比特幣價格預測：分析師認為隨著修正的持續，比特幣將跌至 36,000 美元

比特幣最近的價格下跌讓投資者感到不安，因為這種領先的加密貨幣持續下跌。經過數月的調整，比特幣價值損失了 20% 以上，分析師預測未來還會有更多麻煩。

Bitcoin price has been on a downward trajectory for several months now, leaving investors uneasy as the leading cryptocurrency continues to lose value. Following a months-long correction, which has seen Bitcoin lose over 20% of its value, analysts are predicting more trouble ahead.

比特幣價格幾個月來一直處於下行軌道，隨著領先的加密貨幣繼續貶值，投資者感到不安。經過數月的調整，比特幣價值損失了 20% 以上，分析師預測未來還會有更多麻煩。

Market experts are now forecasting that Bitcoin could fall to as low as $36,000 in the coming months, citing weak demand and challenging market conditions. The cryptocurrency market, once known for its rapid price rebounds, is facing a much slower recovery this time around. As Bitcoin struggles to gain upward momentum, the bears are in control, and traders are bracing for the possibility of further price declines.

市場專家現在預測，由於需求疲軟和市場條件充滿挑戰，比特幣在未來幾個月可能會跌至 36,000 美元。曾經以價格快速反彈而聞名的加密貨幣市場，這次正面臨著緩慢得多的復甦。隨著比特幣努力獲得上漲動力，空頭佔據了控制權，交易者正在為價格進一步下跌的可能性做好準備。

Bitcoin’s current market correction began over six months ago, with the digital asset slipping from its all-time highs and entering a long downtrend. While corrections are nothing new in the volatile world of cryptocurrency, this particular decline has been marked by its duration. At present, Bitcoin is down approximately 23% from its recent peak, a substantial drop, though not the steepest in its history.

比特幣目前的市場調整始於六個月前，該數位資產從歷史高點下滑並進入長期下降趨勢。儘管在動盪的加密貨幣世界中，調整並不是什麼新鮮事，但這種特殊的下跌以其持續時間為標誌。目前，比特幣較近期高峰下跌了約 23%，雖然不是史上跌幅最大的，但跌幅相當大。

For some traders, this correction isn’t too concerning. After all, Bitcoin has experienced far worse in the past and has always bounced back. However, others are becoming increasingly wary as the price slide continues. With no clear signs of a recovery in sight, analysts are warning that Bitcoin’s price could dip even further.

對於一些交易者來說，這種調整並不太令人擔憂。畢竟，比特幣過去經歷過更糟糕的情況，但總是會反彈。然而，隨著價格持續下滑，其他人變得越來越謹慎。由於沒有明顯的復甦跡象，分析師警告稱，比特幣的價格可能會進一步下跌。

Leading the charge of bearish predictions is trader and market analyst ‘Crypto Louca’, who recently shared his thoughts on social media. According to Louca, Bitcoin is likely to retreat even further before finding a bottom. His prediction places Bitcoin’s price somewhere between $36,000 and $46,000 in the short term.

引領看跌預測的是交易員兼市場分析師“Crypto Louca”，他最近在社交媒體上分享了自己的想法。 Louca表示，比特幣在觸底前可能會進一步回落。他預測比特幣的價格短期內將在 36,000 美元至 46,000 美元之間。

This sentiment is shared by other prominent traders. Another analyst, known as Income Sharks, also foresees a dip below $50,000 in the near future. While Income Sharks remains cautiously optimistic that Bitcoin could regain upward momentum in October, they caution that if this doesn’t happen, the outlook for the rest of the year could be bleak.

其他著名交易員也有同樣的看法。另一位名為 Income Sharks 的分析師也預計，在不久的將來，價格將跌破 5 萬美元。雖然 Income Sharks 對比特幣可能在 10 月重新獲得上漲勢頭保持謹慎樂觀，但他們警告說，如果這種情況沒有發生，今年剩餘時間的前景可能會黯淡。

Despite these bearish forecasts, not all analysts are ready to throw in the towel just yet. Income Sharks, for one, maintains a neutral stance overall. When asked about their long-term view on Bitcoin, the analyst stated, “If it wasn’t an election year, I’d be bearish.” This suggests that political events, such as the upcoming U.S. elections, could still influence the market and potentially lead to a reversal in Bitcoin’s fortunes.

儘管有這些悲觀的預測，但並非所有分析師都準備好認輸。收入鯊魚就是其中之一，整體上保持中立立場。當被問及對比特幣的長期看法時，這位分析師表示：“如果不是選舉年，我會看跌。”這表明政治事件，例如即將到來的美國大選，仍然可能影響市場，並可能導致比特幣的命運逆轉。

Aside from chart patterns and technical indicators, one of the key factors driving Bitcoin’s price decline is a lack of demand. Julio Moreno, head of research at cryptocurrency analytics firm Crypto Quant, pointed out that demand for Bitcoin has remained low in recent months. “Bitcoin’s price is down simply because there is no demand growth,” he explained, adding that all current valuation metrics indicate a bearish market.

除了圖表模式和技術指標之外，推動比特幣價格下跌的關鍵因素之一是需求不足。加密貨幣分析公司 Crypto Quant 研究主管 Julio Moreno 指出，近幾個月來，對比特幣的需求仍然很低。他解釋說：「比特幣的價格下跌只是因為需求沒有成長。」他補充說，目前的所有估值指標都顯示市場看跌。

The issue of weak demand is a significant one. Without new buyers entering the market, Bitcoin is struggling to maintain its value. While many analysts expect demand to pick up in the fourth quarter, particularly as the holiday season approaches, much will depend on broader economic conditions. If global markets continue to face uncertainty, it’s possible that Bitcoin could remain under pressure for some time.

需求疲軟問題是一個重大問題。如果沒有新買家進入市場，比特幣將難以維持其價值。儘管許多分析師預計第四季度需求將回升，特別是隨著假期的臨近，但很大程度上將取決於更廣泛的經濟狀況。如果全球市場繼續面臨不確定性，比特幣可能會在一段時間內繼續承受壓力。

Technical analysts are also pointing to specific chart patterns that indicate more downside for Bitcoin. Renowned chartist Peter Brandt recently identified a formation known as an “inverted expanding triangle” or “megaphone” pattern in Bitcoin’s price chart. This pattern suggests that Bitcoin could fall to around $46,000 if it fails to break through its current resistance levels.

技術分析師也指出，具體的圖表模式顯示比特幣還有更多下行空間。著名圖表分析師 Peter Brandt 最近在比特幣價格圖表中發現了一種稱為「倒擴張三角形」或「擴音器」模式的形態。這種模式表明，如果比特幣未能突破當前阻力位，它可能會跌至 46,000 美元左右。

Brandt explained that for Bitcoin to reverse its downward trend, it would need a significant upward surge, potentially pushing the price to new all-time highs. However, with selling pressure currently outweighing buying, this seems unlikely in the short term.

布蘭特解釋說，比特幣要扭轉下跌趨勢，就需要大幅上漲，這可能會將價格推至歷史新高。然而，由於目前拋售壓力超過買盤，短期內這似乎不太可能。

Brandt’s analysis aligns with the views of other technical traders, who have observed similar patterns forming in Bitcoin’s chart. The market appears to be in a consolidation phase, with traders waiting for a clear signal before committing to new positions.

布蘭特的分析與其他技術交易員的觀點一致，他們觀察到比特幣圖表中形成了類似的模式。市場似乎處於盤整階段，交易者在建立新部位之前等待明確的訊號。

Despite the bearish sentiment, some analysts believe that Bitcoin could still recover in the coming months. Historically, Bitcoin has experienced sharp price corrections followed by explosive rallies, and some traders are hopeful that this pattern will repeat itself.

儘管市場情緒悲觀，但一些分析師認為比特幣仍可能在未來幾個月內復甦。從歷史上看，比特幣經歷了急劇的價格調整，然後是爆炸性反彈，一些交易者希望這種模式能夠重演。