比特幣價格預測：令人失望的就職日之後，比特幣的下一步是什麼？

美國總統唐納德·J·川普在就職第一天結束時沒有發布任何與加密貨幣相關的行政命令，此舉打破了人們的過高期望

Fresh from his inauguration, US President Donald J. Trump has yet to issue any crypto-related executive orders or mention the much-hyped Strategic Bitcoin Reserve he teased during the Bitcoin 2024 conference in Nashville.

美國總統川普剛剛就職，尚未發布任何與加密貨幣相關的行政命令，也沒有提及他在納許維爾舉行的比特幣 2024 年會議上大肆宣傳的比特幣戰略儲備。

As a result, Bitcoin’s price, which had soared to nearly $110,000 on hopes of a landmark announcement, retreated swiftly once it became clear the inauguration address would offer no explicit nod to digital assets.

結果，比特幣的價格因希望發布具有里程碑意義的公告而飆升至近 11 萬美元，但在就職演說明確不會明確認可數位資產後，比特幣的價格迅速回落。

Now, with BTC hovering in what analysts describe as no-man’s land, the market looks to the White House for any indication that Trump’s earlier pro-Bitcoin rhetoric might translate into action.

現在，隨著比特幣徘徊在分析師所說的無人區，市場期待白宮是否有任何跡象表明川普早些時候的支持比特幣的言論可能會轉化為行動。

Crypto analyst CRG (@MacroCRG) encapsulated the uneasy sentiment on TradingView, claiming that “crypto feeling a bit directionless” could quickly change if Trump simply mentions Bitcoin.

加密貨幣分析師 CRG (@MacroCRG) 在 TradingView 上概括了這種不安的情緒，聲稱如果川普只是提到比特幣，「加密貨幣感覺有點沒有方向」可能會很快改變。

CRG argued, “but all its gonna take is 1 mention from Trump and it sends IMO. Trump’s team bought 9 figs of crypto yday, wont be long until they start blasting hopium.”

CRG 辯稱，「但在我看來，只要川普提及一次，它就會發送出去。川普的團隊今天購買了 9 個無花果加密貨幣，不久之後他們就會開始大量生產鴉片。

Some observers maintain that Bitcoin’s overarching technical indicators remain favorable. Markus Thielen, a researcher at Matrixport, commented on TradingView that “since mid-November, Bitcoin has been trading within a narrowing wedge,” stifled by conflicting signals—ranging from higher inflation data to hopes of a supportive White House.

一些觀察家認為，比特幣的整體技術指標仍然有利。 Matrixport 研究員馬庫斯·蒂倫(Markus Thielen) 在TradingView 上評論道，“自11 月中旬以來，比特幣一直在窄幅楔形內交易”，受到相互矛盾的信號的抑制——從通脹數據上升到白宮支持的希望。

Thielen explained that Trump’s inauguration served as a catalyst for Bitcoin to break out of that wedge, but whether this breakout can hold depends on BTC maintaining support around the upper boundary. “Bitcoin is now retesting the breakout level, which corresponds to the upper boundary of the wedge. If Bitcoin holds above this key support, the short-term outlook remains highly bullish, with the breakout signaling renewed upward momentum,” Thielen writes.

蒂倫解釋說，川普的就職典禮是比特幣突破楔形的催化劑，但這種突破能否持續取決於比特幣能否維持上限附近的支撐。 「比特幣現在正在重新測試突破水平，該水平對應於楔形的上邊界。如果比特幣守住這一關鍵支撐位，短期前景仍然高度看漲，突破預示著新的上升勢頭，」蒂倫寫道。

Renowned analyst Rekt Capital (@rektcapital) pointed out on TradingView that Bitcoin managed to retest key levels, notably at $101,000. While the market saw a harsh rejection from its range high, Rekt Capital emphasizes that this retest of both the “red diagonal” and the “black Range Low” is a strong sign that BTC might consolidate in the $101,000-$106,000 corridor before potentially marching higher again.

著名分析師 Rekt Capital (@rektcapital) 在 TradingView 上指出，比特幣成功重新測試了關鍵水平，特別是 101,000 美元。儘管市場對其區間高點進行了嚴厲拒絕，但Rekt Capital 強調，對「紅色對角線」和「黑色區間低點」的重新測試是一個強烈信號，表明BTC 可能會在101,000 美元至106,000 美元區間內盤整，然後可能走高再次。

Meanwhile, trader Crypto Chase (@Crypto_Chase) hinted at a willingness to go long if Bitcoin dips to around $99,500. He noted: “I’d take a long from 99.5K~ if offered. I think gray box needs to hold for local bullishness and sweeping all the Trump leadup / news PA makes sense. I’d also accept a sweep of the 97K low, but that’s farthest it should go. Any good amount of time spent past 96-97K and my plan / read is likely off. Inval low 90’s, aiming for new ATH’s. 3R~ trade.”

同時，交易員 Crypto Chase (@Crypto_Chase) 暗示，如果比特幣跌至 99,500 美元左右，他們願意做多。他指出：“如果有 99.5K~，我願意接受。”我認為灰箱需要保持當地的看漲情緒，並且橫掃所有川普的引導/新聞 PA 是有道理的。我也願意接受 97K 低點的橫掃，但這已經是它應該走的最高點了。任何超過 96-97K 的時間，我的計劃/閱讀都可能會被取消。 Inval 90 年代低，目標是新的 ATH。 3R~貿易。

Despite Wednesday’s disappointment, many believe the president’s pro-Bitcoin stance remains intact. David Bailey, CEO of BTC Inc. and a key figure in Trump’s shift toward a more Bitcoin and crypto-friendly position, took to TradingView today, revealing: “Got confirmation tonight that our EOs are among the first 200. I have no idea what made it in, but good news cometh.” Bailey also stated these include “EOs related to Bitcoin or crypto,” leaving open the possibility of a sudden policy bombshell.

儘管週三的情況令人失望，但許多人認為總統支持比特幣的立場仍然完好無損。 BTC Inc. 執行長David Bailey 是川普轉向對比特幣和加密貨幣更加友好的立場的關鍵人物，他今天在TradingView 上透露：「今晚得到確認，我們的EO 躋身前200 名之列。我不知道是什麼成功了，但好消息來了。貝利還表示，其中包括“與比特幣或加密貨幣相關的行政命令”，這使得突然出現政策重磅炸彈的可能性存在。

Should such an order materialize, markets could quickly pivot back into bullish territory. For now, however, traders and investors remain in limbo, awaiting that elusive official statement or executive order—from the White House that might reignite Bitcoin’s momentum.

如果這樣的命令成為現實，市場可能會迅速回到看漲區域。然而，目前交易員和投資者仍處於不確定狀態，等待白宮發布的難以捉摸的官方聲明或行政命令，這可能會重新點燃比特幣的勢頭。

At press time, BTC trades at $103,182.

截至發稿時，BTC 交易價格為 103,182 美元。