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比特幣的早期集會至110,000美元,儘管美國 - 中國貿易談判的進展有一些跡象,但沒有留下深刻的印象,緊張局勢迅速失去了動力
Bitcoin's early rally to $110,000 lost momentum on Wednesday as US-China trade talks failed to impress despite some signs of progress, and tensions surged after Israel told US officials it was ready to launch an operation into Iran.
比特幣的早期集會在周三損失了110,000美元的勢頭,因為儘管有一些進展跡象,但美國 - 中國貿易談判仍未留下深刻的印象。
Bitcoin touched $110,300 after a better-than-expected May CPI print, with headline inflation rising 2.4% year-over-year, slightly below the forecasted 2.5%. The figures offered a brief boost despite worries over tariff-driven inflation pressures.
在5月的CPI印刷中,比特幣觸及了110,300美元,標題通貨膨脹率同比增長2.4%,略低於預測的2.5%。儘管擔心關稅驅動的通貨膨脹壓力,但這些數字仍提供了短暫的提升。
The largest crypto asset also found support from President Trump announcing progress in US-China trade talks on the day. But analysts say the new deal is still narrow in scope, largely focused on rare earth export controls.
最大的加密資產還發現,特朗普總統宣布當天在美中貿易談判中的進展。但是分析人士說,新交易的範圍仍然很狹窄,主要集中於稀土出口控制。
According to Capital Economics’ Mark Williams, major trade barriers remain largely untouched, with tariffs still running at 55% on Chinese goods and 10% on US exports.
根據資本經濟學的馬克·威廉姆斯(Mark Williams)的說法,主要的貿易壁壘基本上仍未受到影響,中國商品的關稅仍為55%,美國出口額仍為10%。
"It seems like more of a pause in the trade war rather than a resolution, even though the administration is framing it as a win," Williams added.
威廉姆斯補充說:“即使政府將其作為勝利,這似乎更像是貿易戰中的停頓,而不是一項決議。”
The Fed is not expected to lower interest rates at its policy meeting next week. While May’s CPI came in slightly below expectations, inflation rose to 2.4% year-over-year, up from 2.3% in April, and remains above the Fed’s 2% target.
預計在下周其政策會議上,美聯儲不會降低利率。儘管May的CPI略低於預期,但通貨膨脹率同比增長2.4%,高於4月的2.3%,並且仍高於美聯儲的2%目標。
Coupled with stronger-than-expected job growth, this has led market participants to almost entirely rule out the possibility of a rate cut in June, according to CME FedWatch data.
根據CME FedWatch數據,這使市場參與者幾乎完全排除了6月份降低利率的可能性。
The odds of a rate cut in July also declined following the new inflation data, leaving September, November, and December as the only realistic windows for policy easing this year.
在新的通貨膨脹數據數據後,7月份降低的稅率的機率也下降了,這是9月,11月和12月,這是今年唯一現實的政策窗口。
Markets now price in a 74% chance of a rate cut in September, rising to nearly 88% in November and roughly 96% in December.
現在,市場的價格為9月的74%機會降低,11月上升至近88%,12月的價格上漲了約96%。
As the summer progresses, the potential for lower inflation may arise from excess retail inventory and a decline in housing prices, according to Nic Puckrin, co-founder of The Coin Bureau.
Coin Bureau的聯合創始人Nic Puckrin表示,隨著夏季的發展,較低通貨膨脹的潛力可能是由於零售庫存過多和住房價格下跌而產生的。
"We could be seeing an overall trend of lower inflation in the coming months," Puckrin stated.
Puckrin說:“在接下來的幾個月中,我們可能會看到通貨膨脹率降低的總體趨勢。”
With persistently low inflation, Puckrin anticipates that the Fed might be induced to cut rates in the subsequent months.
隨著通貨膨脹率持續低,Puckrin預計可能會在隨後的幾個月內降低美聯儲。
"I think we might get a rate cut or two out of the Fed yet, which could help to propel Bitcoin upwards."
“我認為我們可能會從美聯儲中降低一兩次稅率,這可能有助於將比特幣向上推動。”
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