VanEck：到 2050 年，比特幣價格可能飆升至 290 萬美元

投資管理巨頭 VanEck 的分析師認為，到 2050 年，比特幣的價格 (BTC) 可能會飆升至 290 萬美元。

Analysts at investment management giant VanEck believe Bitcoin (BTC) could be priced at $2.9 million by 2050.

投資管理巨頭 VanEck 的分析師認為，到 2050 年，比特幣 (BTC) 的價格可能會達到 290 萬美元。

For this to happen, BTC will need to become a key part of the international monetary system, according to Matthew Sigel, VanEck’s head of digital assets research, and Patrick Bush, a senior investment analyst at the firm.

VanEck 數位資產研究主管 Matthew Sigel 和該公司資深投資分析師 Patrick Bush 表示，要實現這一目標，比特幣需要成為國際貨幣體系的關鍵組成部分。

“We expect BTC to be widely used in international trade, becoming a significant medium of exchange and a valuable store of wealth. This leads to a Gresham’s Law-like feedback loop: as BTC becomes more useful and valuable, central banks and long-term investors will want to hold more BTC, reducing the amount available in the floating supply.”

「我們預期比特幣將在國際貿易中廣泛應用，成為重要的交換媒介和寶貴的財富儲存手段。這導致了類似格雷欣法則的反饋循環：隨著比特幣變得更加有用和有價值，央行和長期投資者將希望持有更多比特幣，從而減少浮動供應量。

Sigel and Bush say it’s “conceivable” that Bitcoin could be used to settle 10% of the globe’s international trade and 5% of the world’s domestic trade by 2050.

Sigel 和 Bush 表示，到 2050 年，「可以想像」比特幣將用於結算全球 10% 的國際貿易和 5% 的國內貿易。

“This scenario would result in central banks holding 2.5% of their assets in BTC. Using assumptions about global growth, investor BTC demand, and Bitcoin’s turnover, we apply a velocity of money equation to suggest a potential price of $2.9 million per Bitcoin, translating to a total market cap of $61 trillion.”

「這種情況將導致央行持有 2.5% 的資產為 BTC。透過對全球成長、投資者 BTC 需求和比特幣營業額的假設，我們應用貨幣流通速度方程式得出每個比特幣的潛在價格為 290 萬美元，相當於總市值為 61 兆美元。

The velocity of money measures the rate money is used to buy goods and services in an economy.

貨幣流通速度衡量經濟體中貨幣用於購買商品和服務的速率。

BTC is trading at $65,309 at time of writing.

截至撰寫本文時，BTC 交易價格為 65,309 美元。