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加密貨幣新聞文章

比特幣,實現的價格和頂部:我們在那裡嗎?

2025/08/02 18:00

比特幣的公牛倒閉了嗎?研究實現的價格理論表明,仍然有生長的空間,可能達到15萬美元。霍德,伙計們!

比特幣,實現的價格和頂部:我們在那裡嗎?

Bitcoin's been on a wild ride, huh? After flirting with $123,000, things cooled off, sparking the usual 'is this the top?' chatter. But before you sell the Lambo fund, let's peek at the Realized Price Theory – it might just change your mind.

比特幣一直在瘋狂騎行,是嗎?在用$ 123,000調情后,事情變得冷卻了,引發了通常的“這是頂部嗎?”喋喋不休。但是,在您出售蘭博基金會之前,讓我們窺視實現的價格理論 - 它可能會改變您的主意。

What's the Realized Price Got to Do With It?

實現的價格與它有什麼關係?

Okay, so a crypto analyst named Gert van Lagen (give him a follow on X!) dropped some knowledge about how Bitcoin's price historically behaves during bull runs. Turns out, it usually hits a multiple of its Realized Price before topping out.

好的,因此,一位名叫格特·範·拉根(Gert Van Lagen)的加密分析師(給他X上的跟隨!)放棄了一些關於比特幣在公牛跑期間的行為的知識。事實證明,它通常會在升空之前達到其已實現的價格的倍數。

A History Lesson in Bitcoin Peaks

比特幣峰的歷史課

Let's break it down: Back in 2011, Bitcoin peaked at 8x its Realized Price. In 2013, it was 6x. Then 5x in 2017. Even after the COVID crash in 2020, Bitcoin rallied to 4x its Realized Price before hitting $69,000 in 2021.

讓我們將其分解:2011年,比特幣以8倍的實現價格達到頂峰。在2013年為6倍。然後是2017年的5倍。即使在2020年的共同崩潰之後,比特幣在2021年達到69,000美元之前,其實現的價格上漲至4倍。

So, Where Are We Now?

那麼,我們現在在哪裡?

According to Glassnode, the current Realized Price is around $51,000. We're already at 2x. If history rhymes, a 3x multiple isn't out of the question. That puts Bitcoin around $150,000. Boom!

根據GlassNode的說法,目前實現的價格約為51,000美元。我們已經在2倍。如果歷史記錄押韻,那麼3倍的倍數就不是不可能的。這使比特幣約為15萬美元。繁榮!

Mining for Gold (or Bitcoin) in 2025

2025年的黃金采礦(或比特幣)

Speaking of Bitcoin's resurgence, mining is back in the spotlight post-halving. The market's strengthened, pushing BTC past $115,000. But is it profitable? Experts say focus on SHA-256 algorithm, and consider the S21+ for efficiency. Electricity costs are key, and choose your mining pool wisely – ViaBTC gets a shoutout for optimized performance.

說到比特幣的複興,採礦又回到了備受期待之後。市場的加強,將BTC推到了115,000美元以上。但這是有利可圖的嗎?專家說,專注於SHA-256算法,並考慮S21+以提高效率。電力成本是關鍵,並明智地選擇您的採礦池 - ViaBTC大喊大叫以進行優化的性能。

The Altcoin Angle

AltCoin角

While Bitcoin's stealing the show, Scrypt-based mining (like LTC/DOGE) still has its fans. But remember, altcoins can be a bit more unpredictable. Stick to SHA-256 for stability, especially if you're in it for the long haul.

在比特幣偷了節目的同時,基於Scrypt的礦業(例如LTC/Doge)仍然擁有其粉絲。但是請記住,AltCoins可能會更不可預測。堅持使用SHA-256以保持穩定性,尤其是如果您長期以來。

The Not-So-Serious Conclusion

並非如此的結論

Look, nobody has a crystal ball. But the Realized Price Theory offers a compelling case that this bull market might have some gas left in the tank. So, should you max out your credit cards and buy Bitcoin? Nah, don't be reckless. But maybe, just maybe, hold onto those coins a little longer. You never know, that Lambo might just become a reality.

看,沒有人有水晶球。但是實現的價格理論提供了一個令人信服的案例,即該牛市可能剩下一些汽油。因此,您應該最大程度地使用信用卡併購買比特幣嗎?不,不要魯ck。但是,也許,也許,將這些硬幣握住更長的時間。您永遠不會知道,蘭博可能只是一個現實。

原始來源:bitcoinist

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