在美國美聯儲的修改中，比特幣幾乎達到105,000美元

在美國美聯儲的修辭發生了重大變化，比特幣幾乎達到了105,000美元。自2021年以來，美聯儲的語氣首次變得更中性和柔軟

Bitcoin nearly touched the $105,000 mark amid a substantial change in rhetoric from the U.S. Federal Reserve, which is followed closely by cryptocurrency traders and analysts. For the first time since 2021, the Fed's tone has become more neutral and soft, which could create favorable conditions for further cryptocurrency growth.

在美國美聯儲的言論發生了重大變化之後，比特幣幾乎觸及了105,000美元的成績，緊隨其後的是加密貨幣交易者和分析師。自2021年以來，美聯儲的語氣首次變得更加中立和軟，這可能會為進一步的加密貨幣增長帶來良好的條件。

Trader and analyst Skew has pointed out that Bitcoin almost reached the $105,000 level thanks to news of improved trade relations between the U.S. and China.

Trader and Analyst Skew指出，由於美國和中國之間的貿易關係改善的消息，比特幣幾乎達到了105,000美元的水平。

"Markets want to see the realization of Trump's comments on the way forward on trade between the U.S. and China. Transportation data is already showing insiders are on board, so container volume briefly rose again," explained Skew.

“市場希望看到特朗普對美國和中國貿易方面的評論的認識。運輸數據已經顯示出內部人員正在加入，因此集裝箱量再次迅速上升，” Skew解釋說。

According to analyst Rekt Capital, the progress of the current Bitcoin bull market is estimated at 85.5%. "The progress will accelerate with a parabolic movement," the expert emphasizes.

根據分析師Rekt Capital的說法，當前比特幣牛市的進度估計為85.5％。專家強調：“進步將隨著拋物線運動的加速。”

1-month chart of BTC/USD. Source: Rekt CapitalChange in the Fed's rhetoric as a key factor

BTC/USD的1個月表。資料來源：美聯儲的言論中的Rekt Capital Change作為關鍵因素

A graph provided by analytical resource Ecoinometrics showcases a significant change in the U.S. Federal Reserve's communications.

分析資源生態學計量學提供的圖表顯示了美國美聯儲的通信發生了重大變化。

The Fed Communications Index at the May 7 press conference recorded a neutral-to-blue tone for the first time since 2021. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell highlighted several risks to the U.S. economy, signaling a shift in focus from fighting inflation to preventing an economic slowdown.

自2021年以來，在5月7日的新聞發布會上，美聯儲通訊指數首次記錄了中性至藍色的基調。美聯儲主席杰羅姆·鮑威爾（Jerome Powell）強調了美國經濟的幾種風險，這表明，人們從對抗通貨膨脹到預防經濟放緩的焦點轉變。

The Fed is shifting to neutral-soft rhetoric for the first time since 2021, creating a favorable backdrop for cryptocurrencies. Source: Ecoinometrics

自2021年以來，美聯儲首次轉移到中立柔軟的言論，為加密貨幣創造了有利的背景。資料來源：生態計量學

Ecoinometrics emphasizes, "Powell is no longer strongly emphasizing inflation; he is talking about downside risks." This fundamental change creates a macroeconomic backdrop that favors risk assets.

生態計量學強調：“鮑威爾不再強調通貨膨脹；他在談論下行風險。”這種基本變化創造了有利於風險資產的宏觀經濟背景。

Technical Picture and Traders' Sentiment

技術圖片和交易者的情緒

Despite the positive dynamics, trader Roman recommends investors with long positions from the $80,000 level consider taking profits. "There is a lot of over-optimism in the market, and we are approaching a significant resistance level. Profit-taking has never hurt anyone," he advises.

儘管有積極的動力，但Trader Roman推薦具有80,000美元級別的長期頭寸的投資者考慮獲得利潤。他建議：“市場上有很多過度優勢，我們正在接近巨大的抵抗水平。獲利永遠不會傷害任何人。”

Keith Alan, co-founder of Material Indicators, highlights the importance of a test of support after crossing $100,000. "Holding above $100,000 without declines below that mark would be an extremely positive signal. A decline below opens the door for a test of support at $98,000," explained Alan.

物質指標的聯合創始人基思·艾倫（Keith Alan）強調了超過100,000美元後的支持測試的重要性。艾倫解釋說：“持有超過$ 100,000的情況下，不低於該商標的信號將是一個極其積極的信號。下降下降為98,000美元的支持測試打開了大門。”

Historical Context of Corrections

矯正的歷史背景

Trader Daan Crypto Trades mentions that corrections are a natural part of a bull market.

Trader Daan Crypto交易提到，更正是牛市的自然部分。

"It can look scary when you're in it, but usually the situation looks worse than it is. And if history has taught us anything, recoveries always happen pretty quickly, especially during a major bull trend."

“當您進入時，它看起來可能會令人恐懼，但是通常情況看起來比以前更糟。如果歷史教會了我們任何事情，恢復總是很快發生，尤其是在主要的牛趨勢上。”

Bitcoin's major corrections in the current cycle. Source: Daan Crypto Trades

比特幣在當前週期中的主要更正。資料來源：Daan加密貨幣交易

Bitcoin's major corrections in the current cycle are clearly visible on the chart:

比特幣在當前週期中的主要更正在圖表上清晰可見：

The longest correction occurred after the period of hype surrounding the launch of the Bitcoin ETF and lasted 117 days. The deepest decline was the correction after the presidential inauguration and the introduction of tariffs, when Bitcoin lost 32.08% of its value in 77 days.

最長的校正發生在圍繞比特幣ETF發射的炒作期間，持續了117天。最深的下降是總統就職典禮和引入關稅後的更正，當時比特幣在77天內損失了其價值的32.08％。

Daan's analysis confirms his main thesis: corrections are always accompanied by certain narratives, but usually the situation looks worse than it really is, and recoveries are quite fast, especially during a significant bullish trend.

Daan的分析證實了他的主要論文：矯正總是伴隨著某些敘述，但通常情況看起來比實際情況更糟糕，而且恢復速度非常快，尤其是在巨大的看漲趨勢中。