到2046年，比特币至2100万美元？ Saylor的大胆预测

迈克尔·塞勒（Michael Saylor）倒计时，预计到2046年的比特币为2100万美元，这是由于政治转变和收养不断增加的推动力。这只是炒作还是现实的预测？

Michael Saylor's latest Bitcoin forecast is eye-popping: $21 million per coin by 2046. Fueled by Trump's win and a crypto-friendly White House, is this vision pie-in-the-sky or grounded in reality?

迈克尔·塞勒（Michael Saylor）的最新比特币预测令人大扬意：到2046年，每枚硬币为2100万美元。特朗普的胜利和对加密货币友好的白宫的推动力，这是天空般的景点还是现实中的景色？

Saylor's Sky-High Bitcoin Bet: $21 Million by 2046

Saylor的天高比特币押注：到2046年$ 2100万美元

Michael Saylor, Bitcoin's most vocal proponent, has upped the ante yet again. At BTC Prague 2025, he predicted Bitcoin could reach $21 million within 21 years. This projection significantly surpasses his previous forecast of $13 million by 2045. What's behind this newfound optimism?

比特币最具声音的支持者迈克尔·塞勒（Michael Saylor）再次提高了赌注。在BTC布拉格2025年，他预测比特币将在21年内达到2100万美元。这一预测明显超过了他之前到2045年的1300万美元的预测。这种新发现的乐观态度背后是什么？

Political Winds Shifting in Bitcoin's Favor

比特币有利的政治风转移

Saylor attributes his bullish outlook to recent political developments, particularly Donald Trump's presidential victory and the US government's increasingly favorable stance on Bitcoin. He highlighted the possibility of a federal strategic Bitcoin reserve and the progress of crypto-related bills in Congress as key factors driving this shift. "Nobody had this on their bingo card a year ago," he quipped, suggesting the change was unexpected but welcome.

Saylor将他看涨的看法归因于最近的政治发展，尤其是唐纳德·特朗普的总统胜利和美国政府对比特币的越来越有利的立场。他强调了联邦战略比特币储备金的可能性以及国会与加密相关账单的进展，这是推动这一转变的关键因素。他打趣道：“一年前没有人在他们的宾果卡上有这件事。”

On-Chain Analysis: A Mixed Bag

链分析：混合袋

While Saylor paints a rosy picture, on-chain data presents a more nuanced view. Swissblock research indicates a decline in on-chain liquidity, which could signal reduced market participation and price vulnerability. However, Crypto Dan points to a surge in Bitcoin's realized price as a bullish indicator, suggesting sustained buying pressure despite market uncertainty.

塞勒（Saylor）描绘了一幅玫瑰色的图片，但链上的数据显示出更加细微的视图。 Swissblock的研究表明，链上流动性的下降，这可能标志着市场参与和价格脆弱性降低。但是，加密货币丹（Crypto Dan）指出，比特币（Bitcoin）意识到的看涨指标的价格激增，表明尽管市场不确定性，但仍持续购买压力。

Technical Levels to Watch

要观看的技术级别

Bitcoin is currently in a consolidation phase after peaking around $113,038. Key Fibonacci levels indicate support around $107,784 and $102,837. The next bullish target lies at $119,341. Altcoin Sherpa highlights the $100,000 level as crucial support, warning that a break below could trigger a sharp decline.

比特币在达到113,038美元的高峰之后，目前处于合并阶段。密钥斐波那契水平表示支持约为107,784美元和102,837美元。下一个看涨目标为119,341美元。 Altcoin Sherpa重点介绍了100,000美元的水平，这是至关重要的支持，警告说，突破可能会引发急剧下降。

Is $21 Million Realistic?

2100万美元现实吗？

Saylor's forecast is undoubtedly ambitious. While regulatory clarity, corporate treasury demand, and increasing adoption are all tailwinds for Bitcoin, hitting $21 million in 21 years requires near-flawless execution. Skeptics point to Bitcoin's current price hovering around $100,000 as evidence of the challenges ahead. Still, Saylor argues that this is a unique moment where the 21-year timeframe and the 21 million Bitcoin supply align to create extraordinary potential.

Saylor的预测无疑是雄心勃勃的。尽管监管清晰度，公司财政部需求和收养的增加都是比特币的逆风，但在21年内达到了2100万美元，需要几乎没有毛动的执行。怀疑论者指出，比特币目前的价格徘徊在100,000美元左右，这是未来挑战的证据。尽管如此，塞勒仍认为，这是一个独特的时刻，即21年的时间表和2100万比特币供应与产生非凡潜力的一致性。

The Clock is Ticking

时钟在滴答

Whether you're a die-hard Bitcoin believer or a skeptical observer, Saylor's prediction is sure to spark debate. One thing is certain: the next 21 years promise to be an exciting ride for the world's leading cryptocurrency. Only time will tell if Saylor's audacious vision becomes a reality, but hey, at least we'll have something to talk about at our 2046 BTC Prague reunion!

无论您是顽固的比特币信徒还是持怀疑态度的观察者，Saylor的预测都一定会引发辩论。可以肯定的是：接下来的21年有望成为全球领先的加密货币的激动人心的旅程。只有时间会证明塞勒的大胆愿景是否成为现实，但是，嘿，至少我们在2046年的BTC Prague团圆中有一些话题！