比特币价格预测：令人失望的就职日之后，比特币的下一步是什么？

美国总统唐纳德·J·特朗普在就职第一天结束时没有发布任何与加密货币相关的行政命令，此举打破了人们的过高期望

Fresh from his inauguration, US President Donald J. Trump has yet to issue any crypto-related executive orders or mention the much-hyped Strategic Bitcoin Reserve he teased during the Bitcoin 2024 conference in Nashville.

美国总统唐纳德·J·特朗普刚刚就职，尚未发布任何与加密货币相关的行政命令，也没有提及他在纳什维尔举行的比特币 2024 年会议上大肆宣传的比特币战略储备。

As a result, Bitcoin’s price, which had soared to nearly $110,000 on hopes of a landmark announcement, retreated swiftly once it became clear the inauguration address would offer no explicit nod to digital assets.

结果，比特币的价格因希望发布具有里程碑意义的公告而飙升至近 11 万美元，但在就职演说明确不会明确认可数字资产后，比特币的价格迅速回落。

Now, with BTC hovering in what analysts describe as no-man’s land, the market looks to the White House for any indication that Trump’s earlier pro-Bitcoin rhetoric might translate into action.

现在，随着比特币徘徊在分析师所说的无人区，市场期待白宫是否有任何迹象表明特朗普早些时候的支持比特币的言论可能会转化为行动。

Crypto analyst CRG (@MacroCRG) encapsulated the uneasy sentiment on TradingView, claiming that “crypto feeling a bit directionless” could quickly change if Trump simply mentions Bitcoin.

加密货币分析师 CRG (@MacroCRG) 在 TradingView 上概括了这种不安的情绪，声称如果特朗普只是提到比特币，“加密货币感觉有点没有方向”可能会很快改变。

CRG argued, “but all its gonna take is 1 mention from Trump and it sends IMO. Trump’s team bought 9 figs of crypto yday, wont be long until they start blasting hopium.”

CRG 辩称，“但在我看来，只要特朗普提及一次，它就会发送出去。特朗普的团队今天购买了 9 个无花果加密货币，用不了多久他们就会开始狂轰滥炸。”

Some observers maintain that Bitcoin’s overarching technical indicators remain favorable. Markus Thielen, a researcher at Matrixport, commented on TradingView that “since mid-November, Bitcoin has been trading within a narrowing wedge,” stifled by conflicting signals—ranging from higher inflation data to hopes of a supportive White House.

一些观察家认为，比特币的总体技术指标仍然有利。 Matrixport 研究员马库斯·蒂伦 (Markus Thielen) 在 TradingView 上评论道，“自 11 月中旬以来，比特币一直在窄幅楔形内交易”，受到相互矛盾的信号的抑制——从通胀数据上升到白宫支持的希望。

Thielen explained that Trump’s inauguration served as a catalyst for Bitcoin to break out of that wedge, but whether this breakout can hold depends on BTC maintaining support around the upper boundary. “Bitcoin is now retesting the breakout level, which corresponds to the upper boundary of the wedge. If Bitcoin holds above this key support, the short-term outlook remains highly bullish, with the breakout signaling renewed upward momentum,” Thielen writes.

蒂伦解释说，特朗普的就职典礼是比特币突破楔形的催化剂，但这种突破能否持续取决于比特币能否维持上限附近的支撑。 “比特币现在正在重新测试突破水平，该水平对应于楔形的上边界。如果比特币守住这一关键支撑位，短期前景仍然高度看涨，突破预示着新的上升势头，”蒂伦写道。

Renowned analyst Rekt Capital (@rektcapital) pointed out on TradingView that Bitcoin managed to retest key levels, notably at $101,000. While the market saw a harsh rejection from its range high, Rekt Capital emphasizes that this retest of both the “red diagonal” and the “black Range Low” is a strong sign that BTC might consolidate in the $101,000-$106,000 corridor before potentially marching higher again.

著名分析师 Rekt Capital (@rektcapital) 在 TradingView 上指出，比特币成功重新测试了关键水平，特别是 101,000 美元。尽管市场对其区间高点进行了严厉拒绝，但 Rekt Capital 强调，对“红色对角线”和“黑色区间低点”的重新测试是一个强烈信号，表明 BTC 可能会在 101,000 美元至 106,000 美元区间内盘整，然后可能走高再次。

Meanwhile, trader Crypto Chase (@Crypto_Chase) hinted at a willingness to go long if Bitcoin dips to around $99,500. He noted: “I’d take a long from 99.5K~ if offered. I think gray box needs to hold for local bullishness and sweeping all the Trump leadup / news PA makes sense. I’d also accept a sweep of the 97K low, but that’s farthest it should go. Any good amount of time spent past 96-97K and my plan / read is likely off. Inval low 90’s, aiming for new ATH’s. 3R~ trade.”

与此同时，交易员 Crypto Chase (@Crypto_Chase) 暗示，如果比特币跌至 99,500 美元左右，他们愿意做多。他指出：“如果有 99.5K~，我愿意接受。”我认为灰箱需要保持当地的看涨情绪，并且横扫所有特朗普的引导/新闻 PA 是有道理的。我也愿意接受 97K 低点的横扫，但这已经是它应该走的最高点了。任何超过 96-97K 的时间，我的计划/阅读都可能会被取消。 Inval 90 年代低，目标是新的 ATH。 3R~贸易。”

Despite Wednesday’s disappointment, many believe the president’s pro-Bitcoin stance remains intact. David Bailey, CEO of BTC Inc. and a key figure in Trump’s shift toward a more Bitcoin and crypto-friendly position, took to TradingView today, revealing: “Got confirmation tonight that our EOs are among the first 200. I have no idea what made it in, but good news cometh.” Bailey also stated these include “EOs related to Bitcoin or crypto,” leaving open the possibility of a sudden policy bombshell.

尽管周三的情况令人失望，但许多人认为总统支持比特币的立场仍然完好无损。 BTC Inc. 首席执行官 David Bailey 是特朗普转向对比特币和加密货币更加友好的立场的关键人物，他今天在 TradingView 上透露：“今晚得到确认，我们的 EO 跻身前 200 名之列。我不知道是什么成功了，但好消息来了。”贝利还表示，其中包括“与比特币或加密货币相关的行政命令”，这使得突然出现政策重磅炸弹的可能性存在。

Should such an order materialize, markets could quickly pivot back into bullish territory. For now, however, traders and investors remain in limbo, awaiting that elusive official statement or executive order—from the White House that might reignite Bitcoin’s momentum.

如果这样的订单成为现实，市场可能会迅速回到看涨区域。然而，目前交易员和投资者仍处于不确定状态，等待白宫发布的难以捉摸的官方声明或行政命令，这可能会重新点燃比特币的势头。

At press time, BTC trades at $103,182.

截至发稿时，BTC 交易价格为 103,182 美元。