比特币价格预测：分析师认为随着修正的继续，比特币将跌至 36,000 美元

比特币最近的价格下跌让投资者感到不安，因为这种领先的加密货币继续下跌。经过长达数月的调整，比特币价值损失了 20% 以上，分析师预测未来还会有更多麻烦。

Bitcoin price has been on a downward trajectory for several months now, leaving investors uneasy as the leading cryptocurrency continues to lose value. Following a months-long correction, which has seen Bitcoin lose over 20% of its value, analysts are predicting more trouble ahead.

比特币价格几个月来一直处于下行轨道，随着领先的加密货币继续贬值，投资者感到不安。经过长达数月的调整，比特币价值损失了 20% 以上，分析师预测未来还会有更多麻烦。

Market experts are now forecasting that Bitcoin could fall to as low as $36,000 in the coming months, citing weak demand and challenging market conditions. The cryptocurrency market, once known for its rapid price rebounds, is facing a much slower recovery this time around. As Bitcoin struggles to gain upward momentum, the bears are in control, and traders are bracing for the possibility of further price declines.

市场专家现在预测，由于需求疲软和市场条件充满挑战，比特币在未来几个月可能会跌至 36,000 美元。曾经以价格快速反弹而闻名的加密货币市场，这次正面临着缓慢得多的复苏。随着比特币努力获得上涨动力，空头占据了控制权，交易者正在为价格进一步下跌的可能性做好准备。

Bitcoin’s current market correction began over six months ago, with the digital asset slipping from its all-time highs and entering a long downtrend. While corrections are nothing new in the volatile world of cryptocurrency, this particular decline has been marked by its duration. At present, Bitcoin is down approximately 23% from its recent peak, a substantial drop, though not the steepest in its history.

比特币当前的市场调整始于六个月前，该数字资产从历史高点下滑并进入长期下降趋势。尽管在动荡的加密货币世界中，调整并不是什么新鲜事，但这种特殊的下跌以其持续时间为标志。目前，比特币较近期峰值下跌了约 23%，虽然不是历史上跌幅最大的，但跌幅相当大。

For some traders, this correction isn’t too concerning. After all, Bitcoin has experienced far worse in the past and has always bounced back. However, others are becoming increasingly wary as the price slide continues. With no clear signs of a recovery in sight, analysts are warning that Bitcoin’s price could dip even further.

对于一些交易者来说，这种调整并不太令人担忧。毕竟，比特币过去经历过更糟糕的情况，但总是会反弹。然而，随着价格持续下滑，其他人变得越来越谨慎。由于没有明显的复苏迹象，分析师警告称，比特币的价格可能会进一步下跌。

Leading the charge of bearish predictions is trader and market analyst ‘Crypto Louca’, who recently shared his thoughts on social media. According to Louca, Bitcoin is likely to retreat even further before finding a bottom. His prediction places Bitcoin’s price somewhere between $36,000 and $46,000 in the short term.

引领看跌预测的是交易员兼市场分析师“Crypto Louca”，他最近在社交媒体上分享了自己的想法。 Louca表示，比特币在触底之前可能会进一步回落。他预测比特币的价格短期内将在 36,000 美元至 46,000 美元之间。

This sentiment is shared by other prominent traders. Another analyst, known as Income Sharks, also foresees a dip below $50,000 in the near future. While Income Sharks remains cautiously optimistic that Bitcoin could regain upward momentum in October, they caution that if this doesn’t happen, the outlook for the rest of the year could be bleak.

其他著名交易员也有同样的看法。另一位名为 Income Sharks 的分析师也预计，在不久的将来，价格将跌破 50,000 美元。虽然 Income Sharks 对比特币可能在 10 月份重新获得上涨势头保持谨慎乐观，但他们警告说，如果这种情况没有发生，今年剩余时间的前景可能会黯淡。

Despite these bearish forecasts, not all analysts are ready to throw in the towel just yet. Income Sharks, for one, maintains a neutral stance overall. When asked about their long-term view on Bitcoin, the analyst stated, “If it wasn’t an election year, I’d be bearish.” This suggests that political events, such as the upcoming U.S. elections, could still influence the market and potentially lead to a reversal in Bitcoin’s fortunes.

尽管有这些悲观的预测，但并非所有分析师都准备好认输。收入鲨鱼就是其中之一，总体上保持中立立场。当被问及对比特币的长期看法时，这位分析师表示：“如果不是选举年，我会看跌。”这表明政治事件，例如即将到来的美国大选，仍然可能影响市场，并可能导致比特币的命运逆转。

Aside from chart patterns and technical indicators, one of the key factors driving Bitcoin’s price decline is a lack of demand. Julio Moreno, head of research at cryptocurrency analytics firm Crypto Quant, pointed out that demand for Bitcoin has remained low in recent months. “Bitcoin’s price is down simply because there is no demand growth,” he explained, adding that all current valuation metrics indicate a bearish market.

除了图表模式和技术指标之外，推动比特币价格下跌的关键因素之一是需求不足。加密货币分析公司 Crypto Quant 研究主管 Julio Moreno 指出，近几个月来，对比特币的需求仍然很低。他解释说：“比特币的价格下跌只是因为需求没有增长。”他补充说，当前的所有估值指标都表明市场看跌。

The issue of weak demand is a significant one. Without new buyers entering the market, Bitcoin is struggling to maintain its value. While many analysts expect demand to pick up in the fourth quarter, particularly as the holiday season approaches, much will depend on broader economic conditions. If global markets continue to face uncertainty, it’s possible that Bitcoin could remain under pressure for some time.

需求疲软问题是一个重大问题。如果没有新买家进入市场，比特币将难以维持其价值。尽管许多分析师预计第四季度需求将回升，特别是随着假期的临近，但很大程度上将取决于更广泛的经济状况。如果全球市场继续面临不确定性，比特币可能会在一段时间内继续承受压力。

Technical analysts are also pointing to specific chart patterns that indicate more downside for Bitcoin. Renowned chartist Peter Brandt recently identified a formation known as an “inverted expanding triangle” or “megaphone” pattern in Bitcoin’s price chart. This pattern suggests that Bitcoin could fall to around $46,000 if it fails to break through its current resistance levels.

技术分析师还指出，具体的图表模式表明比特币还有更多下行空间。著名图表分析师 Peter Brandt 最近在比特币价格图表中发现了一种称为“倒扩张三角形”或“扩音器”模式的形态。这种模式表明，如果比特币未能突破当前阻力位，它可能会跌至 46,000 美元左右。

Brandt explained that for Bitcoin to reverse its downward trend, it would need a significant upward surge, potentially pushing the price to new all-time highs. However, with selling pressure currently outweighing buying, this seems unlikely in the short term.

布兰特解释说，比特币要扭转下跌趋势，就需要大幅上涨，这可能会将价格推至历史新高。然而，由于目前抛售压力超过买盘，短期内这似乎不太可能。

Brandt’s analysis aligns with the views of other technical traders, who have observed similar patterns forming in Bitcoin’s chart. The market appears to be in a consolidation phase, with traders waiting for a clear signal before committing to new positions.

布兰特的分析与其他技术交易员的观点一致，他们观察到比特币图表中形成了类似的模式。市场似乎处于盘整阶段，交易者在建立新头寸之前等待明确的信号。

Despite the bearish sentiment, some analysts believe that Bitcoin could still recover in the coming months. Historically, Bitcoin has experienced sharp price corrections followed by explosive rallies, and some traders are hopeful that this pattern will repeat itself.

尽管市场情绪悲观，但一些分析师认为比特币仍可能在未来几个月内复苏。从历史上看，比特币经历了急剧的价格调整，然后是爆炸性反弹，一些交易者希望这种模式能够重演。