到2046年，比特幣至2100萬美元？ Saylor的大膽預測

邁克爾·塞勒（Michael Saylor）倒計時，預計到2046年的比特幣為2100萬美元，這是由於政治轉變和收養不斷增加的推動力。這只是炒作還是現實的預測？

Michael Saylor's latest Bitcoin forecast is eye-popping: $21 million per coin by 2046. Fueled by Trump's win and a crypto-friendly White House, is this vision pie-in-the-sky or grounded in reality?

邁克爾·塞勒（Michael Saylor）的最新比特幣預測令人大揚意：到2046年，每枚硬幣為2100萬美元。特朗普的勝利和對加密貨幣友好的白宮的推動力，這是天空般的景點還是現實中的景色？

Saylor's Sky-High Bitcoin Bet: $21 Million by 2046

Saylor的天高比特幣押注：到2046年$ 2100萬美元

Michael Saylor, Bitcoin's most vocal proponent, has upped the ante yet again. At BTC Prague 2025, he predicted Bitcoin could reach $21 million within 21 years. This projection significantly surpasses his previous forecast of $13 million by 2045. What's behind this newfound optimism?

比特幣最具聲音的支持者邁克爾·塞勒（Michael Saylor）再次提高了賭注。在BTC布拉格2025年，他預測比特幣將在21年內達到2100萬美元。這一預測明顯超過了他之前到2045年的1300萬美元的預測。這種新發現的樂觀態度背後是什麼？

Political Winds Shifting in Bitcoin's Favor

比特幣有利的政治風轉移

Saylor attributes his bullish outlook to recent political developments, particularly Donald Trump's presidential victory and the US government's increasingly favorable stance on Bitcoin. He highlighted the possibility of a federal strategic Bitcoin reserve and the progress of crypto-related bills in Congress as key factors driving this shift. "Nobody had this on their bingo card a year ago," he quipped, suggesting the change was unexpected but welcome.

Saylor將他看漲的看法歸因於最近的政治發展，尤其是唐納德·特朗普的總統勝利和美國政府對比特幣的越來越有利的立場。他強調了聯邦戰略比特幣儲備金的可能性以及國會與加密相關賬單的進展，這是推動這一轉變的關鍵因素。他打趣道：“一年前沒有人在他們的賓果卡上有這件事。”

On-Chain Analysis: A Mixed Bag

鏈分析：混合袋

While Saylor paints a rosy picture, on-chain data presents a more nuanced view. Swissblock research indicates a decline in on-chain liquidity, which could signal reduced market participation and price vulnerability. However, Crypto Dan points to a surge in Bitcoin's realized price as a bullish indicator, suggesting sustained buying pressure despite market uncertainty.

塞勒（Saylor）描繪了一幅玫瑰色的圖片，但鏈上的數據顯示出更加細微的視圖。 Swissblock的研究表明，鏈上流動性的下降，這可能標誌著市場參與和價格脆弱性降低。但是，加密貨幣丹（Crypto Dan）指出，比特幣（Bitcoin）意識到的看漲指標的價格激增，表明儘管市場不確定性，但仍持續購買壓力。

Technical Levels to Watch

要觀看的技術級別

Bitcoin is currently in a consolidation phase after peaking around $113,038. Key Fibonacci levels indicate support around $107,784 and $102,837. The next bullish target lies at $119,341. Altcoin Sherpa highlights the $100,000 level as crucial support, warning that a break below could trigger a sharp decline.

比特幣在達到113,038美元的高峰之後，目前處於合併階段。密鑰斐波那契水平表示支持約為107,784美元和102,837美元。下一個看漲目標為119,341美元。 Altcoin Sherpa重點介紹了100,000美元的水平，這是至關重要的支持，警告說，突破可能會引發急劇下降。

Is $21 Million Realistic?

2100萬美元現實嗎？

Saylor's forecast is undoubtedly ambitious. While regulatory clarity, corporate treasury demand, and increasing adoption are all tailwinds for Bitcoin, hitting $21 million in 21 years requires near-flawless execution. Skeptics point to Bitcoin's current price hovering around $100,000 as evidence of the challenges ahead. Still, Saylor argues that this is a unique moment where the 21-year timeframe and the 21 million Bitcoin supply align to create extraordinary potential.

Saylor的預測無疑是雄心勃勃的。儘管監管清晰度，公司財政部需求和收養的增加都是比特幣的逆風，但在21年內達到了2100萬美元，需要幾乎沒有毛動的執行。懷疑論者指出，比特幣目前的價格徘徊在100,000美元左右，這是未來挑戰的證據。儘管如此，塞勒仍認為，這是一個獨特的時刻，即21年的時間表和2100萬比特幣供應與產生非凡潛力的一致性。

The Clock is Ticking

時鐘在滴答

Whether you're a die-hard Bitcoin believer or a skeptical observer, Saylor's prediction is sure to spark debate. One thing is certain: the next 21 years promise to be an exciting ride for the world's leading cryptocurrency. Only time will tell if Saylor's audacious vision becomes a reality, but hey, at least we'll have something to talk about at our 2046 BTC Prague reunion!

無論您是頑固的比特幣信徒還是持懷疑態度的觀察者，Saylor的預測都一定會引發辯論。可以肯定的是：接下來的21年有望成為全球領先的加密貨幣的激動人心的旅程。只有時間會證明塞勒的大膽願景是否成為現實，但是，嘿，至少我們在2046年的BTC Prague團圓中有一些話題！