幣隱含波動率上升的，這表明對PUT期權的需求增加了“防止下行風險”。

Bitcoin dropped 6.5% on Jan. 27 to $97,906 amid a broader crypto and stock market decline triggered by the latest AI model from China-based artificial intelligence project DeepSeek. Bitcoin has since bounced back above the $100,000 mark, trading at $102,100 at the time of publication, per CoinMarketCap data.

比特幣在1月27日下降了6.5％，至97,906美元，這是由於中國人工智能項目DeepSeek的最新AI模型引發的更廣泛的加密和股票市場下降。此後，比特幣在出版時，比特幣回彈了100,000美元，在出版時的交易價格為102,100美元。

Dawson said the slight uptick in the probability of Bitcoin heading back toward $75,000 “reflects a shift in market sentiment toward bearishness as traders adjust to rising uncertainty.”

道森說，比特幣返回75,000美元的可能性略有上升，這反映了市場情緒向看跌的轉變，因為交易者適應不確定性的上升。”

The last time Bitcoin was trading near $75,000 was on Nov. 8, just three days after Donald Trump’s U.S. presidential victory. It then went on a month-long rally that saw BTC reach the long-awaited $100,000 price level for the first time on Dec. 5.

在唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）的美國總統勝利僅三天后，比特幣上次交易近75,000美元。然後，它進行了為期一個月的集會，這使得BTC在12月5日首次達到了期待已久的100,000美元價格水平。