為什麼比特幣價格可能永遠不會再跌破 7 萬美元

自周一以來，比特幣一直處於上漲趨勢，從 67,000 美元反彈至上行後開始上漲。

The 2024 US presidential elections took place on Tuesday, and as the dust settles, one interesting snapshot from the day was the Bitcoin price, which showed the coin trading just above the $70,000 price level. This is a price point to watch, as history shows this might be the price support for Bitcoin in the coming years.

2024 年美國總統選舉於週二舉行，隨著塵埃落定，當天的一個有趣的快照是比特幣價格，顯示比特幣交易價格略高於 70,000 美元。這是一個值得關注的價格點，歷史表明這可能是未來幾年比特幣的價格支撐。

Interestingly, this phenomenon goes back to the Bitcoin price levels in previous US elections.

有趣的是，這種現象可以追溯到之前美國大選時的比特幣價格水準。

Why Bitcoin Price Might Never Dip Below $70,000 Again

為什麼比特幣價格可能永遠不會再跌破 7 萬美元

Bitcoin has largely been on an uptrend since Monday, when it kicked off a run after it rebounded to the upside from $67,000. This run continued, allowing the Bitcoin average price during the 2024 presidential elections to be around $70,110.

自周一以來，比特幣一直處於上漲趨勢，從 67,000 美元反彈至上行後開始上漲。這種走勢持續下去，使得 2024 年總統大選期間的比特幣平均價格達到 70,110 美元左右。

Now, while this might not be the all-time high price for the day, considering past election cycles, this price point might never be revisited again by Bitcoin on the downside. Here’s why.

現在，雖然這可能不是當天的歷史最高價格，但考慮到過去的選舉週期，比特幣可能永遠不會再次回到這個價格點。原因如下。

Historically, U.S. election cycles have often been accompanied by shifts in Bitcoin’s value, marking crucial price points that tend to establish longer-term support levels.

從歷史上看，美國選舉週期往往伴隨著比特幣價值的變化，標誌著往往建立長期支撐位的關鍵價格點。

To understand this trend, we need to look at the past four election cycles. Back in 2012, during the early days of the crypto industry, the Bitcoin price traded at a modest $10 on the US presidential election day, a price point that now seems almost unimaginable. By 2016, Bitcoin’s election-day price had climbed to $710, setting a new baseline that it has never revisited since.

為了理解這個趨勢，我們需要回顧過去的四個選舉週期。早在 2012 年，在加密產業的早期，比特幣價格在美國總統選舉日的交易價格為 10 美元，這個價格現在看來幾乎難以想像。到 2016 年，比特幣的選舉日價格已攀升至 710 美元，設定了一個新的基準，從此從未重新審視。

After the 2016 election, Bitcoin’s price continued to rise significantly, reaching new all-time highs in the thousands of dollars. However, despite the coin’s massive gains, the 2016 election-day price of $710 remained a crucial support level, acting as a floor that the price never fell below in subsequent bear markets.

2016年大選後，比特幣價格持續大幅上漲，創下數千美元的歷史新高。然而，儘管代幣大幅上漲，2016 年選舉日 710 美元的價格仍然是關鍵的支撐位，作為價格在隨後的熊市中永遠不會跌破的底部。

The next presidential election was in 2020, and at the time, the Bitcoin price was trading around $13,555. This was another key price point, as the Bitcoin price has never revisited this price point again since then up until the time of writing. What’s more interesting is that this price point even served as the lowest support level during the 2022 bear market price crash.

下一次總統選舉是在 2020 年，當時比特幣價格約為 13,555 美元。這是另一個關鍵價格點，因為從那時起直到撰寫本文時，比特幣價格從未再次觸及該價格點。更有趣的是，這個價格點甚至是2022年熊市價格暴跌期間的最低支撐位。

If these historical trends are any indication, the 2024 election-day price of $70,110 could become a similar stronghold and a price floor for Bitcoin in the coming years. This level might even serve as critical support should a bear market eventually take hold at any point.

如果這些歷史趨勢有任何跡象的話，那麼 2024 年選舉日 70,110 美元的價格可能會成為未來幾年比特幣的類似據點和價格下限。如果熊市最終在任何時候站穩腳跟，這個水平甚至可能成為關鍵支撐。

Bitcoin Price Analysis

比特幣價格分析

Bitcoin is currently trading at a price of $73,180, up by about 7.36% over the past 24 hours. The second-ranked crypto has also seen a 10.23% price increase over the past week.

比特幣目前交易價格為 73,180 美元，過去 24 小時上漲約 7.36%。排名第二的加密貨幣在過去一周的價格也上漲了 10.23%。

Bitcoin’s total market cap now stands at $1.41 trillion, with the coin’s 24-hour trading volume being around $63 billion.

比特幣的總市值目前為 1.41 兆美元，24 小時交易量約為 630 億美元。

After kicking off the week with a price at $67,000, Bitcoin began an uptrend that saw the coin rally by over 10% in a single day on Monday. This brought Bitcoin to an average price of $70,110 during the 2024 presidential elections.

本週以 67,000 美元的價格開始，比特幣開始了上升趨勢，週一單日漲幅超過 10%。這使得 2024 年總統選舉期間比特幣的平均價格達到 70,110 美元。

From there, Bitcoin continued its rally, reaching an intraday high of $75,358. This milestone marks Bitcoin’s highest trading level yet, besting its previous all-time high of $73,737 in March 2024.

此後，比特幣持續上漲，達到日內高點 75,358 美元。這一里程碑標誌著比特幣迄今為止的最高交易水平，超過了 2024 年 3 月創下的歷史新高 73,737 美元。

However, the price pulled back slightly as some traders chose to cash in on recent profits. Despite this, the rally is expected to continue, with Bitcoin remaining on track to hit the $80,000 mark before the month ends, especially if buying interest helps sustain the current uptrend.

然而，由於一些交易商選擇兌現近期利潤，價格小幅回落。儘管如此，預計反彈仍將持續，比特幣預計在月底前觸及 80,000 美元大關，特別是如果購買興趣有助於維持當前的上升趨勢的話。