在美国美联储的修改中，比特币几乎达到105,000美元

在美国美联储的修辞发生了重大变化，比特币几乎达到了105,000美元。自2021年以来，美联储的语气首次变得更中性和柔软

Bitcoin nearly touched the $105,000 mark amid a substantial change in rhetoric from the U.S. Federal Reserve, which is followed closely by cryptocurrency traders and analysts. For the first time since 2021, the Fed's tone has become more neutral and soft, which could create favorable conditions for further cryptocurrency growth.

在美国美联储的言论发生了重大变化之后，比特币几乎触及了105,000美元的成绩，紧随其后的是加密货币交易者和分析师。自2021年以来，美联储的语气首次变得更加中立和软，这可能会为进一步的加密货币增长带来良好的条件。

Trader and analyst Skew has pointed out that Bitcoin almost reached the $105,000 level thanks to news of improved trade relations between the U.S. and China.

Trader and Analyst Skew指出，由于美国和中国之间的贸易关系改善的消息，比特币几乎达到了105,000美元的水平。

"Markets want to see the realization of Trump's comments on the way forward on trade between the U.S. and China. Transportation data is already showing insiders are on board, so container volume briefly rose again," explained Skew.

“市场希望看到特朗普对美国和中国贸易方面的评论的认识。运输数据已经显示出内部人员正在加入，因此集装箱量再次迅速上升，” Skew解释说。

According to analyst Rekt Capital, the progress of the current Bitcoin bull market is estimated at 85.5%. "The progress will accelerate with a parabolic movement," the expert emphasizes.

根据分析师Rekt Capital的说法，当前比特币牛市的进度估计为85.5％。专家强调：“进步将随着抛物线运动的加速。”

1-month chart of BTC/USD. Source: Rekt CapitalChange in the Fed's rhetoric as a key factor

BTC/USD的1个月表。资料来源：美联储的言论中的Rekt Capital Change作为关键因素

A graph provided by analytical resource Ecoinometrics showcases a significant change in the U.S. Federal Reserve's communications.

分析资源生态学计量学提供的图表显示了美国美联储的通信发生了重大变化。

The Fed Communications Index at the May 7 press conference recorded a neutral-to-blue tone for the first time since 2021. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell highlighted several risks to the U.S. economy, signaling a shift in focus from fighting inflation to preventing an economic slowdown.

自2021年以来，在5月7日的新闻发布会上，美联储通讯指数首次记录了中性至蓝色的基调。美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）强调了美国经济的几种风险，这表明，人们从对抗通货膨胀到预防经济放缓的焦点转变。

The Fed is shifting to neutral-soft rhetoric for the first time since 2021, creating a favorable backdrop for cryptocurrencies. Source: Ecoinometrics

自2021年以来，美联储首次转移到中立柔软的言论，为加密货币创造了有利的背景。资料来源：生态计量学

Ecoinometrics emphasizes, "Powell is no longer strongly emphasizing inflation; he is talking about downside risks." This fundamental change creates a macroeconomic backdrop that favors risk assets.

生态计量学强调：“鲍威尔不再强调通货膨胀；他在谈论下行风险。”这种基本变化创造了有利于风险资产的宏观经济背景。

Technical Picture and Traders' Sentiment

技术图片和交易者的情绪

Despite the positive dynamics, trader Roman recommends investors with long positions from the $80,000 level consider taking profits. "There is a lot of over-optimism in the market, and we are approaching a significant resistance level. Profit-taking has never hurt anyone," he advises.

尽管有积极的动力，但Trader Roman推荐具有80,000美元级别的长期头寸的投资者考虑获得利润。他建议：“市场上有很多过度优势，我们正在接近巨大的抵抗水平。获利永远不会伤害任何人。”

Keith Alan, co-founder of Material Indicators, highlights the importance of a test of support after crossing $100,000. "Holding above $100,000 without declines below that mark would be an extremely positive signal. A decline below opens the door for a test of support at $98,000," explained Alan.

物质指标的联合创始人基思·艾伦（Keith Alan）强调了超过100,000美元后的支持测试的重要性。艾伦解释说：“持有超过$ 100,000的情况下，不低于该商标的信号将是一个极其积极的信号。下降下降为98,000美元的支持测试打开了大门。”

Historical Context of Corrections

矫正的历史背景

Trader Daan Crypto Trades mentions that corrections are a natural part of a bull market.

Trader Daan Crypto交易提到，更正是牛市的自然部分。

"It can look scary when you're in it, but usually the situation looks worse than it is. And if history has taught us anything, recoveries always happen pretty quickly, especially during a major bull trend."

“当您进入时，它看起来可能会令人恐惧，但是通常情况看起来比以前更糟。如果历史教会了我们任何事情，恢复总是很快发生，尤其是在主要的牛趋势上。”

Bitcoin's major corrections in the current cycle. Source: Daan Crypto Trades

比特币在当前周期中的主要更正。资料来源：Daan加密货币交易

Bitcoin's major corrections in the current cycle are clearly visible on the chart:

比特币在当前周期中的主要更正在图表上清晰可见：

The longest correction occurred after the period of hype surrounding the launch of the Bitcoin ETF and lasted 117 days. The deepest decline was the correction after the presidential inauguration and the introduction of tariffs, when Bitcoin lost 32.08% of its value in 77 days.

最长的校正发生在围绕比特币ETF发射的炒作期间，持续了117天。最深的下降是总统就职典礼和引入关税后的更正，当时比特币在77天内损失了其价值的32.08％。

Daan's analysis confirms his main thesis: corrections are always accompanied by certain narratives, but usually the situation looks worse than it really is, and recoveries are quite fast, especially during a significant bullish trend.

Daan的分析证实了他的主要论文：矫正总是伴随着某些叙述，但通常情况看起来比实际情况更糟糕，而且恢复速度非常快，尤其是在巨大的看涨趋势中。